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BalbiNov2011 rate of spread rises with live fuel moisture, at the shipped fuel values #166

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@HugoFara

In BalbiNov2011, rate of spread increases with live fuel moisture above Ml ≈ 0.8. The shipped fuels.csv uses Ml = 1.0, so this affects the default setup.

Cause: xsi = (Ml - Md)·(Sd/Sl)·(Deltah/DeltaH) goes above 1, so (1 - xsi) < 0 and flame temperature drops below ambient. R00 ∝ T⁴ then turns that back into a large positive value.

Fuel 1, no wind, flat ground, Md = 0.1:

Ml 0.1 0.8 1.0 2.0
ROS (m/s) 0.0227 2.3e-8 8.2e-5 0.16

Balbi2015, BalbiNov2011Curv and BalbiUnsteady all decrease monotonically and agree to 4 significant figures. The only difference: BalbiNov2011 uses Sd/Sl where Balbi2015 uses Sigmal/Sigmad. Worth checking against Santoni et al. (2011).

Options: clamp xsi at 1, fix the coefficient, or reject Ml ≥ ~0.8 for this model. Each changes results, so it is a physics decision. #158 only clamps at 0.

Also: BalbiNov2011TMdMl does not respond to Ml at all. Related: #35, #99.


Drafted with Claude Opus 5, reviewed by a maintainer.

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