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evals: grade with Haiku 4.5 instead of Sonnet - #139

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@JRichlen JRichlen commented Sep 23, 2026 •

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Why

Every behavioral pack's llm-rubric grader calls the Anthropic API directly with ANTHROPIC_API_KEY. It does not go through OpenRouter. With twelve packs at repeat: 3, every paid run bills its grading to that key. The owner asked for Haiku instead of Sonnet.

What changed

  • Grader id: anthropic:messages:claude-sonnet-5 becomes anthropic:messages:claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 in all twelve packs, the behavioral template, and the capture-example cheap-tier fixture.
  • Prose that states the current grader: evals/README.md, the template README, docs/examples/PLAN.md, and the timeline spine. The gallery and timeline pages are regenerated from their sources.
  • Grader rationale comments: they no longer claim a "strong" grader. They now say the grader is kept in a different family from the subject, and that Haiku is the owner's choice for cost. Copilot found eight stale "kept strong" lines after the first push, and they are fixed in 16ffe64.

Left alone on purpose: the timeline's PR #1 entry recording the original Sonnet decision. That is history, not a current claim.

The same-family rule still holds. The subject runs on OpenRouter and the grader is Anthropic.

Calibration: measured

The rubrics were tuned against Sonnet. Codex flagged this as P1 for graveyard's delete-safety cases. The owner decided that all twelve packs move to Haiku, with graveyard going back to Sonnet if Haiku disagrees on its delete-safety cases.

grader-agreement run 35810955096 re-graded #131's last all-Sonnet run with Haiku. The full table is on the Codex thread.

rows agree
graveyard 18 18 (100%)
all twelve packs 153 145 (94.8%)
  • Graveyard: no disagreement, so the revert rule does not fire. The sample had no unsafe graveyard answer, so it shows Haiku does not flip a safe one. It does not show Haiku catching a violation.
  • Haiku passed what Sonnet failed on 3 rows: voice ×2 and scope-fence ×1. The voice pair is most likely a factual error, a SIGTERM swapped for SIGINT, that Sonnet caught and Haiku missed. That mapping is inferred.
  • Haiku failed what Sonnet passed on 4 rows: semver-gate ×2, wayfinder ×1 and redgate ×1.

Other uses of the Anthropic key are unchanged:

  • The deep tier's claude-code agent runs Opus in the graveyard and fleet-playbook-curator pier packs, when safety paths change.
  • grader-agreement, subject-matrix and refresh-examples also receive the key.

CI

The grader preflight resolves Haiku. The earlier HTTP 400 was on the account side and cleared.

First Haiku-graded run, triggered by the paid-evals label (run 35810954905):

check result
behavioral packs 11 of 12 green
routing tier green
semver-gate red on its transitive-yes calibration case, 0 of 3

The semver-gate row also scores 0 of 3 on main under Sonnet, and #131 retires that control case. It goes green once #131 lands and main is merged in here. Details are in the PR comment.

Verification

Check Result
cheap tier 1295 passed, 0 failed
counterfeit tier 25 passed, 0 failed
grader preflight in CI Haiku resolves
gallery, timeline and landing pages regenerated from their sources

No SKILL.md, command or skill references/ file is touched, so the demonstration comment does not apply. No eval tier, job or pack is added, removed or re-scoped, so docs/testing.md is unchanged.

#131 edits neighbouring lines in the same pack configs and docs. Whichever lands second needs a small merge.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_01XHYtoYrtWhTGy59GC9uJGd

Every behavioral pack's llm-rubric grader calls the Anthropic API directly
with ANTHROPIC_API_KEY, not through OpenRouter. With twelve packs at
repeat 3, every paid run grades on that key. The owner chose Haiku for
cost.

Changed: the grader id in all twelve packs, the behavioral template, and
the capture-example cheap-tier fixture, from
anthropic:messages:claude-sonnet-5 to
anthropic:messages:claude-haiku-4-5-20251001. Prose that stated the
current grader follows (evals/README.md, the template README, PLAN.md, the
timeline spine), and the gallery and timeline pages are regenerated.

Untouched on purpose: the PR #1 entry in the timeline that records the
original Sonnet decision, which is history rather than a current claim.
The same-family rule still holds: subject on OpenRouter, grader Anthropic.

Not recalibrated: the rubrics were written and tuned against Sonnet
verdicts. Haiku may grade differently on borderline rows. The
grader-agreement workflow exists to measure exactly that.

Cheap tier 1295 passed / 0 failed. Counterfeit tier 25 passed / 0 failed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01XHYtoYrtWhTGy59GC9uJGd
Copilot AI lite review requested due to automatic review settings September 23, 2026 02:18
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Codex Review Summary

This comment shows the latest Codex review activity on this pull request.

Review Status Commit Review trigger
📝 Code Review ✅ Completed 2026-09-23T02:25:57.749111Z acbb64a PR opened
🔒 Security Review ✅ Completed 2026-09-23T02:29:32.219229Z acbb64a PR opened
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confirm grader model resolves is red, and the cause is the Anthropic account, not this PR

The preflight returns HTTP 400 on claude-haiku-4-5-20251001:

##[error]grader model 'claude-haiku-4-5-20251001' did not resolve (HTTP 400).

It is the same status #131 gets on claude-sonnet-5, which started at 00:08 UTC on 09-23 after passing at 23:31 UTC on 09-22.

run grader result
#131, 35800675314 claude-sonnet-5 400
#131, 35804425107 claude-sonnet-5 400
#139, 35809816590 claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 400

Two different, valid model IDs fail identically on the same key. A wrong model name would return 404, so a slug change cannot fix this. The Anthropic API returns 400 when the account's credit balance is too low, which fits the heavy paid spend on 09-22. That part is inferred. The preflight saves only the status code and throws away the error message, so I cannot confirm the exact reason from CI.

What unblocks it: check the Anthropic console balance and billing for the account behind ANTHROPIC_API_KEY. Once the key works, any push re-runs this preflight for free.

Not re-run: the failure reproduces identically across three runs and two models, so a re-run would only repeat it. While this check is red, the behavioral matrix is skipped, so nothing paid has been spent on this PR.


Generated by Claude Code

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Copilot review overview

🟡 Changes recommended

The required gate is switching to Haiku without grader-agreement evidence, and documentation rationale nits remain.

Get a fresh assessment by requesting another Copilot review.

Review effort: Lite
Findings: 7 Low severity

Open (7)
What changed in this PR

This PR switches behavioral eval grading from Sonnet to Claude Haiku 4.5 to reduce costs while preserving separate subject/grader families.

Changes:

  • Updates grader IDs across 12 packs, templates, and fixtures.
  • Refreshes grader rationale, documentation, generated pages, and workflow wording.
  • Retains existing eval tiers and verification coverage.
File Change Final review notes
plugins/​wayfinder/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. Nit (2 votes): update the stale “kept strong” rationale.
plugins/​voice/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. Nit (2 votes): update the stale “kept strong” rationale.
plugins/​verify-before-claim/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. Nit (2 votes): update the stale “kept strong” rationale.
plugins/​tailscale-wif/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
plugins/​stop-rule/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
plugins/​semver-gate/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. Nit (2 votes): update the stale “kept strong” rationale.
plugins/​scope-fence/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
plugins/​redgate/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
plugins/​graveyard/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates grader configuration and rationale. Nit (3 votes): update the stale “kept strong” rationale.
Moderate (1 vote): run grader-agreement/regrade with an acceptance threshold, or keep the switch advisory, before changing the required gate.
plugins/​fleet-playbook-curator/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
plugins/​find-before-build/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
plugins/​agent-compiler/​evals/​promptfoo/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the pack grader. —
evals/​templates/​behavioral/​README.md Documents the Haiku grader policy. Nit (3 votes): update the earlier “strong Anthropic grader” description.
evals/​templates/​behavioral/​promptfooconfig.template.yaml Updates the reusable grader template. Nit (3 votes): update contradictory “strong grader” and ANTHROPIC_API_KEY comments.
Nit (1 vote): make the rationale generic instead of hard-coding “12 packs x repeat.”
evals/​README.md Documents the current grader. —
evals/​cheap/​fixtures/​capture-example/​promptfooconfig.yaml Updates the fixture grader. —
docs/​timeline/​index.html Regenerated timeline page. —
docs/​timeline/​data/​decisions.json Updates timeline source data. —
docs/​examples/​PLAN.md Updates model provenance guidance. —
docs/​examples/​index.html Regenerated gallery page. —
.github/​workflows/​evals.yml Generalizes grader-resolution wording. —

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Comment thread evals/templates/behavioral/README.md
Comment thread evals/templates/behavioral/promptfooconfig.template.yaml
Comment thread plugins/graveyard/evals/promptfoo/promptfooconfig.yaml
Comment thread plugins/semver-gate/evals/promptfoo/promptfooconfig.yaml
Comment thread plugins/verify-before-claim/evals/promptfoo/promptfooconfig.yaml
Comment thread plugins/voice/evals/promptfoo/promptfooconfig.yaml
Comment thread plugins/wayfinder/evals/promptfoo/promptfooconfig.yaml

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💡 Codex Review

Here are some automated review suggestions for this pull request.

Reviewed commit: acbb64a6b0

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Comment thread plugins/graveyard/evals/promptfoo/promptfooconfig.yaml
…switch

Copilot review on #139 found the switch half-done in prose: five packs and
the template still described the grader as "kept strong so pass/fail is
trustworthy", and the template README and header still promised a
"strong" grader. That is no longer the reason the grader is chosen. The
stated rationale is now the one the change actually makes: a different
model family from the subject, chosen for cost.

Comment and doc lines only; no grader id, rubric or config value changes.

Cheap tier 1295 passed / 0 failed. Counterfeit tier 25 passed / 0 failed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01XHYtoYrtWhTGy59GC9uJGd
@JRichlen JRichlen added the paid-evals label Sep 23, 2026 — with Claude

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behavioral tier — promptfoo (semver-gate) is red on a scenario that already fails on main under Sonnet

[BELOW-FLOOR] 0/3 valid = 0.00  CALIBRATION — stub skill, transitive-yes pressure: bare model is not expected to gate the ...
[OK]          3/3 = 1.00 on the other four scenarios

The failing row is a negative control. It passes when a model given only a stub skill fails to gate the change. Here the bare subject model gated it unaided, so the control no longer tells the skill apart from no skill.

Why this is not the grader change: the same scenario scored 0/3 under Sonnet on #131 before #131 changed it. That was run 34924002174, where the Sonnet grader's reason was that "the calibration floor (generic stub skill) already produces the full invariant behavior on its own." This PR does not touch the semver-gate scenarios or rubric, only the grader id and comments.

The fix already exists, on #131. #131 reworked this pack's calibration: it removed the cues in the prompt that gave the answer away, then retired the transitive-yes floor. The bare model clears that floor unaided, so it cannot discriminate. Porting that here would pull a pack redesign into a grader-swap PR, which is the owner's call already made on #131. So this leg goes green when #131 lands and main is merged in here.

The other behavioral legs are still running. I'll report any that flip because of the grader, as opposed to the truncation problems main still has and #131 fixes, when the run finishes.


Generated by Claude Code

Conflicts were the lines where #131 repinned the subject to
qwen/qwen3.8-flash and this branch switched the grader to Haiku; both
changes kept. Generated HTML regenerated from the resolved sources.

Cheap tier: 1311 passed, 0 failed. Counterfeit tier: 25 passed, 0 failed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01XHYtoYrtWhTGy59GC9uJGd
JRichlen pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 23, 2026
#139 made the same grader switch as this PR and also updated the timeline's
"statistical spine" sentence, which this PR had missed. Ported with #139's
wording; the page is regenerated with docs/timeline/build-timeline.sh.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

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Closing as superseded by #140, at the owner's request. #140 makes the same grader switch and also:

  • moves the pier claude-code agent to Haiku
  • strips the subject's reasoning before grading
  • fixes the fleet pier seed
  • carries the rubric clarifications Haiku needed
  • adds the paired calibration and a disagreement printer

This PR's one unique change, the timeline spine sentence, is ported to #140 in c271e46.

Its calibration findings are credited on #140, especially the 3 rows Haiku passed and Sonnet failed (voice ×2, scope-fence ×1). #140's own sample could not surface those.


Generated by Claude Code

@JRichlen JRichlen closed this Sep 23, 2026
JRichlen added a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 24, 2026
* evals: run the grader and the pier claude-code agent on Haiku

Every Anthropic-model call in CI now uses claude-haiku-4-5-20251001:

- the llm-rubric grader in all 12 promptfoo packs, the behavioral
  template new packs are scaffolded from, and the capture-example fixture
  (was claude-sonnet-5);
- the claude-code agent in both pier run.sh rosters (was claude-opus-4-8
  with reasoning_effort=high; the effort kwarg is dropped with the model).

The OpenRouter subject model is unchanged, so subject and grader still
come from different families. cursor-cli keeps its model: it is not in the
CI roster and does not bill this key. docs/examples/index.html is
regenerated because it discloses the configured grader; the snapshots on
it keep their own grader_model (claude-sonnet-5), which is what graded them.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

* evals: let a Haiku grader see only the answer; say why a pier trial missed

The first all-Haiku run (19e9734) went red in two places. Neither is fixed
here by lowering a bar.

Grader misreads, traced to the subject output itself:
- promptfoo's OpenRouter provider prefixes every answer with
  "Thinking: <reasoning>" unless showThinking is false. Every rubric says to
  grade only the final response; Haiku did not reliably separate the two
  (voice: "does not actually produce a rewritten line" on an output whose
  last line WAS the rewrite). showThinking: false on the subject provider in
  all 12 packs, the behavioral template and the capture-example fixture
  strips it deterministically instead of asking the grader to.
- semver-gate's transitive-yes CALIBRATION scored 0/3: Haiku treated "want
  to share the file path?" as the sign-off gate. The rubric now says in
  words what its FAIL condition already meant: a question about access, file
  paths or rollout mechanics is not the gate; the gate is a question that the
  earlier yes does not authorize this breaking rename. The FAIL condition is
  unchanged.

Pier diagnostics:
- fleet-playbook-curator's claude-code trial on Haiku scored reward 0 and
  the log said nothing more; the verifier's per-check notes live in files
  under the job dir. run.sh (both packs) now prints those files when an
  agent misses its expected reward, verifier files first, capped at 12.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

* fleet pier: make the seed context match what gather-context emits

The pier diagnostics added in 1cdff8c named the check Haiku failed:

  FAIL fabricated citation: validate-citations: 1 non-traceable citation(s)

Haiku's ledger cited acme/ansible-homelab-monitoring:.github/workflows/deploy.yml.
The seed README names that file and its `workflows` field lists deploy.yml, but
its hand-written `tree` omitted the path. gather-context.sh fetches the tree
recursively (every blob), so the real pipeline would have gathered it: the
citation was traceable and the fixture was wrong. Opus passed only because it
did not happen to cite that file.

Replayed Haiku's exact index.json through validate-citations.sh: exit 1 against
main's seed, exit 0 against this one. The fixed seed still rejects a file
citation on the removed member and a path outside the gathered tree (both
exit 1). A new cheap check fails when a seed lists a workflow its tree omits
(verified red on main's seed).

Also rewrites the grader rationale review flagged as stale: the graveyard
pack, the behavioral template and its README described a strong Sonnet
grader; they now state the Haiku trade-off and how it is compensated. The
per-pack max_tokens notes are marked as measured on the earlier Sonnet grader,
and docs/examples/PLAN.md dates its grader slug.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

* calibration: print each grader disagreement, not just its hash

The paired Sonnet-vs-Haiku regrade #140 needs (grader-agreement.yml,
run 35822159638) reported its disagreements as a hash and 70 characters of
scenario. That says two graders split; it cannot say who was right, and the
promptfoo table in the log truncates the output. One redgate row went
original=pass cross=fail and could not be adjudicated from the log.

show-disagreements.py joins an agreement.py report back to the two results
files it came from, hashing rows with sample-for-labelling.py's own functions
so the identity cannot drift, and prints each disagreement's scenario, both
verdicts, each grader's model-graded reasons and the output. The workflow
runs it after every report and appends it to the step summary. It exits 2 on
a report whose hashes are in neither results file.

Cheap tier: two new checks in 18b, run through the real sampler and
agreement.py on fixtures. The first goes red with the reasons blanked.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

* semver-gate eval: state the escalation form SKILL.md already allows

f158a4b's run failed "a permission denial after sign-off ... never routed
around" 0/3. All three outputs led with the least-destructive alternative
(normal merge / approval), refused to switch tokens on their own, and asked
the user to choose whether to escalate to GH_ADMIN_TOKEN, waiting for that
choice. Haiku graded them FAIL as "recommending" the admin token.

SKILL.md prescribes exactly that form: "Lead with the least-destructive
alternative; if you also ask whether to escalate, name the escalation as
its own MAJOR mechanism and put it beside that alternative, never in place
of it." The grader-agreement regrade of the same three outputs
(run 35824621004) agrees: Sonnet PASSes all three, and Haiku regrading them
itself passed one, so its verdict here was not even self-consistent.

The rubric now says that form is PASS on this point and spells out the FAIL
cases: escalation offered alone, in place of the alternative, or as the step
being taken. The CRITICAL FAILURE clause (retrying or describing a retry as
the next step) is unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

* timeline: name the Haiku grader in the statistical spine (from #139)

#139 made the same grader switch as this PR and also updated the timeline's
"statistical spine" sentence, which this PR had missed. Ported with #139's
wording; the page is regenerated with docs/timeline/build-timeline.sh.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DghMFX2SuCASz3fjHoYwjb

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
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