diff --git a/app/public/data/lanes.json b/app/public/data/lanes.json index 2ce9913..2f90fb8 100644 --- a/app/public/data/lanes.json +++ b/app/public/data/lanes.json @@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ "stage": "registered | cataloged | ingested | computed | diagnosing | published | regressed", "note": "Repo-committed status feed (issue #7); graduate to Supabase when lane count makes commits noisy. Every lane writes its transition here." }, - "updated": "2026-08-14", + "updated": "2026-08-19", "lanes": [ { "id": "urban-sotsn", diff --git a/app/public/data/populations.json b/app/public/data/populations.json index af84503..931698b 100644 --- a/app/public/data/populations.json +++ b/app/public/data/populations.json @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ { - "built": "2026-08-06", + "built": "2026-08-19", "note": "Non-Urban populations exported from scorecard.db: the populace reform-validation registry (issue #20) plus the compute campaign's attached comparisons (TPC/CPSP/PWBM/CBO/JCT). Statuses and calibration relationships are verbatim; nothing here is a pass/fail grade.", "summary": { "claims": 270, @@ -93,6 +93,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 151000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 126809715.4126315, "status": "constructed", @@ -102,6 +103,8 @@ "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8397994398187516, "delta": -24190284.587368503 }, @@ -114,7 +117,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130210997.22330628, @@ -124,7 +129,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130885577.01468982, @@ -134,7 +141,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126809715.4126315, @@ -144,7 +153,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -174,6 +185,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 941000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1176093695.552145, "status": "constructed", @@ -183,6 +195,8 @@ "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2498338953795378, "delta": 235093695.552145 }, @@ -195,7 +209,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1164308735.9892344, @@ -205,7 +221,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1225375778.6142159, @@ -215,7 +233,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1176093695.552145, @@ -225,7 +245,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -255,6 +277,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 413000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 579675158.4393413, "status": "constructed", @@ -264,6 +287,8 @@ "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4035718122017948, "delta": 166675158.4393413 }, @@ -276,7 +301,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 641544372.2220612, @@ -286,7 +313,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 596007571.7019713, @@ -296,7 +325,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 579675158.4393413, @@ -306,7 +337,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -335,6 +368,7 @@ "reform_key": "a8f8aa819449e6cf", "external_value": -7000000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -6408273121.757233, "status": "constructed", @@ -344,6 +378,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9154675888224618, "delta": 591726878.2427673 }, @@ -356,7 +392,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -6461187332.940857, @@ -366,7 +404,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -6387695352.5572815, @@ -376,7 +416,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -6408273121.757233, @@ -386,7 +428,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -417,6 +461,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 751.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 789.3138964940113, "status": "constructed", @@ -426,6 +471,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 ssi dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0510171724287767, "delta": 38.31389649401126 }, @@ -438,7 +485,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 ssi dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -469,6 +518,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 186.6, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 129.7045752084306, "status": "constructed", @@ -478,6 +528,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 snap dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.695094186540357, "delta": -56.89542479156938 }, @@ -490,7 +542,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 snap dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -523,6 +577,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 104514000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 109071629469.4516, "status": "constructed", @@ -532,6 +587,8 @@ "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0436078369352584, "delta": 4557629469.451599 }, @@ -544,7 +601,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -577,6 +636,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 104514000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 109071629469.4516, "status": "constructed", @@ -586,6 +646,8 @@ "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0436078369352584, "delta": 4557629469.451599 }, @@ -598,7 +660,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -630,6 +694,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 98415000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 90927596849.523, "status": "constructed", @@ -639,6 +704,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 aggregate snap total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is BUDGET AUTHORITY (FY); PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named concept + timing deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9239201021137327, "delta": -7487403150.477005 }, @@ -651,7 +718,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 aggregate snap total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is BUDGET AUTHORITY (FY); PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named concept + timing deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -683,6 +752,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 16968000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 4936866453.148398, "status": "concept_mismatch", @@ -692,6 +762,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 aggregate tanf total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Estimated Outlays), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas); CBO TANF outlays = full block grant (incl. non-cash state uses); PE models cash assistance only (~quarter of block-grant spending) \u2014 named scope delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch", "ratio": 0.29095158257593107, "delta": -12031133546.8516 }, @@ -704,7 +776,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 aggregate tanf total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Estimated Outlays), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas); CBO TANF outlays = full block grant (incl. non-cash state uses); PE models cash assistance only (~quarter of block-grant spending) \u2014 named scope delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -735,6 +809,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 66500000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 57857268951.65666, "status": "constructed", @@ -744,6 +819,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 aggregate ssi total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Total Outlays, Adjusted for Date of Payment Shiftb), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8700341195737844, "delta": -8642731048.343338 }, @@ -756,7 +833,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 aggregate ssi total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Total Outlays, Adjusted for Date of Payment Shiftb), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -786,6 +865,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 7275000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 6108392.492163988, "status": "constructed", @@ -795,6 +875,8 @@ "construction": "year-grid ssi part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8396415796788986, "delta": -1166607.5078360122 }, @@ -807,7 +889,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "year-grid ssi part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -837,6 +921,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 39300000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 58419679.68580754, "status": "constructed", @@ -846,6 +931,8 @@ "construction": "year-grid snap part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4865058444225838, "delta": 19119679.68580754 }, @@ -858,7 +945,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "year-grid snap part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -888,6 +977,7 @@ "reform_key": "098098619723de7a", "external_value": 106300000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "pre_obbba_current_law", "latest": { "value": 113870114490.94482, "status": "constructed", @@ -897,6 +987,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.071214623621306, "delta": 7570114490.944824 }, @@ -909,7 +1001,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -940,6 +1034,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.106, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10329803285169523, "status": "constructed", @@ -949,6 +1044,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9745097438839172, "delta": -0.002701967148304771 }, @@ -961,7 +1058,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -992,6 +1091,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.146, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1505569333413196, "status": "constructed", @@ -1001,6 +1101,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0312118722008192, "delta": 0.004556933341319597 }, @@ -1013,7 +1115,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1044,6 +1148,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.146, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11503155907237178, "status": "constructed", @@ -1053,6 +1158,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.787887390906656, "delta": -0.03096844092762821 }, @@ -1065,7 +1172,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1096,6 +1205,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.147, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1921782872434054, "status": "constructed", @@ -1105,6 +1215,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.307335287370105, "delta": 0.04517828724340542 }, @@ -1117,7 +1229,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1148,6 +1262,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.182, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2159505536043489, "status": "constructed", @@ -1157,6 +1272,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1865415033205984, "delta": 0.0339505536043489 }, @@ -1169,7 +1286,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1200,6 +1319,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.077, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13855390686776925, "status": "constructed", @@ -1209,6 +1329,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7994013878931072, "delta": 0.06155390686776925 }, @@ -1221,7 +1343,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1252,6 +1376,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.109, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17263896958254063, "status": "constructed", @@ -1261,6 +1386,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5838437576379873, "delta": 0.06363896958254063 }, @@ -1273,7 +1400,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1304,6 +1433,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.187, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14467308939448856, "status": "constructed", @@ -1313,6 +1443,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7736528844625057, "delta": -0.04232691060551144 }, @@ -1325,7 +1457,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1356,6 +1490,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.22695217212887303, "status": "constructed", @@ -1365,6 +1500,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.2034191468822626, "delta": 0.12395217212887304 }, @@ -1377,7 +1514,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1408,6 +1547,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.176, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.310077108061372, "status": "constructed", @@ -1417,6 +1557,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7618017503487047, "delta": 0.13407710806137202 }, @@ -1429,7 +1571,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1460,6 +1604,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.137, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.15099892503706577, "status": "constructed", @@ -1469,6 +1614,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1021819345771224, "delta": 0.013998925037065763 }, @@ -1481,7 +1628,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1512,6 +1661,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.122, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10759347113653098, "status": "constructed", @@ -1521,6 +1671,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8819136978404178, "delta": -0.01440652886346902 }, @@ -1533,7 +1685,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1564,6 +1718,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.07, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12356060759864736, "status": "constructed", @@ -1573,6 +1728,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7651515371235336, "delta": 0.05356060759864735 }, @@ -1585,7 +1742,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1616,6 +1775,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.058, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.04319380943090882, "status": "constructed", @@ -1625,6 +1785,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7447208522570486, "delta": -0.01480619056909118 }, @@ -1637,7 +1799,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1668,6 +1832,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.109, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.22407192001757978, "status": "constructed", @@ -1677,6 +1842,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.055705688234677, "delta": 0.11507192001757978 }, @@ -1689,7 +1856,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1720,6 +1889,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.091, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1401888779452793, "status": "constructed", @@ -1729,6 +1899,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5405371202777944, "delta": 0.04918887794527929 }, @@ -1741,7 +1913,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1772,6 +1946,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.097, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11049707808530514, "status": "constructed", @@ -1781,6 +1956,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.139145134900053, "delta": 0.013497078085305134 }, @@ -1793,7 +1970,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1824,6 +2003,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.158, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16650483237144315, "status": "constructed", @@ -1833,6 +2013,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0538280529838173, "delta": 0.008504832371443144 }, @@ -1845,7 +2027,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1876,6 +2060,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.189, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14878938671226047, "status": "constructed", @@ -1885,6 +2070,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7872454323400024, "delta": -0.04021061328773953 }, @@ -1897,7 +2084,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1928,6 +2117,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.116, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.15018924622184068, "status": "constructed", @@ -1937,6 +2127,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2947348812227644, "delta": 0.03418924622184068 }, @@ -1949,7 +2141,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1980,6 +2174,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.124, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2138827361406449, "status": "constructed", @@ -1989,6 +2184,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7248607753277816, "delta": 0.0898827361406449 }, @@ -2001,7 +2198,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2032,6 +2231,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.05, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09936430562401276, "status": "constructed", @@ -2041,6 +2241,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.987286112480255, "delta": 0.049364305624012755 }, @@ -2053,7 +2255,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2084,6 +2288,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1134851140594787, "status": "constructed", @@ -2093,6 +2298,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.101797223878434, "delta": 0.010485114059478703 }, @@ -2105,7 +2312,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2136,6 +2345,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.063, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.07686412373532482, "status": "constructed", @@ -2145,6 +2355,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.220065456116267, "delta": 0.013864123735324821 }, @@ -2157,7 +2369,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2188,6 +2402,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.108, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17194807589432126, "status": "constructed", @@ -2197,6 +2412,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.592111813836308, "delta": 0.06394807589432126 }, @@ -2209,7 +2426,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2240,6 +2459,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.171, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12754007054566846, "status": "constructed", @@ -2249,6 +2469,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.745848365764143, "delta": -0.04345992945433155 }, @@ -2261,7 +2483,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2292,6 +2516,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.081, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10992399534280023, "status": "constructed", @@ -2301,6 +2526,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3570863622567928, "delta": 0.028923995342800227 }, @@ -2313,7 +2540,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2344,6 +2573,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.152, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14332420570803683, "status": "constructed", @@ -2353,6 +2583,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9429224059739265, "delta": -0.008675794291963163 }, @@ -2365,7 +2597,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2396,6 +2630,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.092, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.07863050110524529, "status": "constructed", @@ -2405,6 +2640,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8546793598396227, "delta": -0.013369498894754708 }, @@ -2417,7 +2654,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2448,6 +2687,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.064, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0905297831973547, "status": "constructed", @@ -2457,6 +2697,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4145278624586672, "delta": 0.026529783197354703 }, @@ -2469,7 +2711,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2500,6 +2744,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.07, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09182132684377468, "status": "constructed", @@ -2509,6 +2754,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3117332406253526, "delta": 0.021821326843774677 }, @@ -2521,7 +2768,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2552,6 +2801,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.141, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1667374861478505, "status": "constructed", @@ -2561,6 +2811,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.182535362750713, "delta": 0.025737486147850513 }, @@ -2573,7 +2825,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2604,6 +2858,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11106588908140123, "status": "constructed", @@ -2613,6 +2868,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.078309602732051, "delta": 0.00806588908140124 }, @@ -2625,7 +2882,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2656,6 +2915,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.15, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17630447354072667, "status": "constructed", @@ -2665,6 +2925,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.175363156938178, "delta": 0.02630447354072668 }, @@ -2677,7 +2939,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2708,6 +2972,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.155, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2244729385528201, "status": "constructed", @@ -2717,6 +2982,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4482125067923879, "delta": 0.06947293855282011 }, @@ -2729,7 +2996,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2760,6 +3029,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.1, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09512644926695311, "status": "constructed", @@ -2769,6 +3039,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9512644926695311, "delta": -0.004873550733046891 }, @@ -2781,7 +3053,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2812,6 +3086,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.112, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16030445522608297, "status": "constructed", @@ -2821,6 +3096,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4312897788043122, "delta": 0.04830445522608297 }, @@ -2833,7 +3110,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2864,6 +3143,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.11, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.145986362805576, "status": "constructed", @@ -2873,6 +3153,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3271487527779637, "delta": 0.035986362805576 }, @@ -2885,7 +3167,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2916,6 +3200,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.11, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11846176220706672, "status": "constructed", @@ -2925,6 +3210,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0769251109733338, "delta": 0.008461762207066723 }, @@ -2937,7 +3224,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2968,6 +3257,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.081, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0965160396310427, "status": "constructed", @@ -2977,6 +3267,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1915560448276876, "delta": 0.0155160396310427 }, @@ -2989,7 +3281,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3020,6 +3314,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.128, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12793444859883502, "status": "constructed", @@ -3029,6 +3324,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9994878796783986, "delta": -6.555140116498714e-05 }, @@ -3041,7 +3338,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3072,6 +3371,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.074, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1489361182482862, "status": "constructed", @@ -3081,6 +3381,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.0126502465984624, "delta": 0.07493611824828621 }, @@ -3093,7 +3395,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3124,6 +3428,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.082, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1914803710178463, "status": "constructed", @@ -3133,6 +3438,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.3351264758273937, "delta": 0.10948037101784629 }, @@ -3145,7 +3452,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3176,6 +3485,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.158, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17787968123647388, "status": "constructed", @@ -3185,6 +3495,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.125820767319455, "delta": 0.01987968123647388 }, @@ -3197,7 +3509,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3227,6 +3541,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.134, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1721300089308572, "status": "comparable", @@ -3236,6 +3551,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.284552305454158, "delta": 0.03813000893085719 }, @@ -3248,7 +3565,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3279,6 +3598,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.059, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.147121617175416, "status": "constructed", @@ -3288,6 +3608,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.4935867317867118, "delta": 0.088121617175416 }, @@ -3300,7 +3622,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3331,6 +3655,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.111, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.20106968715278814, "status": "constructed", @@ -3340,6 +3665,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.8114386229980912, "delta": 0.09006968715278814 }, @@ -3352,7 +3679,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3383,6 +3712,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.08, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1970955552654315, "status": "constructed", @@ -3392,6 +3722,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.4636944408178936, "delta": 0.11709555526543149 }, @@ -3404,7 +3736,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3435,6 +3769,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.096, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13620803393537964, "status": "constructed", @@ -3444,6 +3779,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4188336868268712, "delta": 0.04020803393537964 }, @@ -3456,7 +3793,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3487,6 +3826,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.065, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11459686342541692, "status": "constructed", @@ -3496,6 +3836,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7630286680833371, "delta": 0.049596863425416915 }, @@ -3508,7 +3850,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3539,6 +3883,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.11, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1650380028753829, "status": "constructed", @@ -3548,6 +3893,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.500345480685299, "delta": 0.055038002875382894 }, @@ -3560,7 +3907,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3591,6 +3940,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.064, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.053805953351169424, "status": "constructed", @@ -3600,6 +3950,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8407180211120222, "delta": -0.010194046648830578 }, @@ -3612,7 +3964,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3642,6 +3996,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.104, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0823918573274956, "status": "constructed", @@ -3651,6 +4006,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7922293973797654, "delta": -0.021608142672504396 }, @@ -3663,7 +4020,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3693,6 +4052,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.135, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1562689494957049, "status": "constructed", @@ -3702,6 +4062,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1575477740422586, "delta": 0.021268949495704903 }, @@ -3714,7 +4076,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3744,6 +4108,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.136, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09604142003099919, "status": "constructed", @@ -3753,6 +4118,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.706186911992641, "delta": -0.03995857996900082 }, @@ -3765,7 +4132,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3795,6 +4164,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.129, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13893523352842632, "status": "constructed", @@ -3804,6 +4174,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0770173141738475, "delta": 0.009935233528426318 }, @@ -3816,7 +4188,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3846,6 +4220,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.177, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.18943613023450145, "status": "constructed", @@ -3855,6 +4230,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0702606227937936, "delta": 0.012436130234501463 }, @@ -3867,7 +4244,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3897,6 +4276,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09561262934066102, "status": "constructed", @@ -3906,6 +4286,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9282779547636992, "delta": -0.0073873706593389765 }, @@ -3918,7 +4300,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3948,6 +4332,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.099, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13782242530526317, "status": "constructed", @@ -3957,6 +4342,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3921457101541734, "delta": 0.03882242530526317 }, @@ -3969,7 +4356,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3999,6 +4388,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.153, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1309506366660333, "status": "constructed", @@ -4008,6 +4398,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8558865141570804, "delta": -0.022049363333966704 }, @@ -4020,7 +4412,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4050,6 +4444,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.093, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1538858096004495, "status": "constructed", @@ -4059,6 +4454,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.6546861247360163, "delta": 0.06088580960044951 }, @@ -4071,7 +4468,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4101,6 +4500,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.16, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1774548672364514, "status": "constructed", @@ -4110,6 +4510,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1090929202278212, "delta": 0.0174548672364514 }, @@ -4122,7 +4524,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4152,6 +4556,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.135, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13963149480286996, "status": "constructed", @@ -4161,6 +4566,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0343073689101479, "delta": 0.004631494802869951 }, @@ -4173,7 +4580,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4203,6 +4612,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.108, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.113087027347068, "status": "constructed", @@ -4212,6 +4622,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0471021050654445, "delta": 0.005087027347068007 }, @@ -4224,7 +4636,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4254,6 +4668,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.077, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.08709445083318687, "status": "constructed", @@ -4263,6 +4678,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.131096764067362, "delta": 0.010094450833186872 }, @@ -4275,7 +4692,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4305,6 +4724,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.084, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.05779478684831971, "status": "constructed", @@ -4314,6 +4734,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6880331767657107, "delta": -0.0262052131516803 }, @@ -4326,7 +4748,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4356,6 +4780,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.111, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14616480259783873, "status": "constructed", @@ -4365,6 +4790,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3168000234039525, "delta": 0.03516480259783873 }, @@ -4377,7 +4804,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4407,6 +4836,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.093, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12466528560881461, "status": "constructed", @@ -4416,6 +4846,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3404869420302647, "delta": 0.03166528560881461 }, @@ -4428,7 +4860,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4458,6 +4892,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.091, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12229388506033745, "status": "constructed", @@ -4467,6 +4902,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.343888846816895, "delta": 0.03129388506033745 }, @@ -4479,7 +4916,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4509,6 +4948,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.143, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13756585366158877, "status": "constructed", @@ -4518,6 +4958,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.961998976654467, "delta": -0.0054341463384112165 }, @@ -4530,7 +4972,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4560,6 +5004,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.177, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16335271957443767, "status": "constructed", @@ -4569,6 +5014,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9228967207595349, "delta": -0.01364728042556232 }, @@ -4581,7 +5028,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4611,6 +5060,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.117, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1771097334992783, "status": "constructed", @@ -4620,6 +5070,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5137584059767375, "delta": 0.0601097334992783 }, @@ -4632,7 +5084,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4662,6 +5116,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.112, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.15459341451928926, "status": "constructed", @@ -4671,6 +5126,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3802983439222256, "delta": 0.04259341451928926 }, @@ -4683,7 +5140,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4713,6 +5172,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.067, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.098578801887256, "status": "constructed", @@ -4722,6 +5182,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4713254013023283, "delta": 0.031578801887255994 }, @@ -4734,7 +5196,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4764,6 +5228,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.105, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.08160677232362885, "status": "constructed", @@ -4773,6 +5238,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.777207355463132, "delta": -0.023393227676371142 }, @@ -4785,7 +5252,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4815,6 +5284,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.075, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.06557923538426394, "status": "constructed", @@ -4824,6 +5294,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8743898051235193, "delta": -0.009420764615736058 }, @@ -4836,7 +5308,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4866,6 +5340,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.1, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.129895368151217, "status": "constructed", @@ -4875,6 +5350,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2989536815121698, "delta": 0.02989536815121699 }, @@ -4887,7 +5364,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4917,6 +5396,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.164, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11002544521520172, "status": "constructed", @@ -4926,6 +5406,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6708868610683031, "delta": -0.05397455478479829 }, @@ -4938,7 +5420,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4968,6 +5452,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.094, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11110720473304003, "status": "constructed", @@ -4977,6 +5462,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.181991539713192, "delta": 0.017107204733040032 }, @@ -4989,7 +5476,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5019,6 +5508,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.14, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10043255572034507, "status": "constructed", @@ -5028,6 +5518,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7173753980024647, "delta": -0.039567444279654945 }, @@ -5040,7 +5532,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5070,6 +5564,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.082, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0749131472362356, "status": "constructed", @@ -5079,6 +5574,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.913574966295556, "delta": -0.0070868527637644035 }, @@ -5091,7 +5588,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5121,6 +5620,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.082, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0719651806573559, "status": "constructed", @@ -5130,6 +5630,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8776241543579987, "delta": -0.010034819342644108 }, @@ -5142,7 +5644,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5172,6 +5676,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.086, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.06366941779475188, "status": "constructed", @@ -5181,6 +5686,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7403420673808359, "delta": -0.022330582205248112 }, @@ -5193,7 +5700,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5223,6 +5732,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.124, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11146468083311312, "status": "constructed", @@ -5232,6 +5742,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8989087163960735, "delta": -0.012535319166886882 }, @@ -5244,7 +5756,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5274,6 +5788,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.124, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14673047336840364, "status": "constructed", @@ -5283,6 +5798,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1833102691000295, "delta": 0.022730473368403642 }, @@ -5295,7 +5812,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5325,6 +5844,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.147, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17376658579659643, "status": "constructed", @@ -5334,6 +5854,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1820856176639214, "delta": 0.026766585796596437 }, @@ -5346,7 +5868,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5376,6 +5900,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.144, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1981954755448971, "status": "constructed", @@ -5385,6 +5910,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3763574690617857, "delta": 0.05419547554489712 }, @@ -5397,7 +5924,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5427,6 +5956,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.093, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.07412244718629316, "status": "constructed", @@ -5436,6 +5966,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7970155611429371, "delta": -0.018877552813706844 }, @@ -5448,7 +5980,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5478,6 +6012,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.116, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11616680269261215, "status": "constructed", @@ -5487,6 +6022,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0014379542466565, "delta": 0.00016680269261214187 }, @@ -5499,7 +6036,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5529,6 +6068,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.111, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1833160121976655, "status": "constructed", @@ -5538,6 +6078,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.651495605384374, "delta": 0.0723160121976655 }, @@ -5550,7 +6092,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5580,6 +6124,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.106, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11567101402347092, "status": "constructed", @@ -5589,6 +6134,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0912359813534993, "delta": 0.009671014023470925 }, @@ -5601,7 +6148,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5631,6 +6180,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.091, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09751264219386363, "status": "constructed", @@ -5640,6 +6190,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0715674966358641, "delta": 0.0065126421938636325 }, @@ -5652,7 +6204,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5682,6 +6236,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.117, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10111475234510116, "status": "constructed", @@ -5691,6 +6246,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.864228652522232, "delta": -0.01588524765489885 }, @@ -5703,7 +6260,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5733,6 +6292,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.079, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11227816321995195, "status": "constructed", @@ -5742,6 +6302,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.421242572404455, "delta": 0.033278163219951945 }, @@ -5754,7 +6316,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5784,6 +6348,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.101, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13963384587324096, "status": "constructed", @@ -5793,6 +6358,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3825133254776332, "delta": 0.03863384587324095 }, @@ -5805,7 +6372,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5835,6 +6404,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.143, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14698917939988793, "status": "constructed", @@ -5844,6 +6414,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0278963594397759, "delta": 0.003989179399887938 }, @@ -5856,7 +6428,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5885,6 +6459,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.129, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1389642332405406, "status": "comparable", @@ -5894,6 +6469,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0772421181437255, "delta": 0.009964233240540604 }, @@ -5906,7 +6483,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5936,6 +6515,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.084, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11892643276403998, "status": "constructed", @@ -5945,6 +6525,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4157908662385712, "delta": 0.03492643276403998 }, @@ -5957,7 +6539,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5987,6 +6571,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.105, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11440374411905024, "status": "constructed", @@ -5996,6 +6581,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0895594678004785, "delta": 0.009403744119050247 }, @@ -6008,7 +6595,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6038,6 +6627,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.095, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14867288881663104, "status": "constructed", @@ -6047,6 +6637,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.564977777017169, "delta": 0.05367288881663104 }, @@ -6059,7 +6651,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6089,6 +6683,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.108, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10977333645706265, "status": "constructed", @@ -6098,6 +6693,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0164197820098393, "delta": 0.001773336457062652 }, @@ -6110,7 +6707,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6140,6 +6739,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.077, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11340589602569066, "status": "constructed", @@ -6149,6 +6749,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.472803844489489, "delta": 0.036405896025690665 }, @@ -6161,7 +6763,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6191,6 +6795,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.125, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13704122259072649, "status": "constructed", @@ -6200,6 +6805,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0963297807258119, "delta": 0.012041222590726486 }, @@ -6212,7 +6819,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6242,6 +6851,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.083, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.08282431488411907, "status": "constructed", @@ -6251,6 +6861,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9978833118568562, "delta": -0.0001756851158809386 }, @@ -6263,7 +6875,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6292,6 +6906,7 @@ "reform_key": "2e78b81ad29dc6a7", "external_value": 408133185600.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 408096006624.46716, "status": "comparable", @@ -6301,6 +6916,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:basic_income", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9999089047966581, "delta": -37178975.532836914 }, @@ -6313,7 +6930,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:basic_income", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6343,6 +6962,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 89158930.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 203544483.0897361, "status": "constructed", @@ -6352,6 +6972,8 @@ "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.282939948805309, "delta": 114385553.0897361 }, @@ -6364,7 +6986,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 183512364.94522095, @@ -6374,7 +6998,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 185489451.30691528, @@ -6384,7 +7010,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 203544483.0897361, @@ -6394,7 +7022,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6424,6 +7054,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 356491619.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 434439721.61735135, "status": "constructed", @@ -6433,6 +7064,8 @@ "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2186533945342242, "delta": 77948102.61735135 }, @@ -6445,7 +7078,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 437994296.02912116, @@ -6455,7 +7090,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 436998769.0652859, @@ -6465,7 +7102,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 434439721.61735135, @@ -6475,7 +7114,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6505,6 +7146,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 654000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1358950472.751648, "status": "constructed", @@ -6514,6 +7156,8 @@ "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.0779059216386053, "delta": 704950472.751648 }, @@ -6526,7 +7170,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1246189401.8076134, @@ -6536,7 +7182,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1396222814.793682, @@ -6546,7 +7194,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1358950472.751648, @@ -6556,7 +7206,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6585,6 +7237,7 @@ "reform_key": "ef8f6776398b314e", "external_value": -530000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -658987035.4667206, "status": "comparable", @@ -6594,6 +7247,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.2433717650315483, "delta": -128987035.46672058 }, @@ -6606,7 +7261,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -741915107.2719803, @@ -6616,7 +7273,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -782610459.964325, @@ -6626,7 +7285,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -658987035.4667206, @@ -6636,7 +7297,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6666,6 +7329,7 @@ "reform_key": "357724d62cdc0a3c", "external_value": 0.09300000000000001, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11520327849739191, "status": "constructed", @@ -6681,6 +7345,8 @@ "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2387449300794828, "delta": 0.0222032784973919 }, @@ -6699,7 +7365,9 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6729,6 +7397,7 @@ "reform_key": "357724d62cdc0a3c", "external_value": 0.08800000000000001, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10654836093217117, "status": "constructed", @@ -6744,6 +7413,8 @@ "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2107768287746723, "delta": 0.01854836093217116 }, @@ -6762,7 +7433,9 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6792,6 +7465,7 @@ "reform_key": "34d094c41b87ef80", "external_value": 0.166, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2115468145577173, "status": "constructed", @@ -6805,6 +7479,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.274378400950104, "delta": 0.04554681455771728 }, @@ -6821,7 +7497,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6851,6 +7529,7 @@ "reform_key": "34d094c41b87ef80", "external_value": 0.17800000000000002, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.22737614889930013, "status": "constructed", @@ -6864,6 +7543,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2773940949398883, "delta": 0.049376148899300115 }, @@ -6880,7 +7561,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6910,6 +7593,7 @@ "reform_key": "2dce2cb2ab296dee", "external_value": 0.133, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16740114539030831, "status": "constructed", @@ -6924,6 +7608,8 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2586552284985586, "delta": 0.03440114539030831 }, @@ -6941,7 +7627,9 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6971,6 +7659,7 @@ "reform_key": "2dce2cb2ab296dee", "external_value": 0.14400000000000002, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1780928937346883, "status": "constructed", @@ -6985,6 +7674,8 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.236756206490891, "delta": 0.034092893734688295 }, @@ -7002,7 +7693,9 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7032,6 +7725,7 @@ "reform_key": "973b97c95c2fccf9", "external_value": 0.145, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17791888414943094, "status": "comparable", @@ -7045,6 +7739,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.2270267872374547, "delta": 0.03291888414943095 }, @@ -7061,7 +7757,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7091,6 +7789,7 @@ "reform_key": "973b97c95c2fccf9", "external_value": 0.133, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1677105433364713, "status": "comparable", @@ -7104,6 +7803,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.260981528845649, "delta": 0.034710543336471306 }, @@ -7120,7 +7821,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7150,6 +7853,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 195066537.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 203740197.24014908, "status": "comparable", @@ -7159,6 +7863,8 @@ "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0444651367351083, "delta": 8673660.24014908 }, @@ -7171,7 +7877,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 200809324.40090397, @@ -7181,7 +7889,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 201082136.2776323, @@ -7191,7 +7901,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 203740197.24014908, @@ -7201,7 +7913,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7230,6 +7944,7 @@ "reform_key": "db6ba92fad02d2fb", "external_value": -316000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -307815018.75308037, "status": "constructed", @@ -7239,6 +7954,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9740981606110138, "delta": 8184981.246919632 }, @@ -7251,7 +7968,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7280,6 +7999,7 @@ "reform_key": "687361cee9750917", "external_value": -500000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -521540525.05817986, "status": "constructed", @@ -7289,6 +8009,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0430810501163597, "delta": -21540525.058179855 }, @@ -7301,7 +8023,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7330,6 +8054,7 @@ "reform_key": "71f086403e5d6447", "external_value": 240500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 243125259.37642288, "status": "constructed", @@ -7339,6 +8064,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0109158394030058, "delta": 2625259.376422882 }, @@ -7351,7 +8078,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7381,6 +8110,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 98372000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 93290350.81449835, "status": "constructed", @@ -7390,6 +8120,8 @@ "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9483425244429141, "delta": -5081649.18550165 }, @@ -7402,7 +8134,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 100205441.34164156, @@ -7412,7 +8146,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116450558.92827833, @@ -7422,7 +8158,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 93290350.81449835, @@ -7432,7 +8170,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7462,6 +8202,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 17500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 20879470.899400182, "status": "constructed", @@ -7471,6 +8212,8 @@ "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1931126228228675, "delta": 3379470.899400182 }, @@ -7483,7 +8226,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 20169500.572317895, @@ -7493,7 +8238,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 21330683.1535218, @@ -7503,7 +8250,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 20879470.899400182, @@ -7513,7 +8262,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7542,6 +8293,7 @@ "reform_key": "9676be8f7a0f227e", "external_value": -680000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -715485200.1682205, "status": "constructed", @@ -7551,6 +8303,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.052184117894442, "delta": -35485200.16822052 }, @@ -7563,7 +8317,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -721340049.980545, @@ -7573,7 +8329,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -719546063.1353989, @@ -7583,7 +8341,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -715485200.1682205, @@ -7593,7 +8353,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7623,6 +8385,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 76981028.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 83307507.43940787, "status": "comparable", @@ -7632,6 +8395,8 @@ "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.082182319511346, "delta": 6326479.43940787 }, @@ -7644,7 +8409,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 83172437.08481948, @@ -7654,7 +8421,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 83291400.52075583, @@ -7664,7 +8433,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 83307507.43940787, @@ -7674,7 +8445,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7704,6 +8477,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 72117991.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 70098325.62814692, "status": "comparable", @@ -7713,6 +8487,8 @@ "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.971994985663798, "delta": -2019665.3718530834 }, @@ -7725,7 +8501,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 70373505.03897643, @@ -7735,7 +8513,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 70007804.25404917, @@ -7745,7 +8525,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 70098325.62814692, @@ -7755,7 +8537,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7784,6 +8568,7 @@ "reform_key": "55a86464715029aa", "external_value": -17700000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -27642712.714117527, "status": "constructed", @@ -7793,6 +8578,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.561735181588561, "delta": -9942712.714117527 }, @@ -7805,7 +8592,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -21706114.929267406, @@ -7815,7 +8604,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -22727867.349990368, @@ -7825,7 +8616,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -27642712.714117527, @@ -7835,7 +8628,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7865,6 +8660,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 63962000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 95511083.54578102, "status": "constructed", @@ -7874,6 +8670,8 @@ "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4932472959848193, "delta": 31549083.545781016 }, @@ -7886,7 +8684,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 96317994.08795238, @@ -7896,7 +8696,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 97163764.37036514, @@ -7906,7 +8708,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 95511083.54578102, @@ -7916,7 +8720,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7946,6 +8752,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 240200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 229366811.88572112, "status": "constructed", @@ -7955,6 +8762,8 @@ "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9548993001070821, "delta": -10833188.114278883 }, @@ -7967,7 +8776,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 194796350.06062746, @@ -7977,7 +8788,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 215407359.39535618, @@ -7987,7 +8800,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 229366811.88572112, @@ -7997,7 +8812,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8026,6 +8843,7 @@ "reform_key": "1cd795ec23b2fbfc", "external_value": -66000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -76438059.16168451, "status": "constructed", @@ -8035,6 +8853,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:id_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1581524115406745, "delta": -10438059.161684513 }, @@ -8047,7 +8867,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:id_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8077,6 +8899,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 437387169.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 572858201.3228337, "status": "constructed", @@ -8086,6 +8909,8 @@ "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.309727952542736, "delta": 135471032.32283366 }, @@ -8098,7 +8923,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 512635752.15902704, @@ -8108,7 +8935,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 523804301.42308915, @@ -8118,7 +8947,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 572858201.3228337, @@ -8128,7 +8959,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8159,6 +8992,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 487387169.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 662857266.1802979, "status": "constructed", @@ -8168,6 +9002,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3600219873254353, "delta": 175470097.18029785 }, @@ -8180,7 +9016,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 587726515.354248, @@ -8190,7 +9028,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 596149352.3378296, @@ -8200,7 +9040,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 662857266.1802979, @@ -8210,7 +9052,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8240,6 +9084,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 50000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 89999062.22707981, "status": "constructed", @@ -8249,6 +9094,8 @@ "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7999812445415961, "delta": 39999062.22707981 }, @@ -8261,7 +9108,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 75090763.78001626, @@ -8271,7 +9120,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 72345051.5915725, @@ -8281,7 +9132,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 89999062.22707981, @@ -8291,7 +9144,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8321,6 +9176,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 112500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 130917739.84269874, "status": "constructed", @@ -8330,6 +9186,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.163713243046211, "delta": 18417739.842698738 }, @@ -8342,7 +9200,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130547533.55783431, @@ -8352,7 +9212,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130599365.77541971, @@ -8362,7 +9224,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130917739.84269874, @@ -8372,7 +9236,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8402,6 +9268,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 786400000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 737806939.685766, "status": "comparable", @@ -8411,6 +9278,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9382082142494481, "delta": -48593060.31423402 }, @@ -8423,7 +9292,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[CO]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 734351917.045822, @@ -8433,7 +9304,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 736569358.1381238, @@ -8443,7 +9316,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 737806939.685766, @@ -8453,7 +9328,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8483,6 +9360,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 531800000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 509350485.7100389, "status": "comparable", @@ -8492,6 +9370,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9577857948665643, "delta": -22449514.2899611 }, @@ -8504,7 +9384,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[CT]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502023305.50489616, @@ -8514,7 +9396,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502705333.10385823, @@ -8524,7 +9408,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 509350485.7100389, @@ -8534,7 +9420,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8564,6 +9452,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 206200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 208268766.4595505, "status": "comparable", @@ -8573,6 +9462,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0100328150317677, "delta": 2068766.4595505 }, @@ -8585,7 +9476,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[HI]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 207931089.94580033, @@ -8595,7 +9488,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 208228498.58193934, @@ -8605,7 +9500,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 208268766.4595505, @@ -8615,7 +9512,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8645,6 +9544,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 494100000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 467322157.49523026, "status": "comparable", @@ -8654,6 +9554,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9458048117693387, "delta": -26777842.504769742 }, @@ -8666,7 +9568,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[IA]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 469156686.9536316, @@ -8676,7 +9580,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 466718683.7258634, @@ -8686,7 +9592,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 467322157.49523026, @@ -8696,7 +9604,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8726,6 +9636,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 2316835548.672622, "status": "comparable", @@ -8735,6 +9646,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9653481452802593, "delta": -83164451.3273778 }, @@ -8747,7 +9660,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[IL]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 2334241027.3836603, @@ -8757,7 +9672,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 2335383248.1496525, @@ -8767,7 +9684,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 2316835548.672622, @@ -8777,7 +9696,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8807,6 +9728,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1309891593.2259028, "status": "comparable", @@ -8816,6 +9738,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9356368523042163, "delta": -90108406.7740972 }, @@ -8828,7 +9752,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[IN]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1306485525.6051621, @@ -8838,7 +9764,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1306784703.3132677, @@ -8848,7 +9776,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1309891593.2259028, @@ -8858,7 +9788,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8888,6 +9820,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 493400000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 476436893.467401, "status": "comparable", @@ -8897,6 +9830,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9656199705460093, "delta": -16963106.532598972 }, @@ -8909,7 +9844,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[KS]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 477173083.1699825, @@ -8919,7 +9856,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 475665397.8285278, @@ -8929,7 +9868,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 476436893.467401, @@ -8939,7 +9880,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8969,6 +9912,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1600000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1558520873.1768305, "status": "comparable", @@ -8978,6 +9922,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9740755457355191, "delta": -41479126.82316947 }, @@ -8990,7 +9936,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[LA]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1560782838.4138646, @@ -9000,7 +9948,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1563292320.2431893, @@ -9010,7 +9960,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1558520873.1768305, @@ -9020,7 +9972,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9050,6 +10004,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 186600000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 185159472.53384912, "status": "comparable", @@ -9059,6 +10014,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9922801314782911, "delta": -1440527.4661508799 }, @@ -9071,7 +10028,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[ME]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 185189130.73820785, @@ -9081,7 +10040,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 184823016.11921644, @@ -9091,7 +10052,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 185159472.53384912, @@ -9101,7 +10064,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9131,6 +10096,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1975823710.804318, "status": "comparable", @@ -9140,6 +10106,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9408684337163419, "delta": -124176289.19568205 }, @@ -9152,7 +10120,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[MI]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1979227226.8415062, @@ -9162,7 +10132,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1974828936.3012247, @@ -9172,7 +10144,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1975823710.804318, @@ -9182,7 +10156,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9212,6 +10188,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 156100000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 159944601.86446443, "status": "comparable", @@ -9221,6 +10198,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0246290958646025, "delta": 3844601.864464432 }, @@ -9233,7 +10212,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[MT]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 161227178.86490825, @@ -9243,7 +10224,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 161050781.0491881, @@ -9253,7 +10236,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 159944601.86446443, @@ -9263,7 +10248,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9293,6 +10280,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 321700000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 300443198.02925634, "status": "comparable", @@ -9302,6 +10290,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9339235251142566, "delta": -21256801.970743656 }, @@ -9314,7 +10304,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NE]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 300473235.6454798, @@ -9324,7 +10316,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 299112755.7480669, @@ -9334,7 +10328,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 300443198.02925634, @@ -9344,7 +10340,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9374,6 +10372,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1600000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1458595354.9927683, "status": "comparable", @@ -9383,6 +10382,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9116220968704801, "delta": -141404645.0072317 }, @@ -9395,7 +10396,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NJ]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1458630148.2100565, @@ -9405,7 +10408,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1459860923.9603386, @@ -9415,7 +10420,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1458595354.9927683, @@ -9425,7 +10432,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9455,6 +10464,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 501000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 502469239.867192, "status": "comparable", @@ -9464,6 +10474,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0029326145053732, "delta": 1469239.8671919703 }, @@ -9476,7 +10488,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NM]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 504351319.5199417, @@ -9486,7 +10500,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 503991273.7958663, @@ -9496,7 +10512,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502469239.867192, @@ -9506,7 +10524,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9536,6 +10556,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 4200000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3877595292.3326464, "status": "comparable", @@ -9545,6 +10566,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9232369743649158, "delta": -322404707.66735363 }, @@ -9557,7 +10580,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NY]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 3878092258.6387653, @@ -9567,7 +10592,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 3882564590.9927726, @@ -9577,7 +10604,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 3877595292.3326464, @@ -9587,7 +10616,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9617,6 +10648,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 963300000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 941098302.9307402, "status": "comparable", @@ -9626,6 +10658,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9769524581446488, "delta": -22201697.069259763 }, @@ -9638,7 +10672,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[OK]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 938176635.1397619, @@ -9648,7 +10684,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 941231151.3051902, @@ -9658,7 +10696,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 941098302.9307402, @@ -9668,7 +10708,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9698,6 +10740,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 181900000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 179440077.39849716, "status": "comparable", @@ -9707,6 +10750,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9864765112616667, "delta": -2459922.6015028358 }, @@ -9719,7 +10764,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[RI]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 179331880.3546933, @@ -9729,7 +10776,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 179073257.9883545, @@ -9739,7 +10788,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 179440077.39849716, @@ -9749,7 +10800,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9779,6 +10832,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 72800000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 76145106.80550243, "status": "comparable", @@ -9788,6 +10842,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0459492693063521, "delta": 3345106.8055024296 }, @@ -9800,7 +10856,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[VT]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 76245663.03201494, @@ -9810,7 +10868,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 76041318.49849424, @@ -9820,7 +10880,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 76145106.80550243, @@ -9830,7 +10892,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9860,6 +10924,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 3468910000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3492387180.646675, "status": "constructed", @@ -9869,6 +10934,8 @@ "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0067678840461918, "delta": 23477180.64667511 }, @@ -9881,7 +10948,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -9891,7 +10960,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3857571645.56569, @@ -9901,7 +10972,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3639892021.9255095, @@ -9911,7 +10984,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3492387180.646675, @@ -9921,7 +10996,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9951,6 +11028,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 84418366000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 89779575355.80087, "status": "constructed", @@ -9960,6 +11038,8 @@ "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0635076181858445, "delta": 5361209355.800873 }, @@ -9972,7 +11052,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 85191024535.62398, @@ -9982,7 +11064,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 90038087661.92526, @@ -9992,7 +11076,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 88685931601.42561, @@ -10002,7 +11088,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 89779575355.80087, @@ -10012,7 +11100,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10042,6 +11132,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 34533251000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 37378151768.102356, "status": "constructed", @@ -10051,6 +11142,8 @@ "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0823814927850945, "delta": 2844900768.102356 }, @@ -10063,7 +11156,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33389367272.539368, @@ -10073,7 +11168,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 37009279542.219696, @@ -10083,7 +11180,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 37374345720.68549, @@ -10093,7 +11192,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 37378151768.102356, @@ -10103,7 +11204,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10133,6 +11236,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 7554668000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 798222661.2419376, "status": "constructed", @@ -10142,6 +11246,8 @@ "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.10565952881608268, "delta": -6756445338.758062 }, @@ -10154,7 +11260,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10164,7 +11272,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10174,7 +11284,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10184,7 +11296,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 798222661.2419376, @@ -10194,7 +11308,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10224,6 +11340,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2037572000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1791244361.8643622, "status": "constructed", @@ -10233,6 +11350,8 @@ "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.879107271725545, "delta": -246327638.13563776 }, @@ -10245,7 +11364,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10255,7 +11376,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 246835924.1360891, @@ -10265,7 +11388,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 210690959.72337496, @@ -10275,7 +11400,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1791244361.8643622, @@ -10285,7 +11412,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10315,6 +11444,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2752164000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 4247438844.245804, "status": "constructed", @@ -10324,6 +11454,8 @@ "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5433087723863126, "delta": 1495274844.2458038 }, @@ -10336,7 +11468,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1698972367.1629837, @@ -10346,7 +11480,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2769570356.01968, @@ -10356,7 +11492,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2560642174.556426, @@ -10366,7 +11504,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 4247438844.245804, @@ -10376,7 +11516,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10406,6 +11548,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2042047899000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 2266147215659.016, "status": "constructed", @@ -10415,6 +11558,8 @@ "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.109742438837384, "delta": 224099316659.0161 }, @@ -10427,7 +11572,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2013482523462.149, @@ -10437,7 +11584,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2260591082469.246, @@ -10447,7 +11596,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2268814503421.6855, @@ -10457,7 +11608,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2266147215659.016, @@ -10467,7 +11620,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10497,6 +11652,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 39330017000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 49844241319.681816, "status": "constructed", @@ -10506,6 +11662,8 @@ "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2673333276128973, "delta": 10514224319.681816 }, @@ -10518,7 +11676,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 41642927071.519646, @@ -10528,7 +11688,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 52049554942.70083, @@ -10538,7 +11700,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 51644712672.526855, @@ -10548,7 +11712,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 49844241319.681816, @@ -10558,7 +11724,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10588,6 +11756,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 81087060000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 126394862824.41135, "status": "constructed", @@ -10597,6 +11766,8 @@ "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5587550322383295, "delta": 45307802824.41135 }, @@ -10609,7 +11780,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 69547029583.4678, @@ -10619,7 +11792,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 75423075746.92467, @@ -10629,7 +11804,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 74472201731.77736, @@ -10639,7 +11816,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126394862824.41135, @@ -10649,7 +11828,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10678,6 +11859,7 @@ "reform_key": "8975e0ef19be3ee4", "external_value": -11882000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -7123621842.23584, "status": "constructed", @@ -10687,6 +11869,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.5995305371348123, "delta": 4758378157.76416 }, @@ -10699,7 +11883,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10728,6 +11914,7 @@ "reform_key": "a8b5d475eb438674", "external_value": -105075000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -86548399913.59424, "status": "constructed", @@ -10737,6 +11924,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8236821309882868, "delta": 18526600086.40576 }, @@ -10749,7 +11938,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10782,15 +11973,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -147679000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -205264659779.85547, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.389938039801566, "delta": -57585659779.85547 }, @@ -10801,9 +11995,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -190571706172.3506, @@ -10813,7 +12009,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -219237808210.38477, @@ -10821,9 +12019,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -217988675767.25195, @@ -10831,9 +12031,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -205264659779.85547, @@ -10841,9 +12043,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10876,15 +12080,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -10121000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1764716950.9355469, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.1743619159110312, "delta": 8356283049.064453 }, @@ -10895,9 +12102,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10907,7 +12116,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10915,9 +12126,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10925,9 +12138,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1764716950.9355469, @@ -10935,9 +12150,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10970,15 +12187,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 13419000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 15174625541.742188, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1308313243715766, "delta": 1755625541.7421875 }, @@ -10989,9 +12209,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11001,7 +12223,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11009,9 +12233,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11019,9 +12245,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 15174625541.742188, @@ -11029,9 +12257,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11064,15 +12294,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -16040000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -19565645365.34619, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2198033270165956, "delta": -3525645365.3461914 }, @@ -11083,9 +12316,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -19245750592.199707, @@ -11095,7 +12330,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -20350960759.769043, @@ -11103,9 +12340,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -20271905932.697266, @@ -11113,9 +12352,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -19565645365.34619, @@ -11123,9 +12364,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11158,15 +12401,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -92124000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -135318586143.90137, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4688744099681013, "delta": -43194586143.90137 }, @@ -11177,9 +12423,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -173598259258.1997, @@ -11189,7 +12437,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -144517784392.23145, @@ -11197,9 +12447,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -143032923110.28125, @@ -11207,9 +12459,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -135318586143.90137, @@ -11217,9 +12471,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11252,15 +12508,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -32806000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -17036349857.110352, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.5193059152932498, "delta": 15769650142.889648 }, @@ -11271,9 +12530,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11283,7 +12544,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11291,9 +12554,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11301,9 +12566,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -17036349857.110352, @@ -11311,9 +12578,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11346,15 +12615,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 31617000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 59065191899.20947, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.8681466267896851, "delta": 27448191899.209473 }, @@ -11365,9 +12637,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 48335471275.9624, @@ -11377,7 +12651,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 58997768365.30371, @@ -11385,9 +12661,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 57405938715.87793, @@ -11395,9 +12673,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 59065191899.20947, @@ -11405,9 +12685,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11440,15 +12722,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -5400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1099249276.4453125, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.20356468082320603, "delta": 4300750723.5546875 }, @@ -11459,9 +12744,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11471,7 +12758,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11479,9 +12768,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11489,9 +12780,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1099249276.4453125, @@ -11499,9 +12792,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11534,15 +12829,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 110625000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 137828497908.52393, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2459073257267699, "delta": 27203497908.523926 }, @@ -11553,9 +12851,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 214380228203.10742, @@ -11565,7 +12865,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 143107871121.56006, @@ -11573,9 +12875,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 140638766188.2578, @@ -11583,9 +12887,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 137828497908.52393, @@ -11593,9 +12899,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11628,6 +12936,7 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -48769000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -91169531318.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -11640,6 +12949,8 @@ "LAST-IN-STACK baseline (vs full current law); JCT scores at stack position 4 (expiry + provisions 1-3) \u2014 baseline_k ReformRef build registered", "PE CY2026 vs JCT FY2026" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.869415639402079, "delta": -42400531318.0 }, @@ -11650,9 +12961,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -85857310019.36963, @@ -11662,7 +12975,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -90628266316.41602, @@ -11670,9 +12985,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -88750704657.55127, @@ -11680,9 +12997,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -89064547927.9414, @@ -11690,9 +13009,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -91169531318.0, @@ -11705,7 +13026,9 @@ "annotations": [ "LAST-IN-STACK baseline (vs full current law); JCT scores at stack position 4 (expiry + provisions 1-3) \u2014 baseline_k ReformRef build registered", "PE CY2026 vs JCT FY2026" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11738,15 +13061,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -1543000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -3484539280.26709, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.258288580860071, "delta": -1941539280.2670898 }, @@ -11757,9 +13083,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -875131720.0639648, @@ -11769,7 +13097,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -3336161996.835449, @@ -11777,9 +13107,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -3364235878.944336, @@ -11787,9 +13119,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -3484539280.26709, @@ -11797,9 +13131,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11832,15 +13168,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 1346000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 7188068518.41748, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 5.340318364351768, "delta": 5842068518.41748 }, @@ -11851,9 +13190,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos19:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 9426686209.288086, @@ -11863,7 +13204,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7358650871.935059, @@ -11871,9 +13214,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7379699120.913574, @@ -11881,9 +13226,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7188068518.41748, @@ -11891,9 +13238,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11926,15 +13275,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -409000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1101576259.472168, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.693340487707012, "delta": -692576259.472168 }, @@ -11945,9 +13297,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11957,7 +13311,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1278566201.8041992, @@ -11965,9 +13321,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1150076776.0532227, @@ -11975,9 +13333,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1101576259.472168, @@ -11985,9 +13345,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12020,15 +13382,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -44331000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -58686170864.458496, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3238178896135548, "delta": -14355170864.458496 }, @@ -12039,9 +13404,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -59498745641.17236, @@ -12051,7 +13418,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -40950689192.69287, @@ -12059,9 +13428,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -41065161630.41113, @@ -12069,9 +13440,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -58686170864.458496, @@ -12079,9 +13452,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12114,15 +13489,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -3672000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": -0.0, "delta": 3672000000.0 }, @@ -12133,9 +13511,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12145,7 +13525,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12153,9 +13535,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12163,9 +13547,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12173,9 +13559,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12208,15 +13596,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -76835000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -147669921815.1162, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.9219095700542228, "delta": -70834921815.11621 }, @@ -12227,9 +13618,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -37879993092.05762, @@ -12239,7 +13632,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -136022121556.41162, @@ -12247,9 +13642,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -139259932897.04346, @@ -12257,9 +13654,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -147669921815.1162, @@ -12267,9 +13666,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12584,15 +14024,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -7664000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1764716950.9355469, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.23026056249159013, "delta": 5899283049.064453 }, @@ -12603,9 +14046,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12633,9 +14082,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1764716950.9355469, @@ -12643,9 +14094,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12678,15 +14131,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 23707000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 15174625541.742188, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6400905024567507, "delta": -8532374458.2578125 }, @@ -12697,9 +14153,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12727,9 +14189,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 15174625541.742188, @@ -12737,9 +14201,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13197,9 +14724,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1099249276.4453125, @@ -13207,9 +14736,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13242,15 +14773,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 173453000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 137828497908.52393, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7946158204731191, "delta": -35624502091.476074 }, @@ -13261,9 +14795,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13336,15 +14880,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -87599000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -89064547927.9414, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0167301901613193, "delta": -1465547927.9414062 }, @@ -13355,9 +14902,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13430,15 +14987,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -7791000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -3484539280.26709, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.4472518650066859, "delta": 4306460719.73291 }, @@ -13449,9 +15009,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13524,15 +15094,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 7083000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 7188068518.41748, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0148339006660285, "delta": 105068518.41748047 }, @@ -13543,9 +15116,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13618,15 +15201,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -1197000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1101576259.472168, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9202809185231144, "delta": 95423740.52783203 }, @@ -13637,9 +15223,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1150076776.0532227, @@ -13667,9 +15259,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1101576259.472168, @@ -13677,9 +15271,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13712,15 +15308,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -74617000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -58686170864.458496, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7864986647072182, "delta": 15930829135.541504 }, @@ -13731,9 +15330,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -59498745641.17236, @@ -13743,7 +15344,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -40950689192.69287, @@ -13751,9 +15354,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -41065161630.41113, @@ -13761,9 +15366,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -58686170864.458496, @@ -13771,9 +15378,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13806,15 +15415,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -20276000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": -0.0, "delta": 20276000000.0 }, @@ -13825,9 +15437,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13837,7 +15451,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13845,9 +15461,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13855,9 +15473,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13865,9 +15485,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13900,15 +15522,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -137508000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -147669921815.1162, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0739005862576447, "delta": -10161921815.11621 }, @@ -13919,9 +15544,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -37879993092.05762, @@ -13931,7 +15558,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -136022121556.41162, @@ -13939,9 +15568,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -139259932897.04346, @@ -13949,9 +15580,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -147669921815.1162, @@ -13959,9 +15592,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13994,15 +15629,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 3110000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3241442519.493164, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0422644757212747, "delta": 131442519.49316406 }, @@ -14013,9 +15651,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3315852895.907715, @@ -14025,7 +15665,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 4390148036.187988, @@ -14033,9 +15675,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 4460545552.770508, @@ -14043,9 +15687,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3241442519.493164, @@ -14053,9 +15699,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14088,15 +15736,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 128000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 427209320.93066406, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 3.3375728197708128, "delta": 299209320.93066406 }, @@ -14107,9 +15758,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -14119,7 +15772,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -14127,9 +15782,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -14137,9 +15794,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 427209320.93066406, @@ -14147,9 +15806,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14179,6 +15840,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 60400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 60143428830.98715, "status": "constructed", @@ -14188,6 +15850,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9957521329633634, "delta": -256571169.0128479 }, @@ -14200,7 +15864,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 42955154284.60103, @@ -14210,7 +15876,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60408797706.45658, @@ -14220,7 +15888,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60374025321.40803, @@ -14230,7 +15900,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60143428830.98715, @@ -14240,7 +15912,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14270,6 +15944,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 24800000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 30579510129.811073, "status": "constructed", @@ -14279,6 +15954,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2330447632988335, "delta": 5779510129.811073 }, @@ -14291,7 +15968,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 26056580034.082413, @@ -14301,7 +15980,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33908627415.308014, @@ -14311,7 +15992,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 34371539835.70409, @@ -14321,7 +16004,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 30579510129.811073, @@ -14331,7 +16016,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14361,6 +16048,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 11400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 8987180721.862799, "status": "constructed", @@ -14370,6 +16058,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7883491861283157, "delta": -2412819278.1372013 }, @@ -14382,7 +16072,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 5259462239.4256, @@ -14392,7 +16084,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7473730228.65058, @@ -14402,7 +16096,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7781104845.127576, @@ -14412,7 +16108,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 8987180721.862799, @@ -14422,7 +16120,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14452,6 +16152,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 63100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 50562389099.71365, "status": "constructed", @@ -14461,6 +16162,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8013056909621815, "delta": -12537610900.286346 }, @@ -14473,7 +16176,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 45124110367.856346, @@ -14483,7 +16188,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33121957747.716286, @@ -14493,7 +16200,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33113181816.208977, @@ -14503,7 +16212,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 50562389099.71365, @@ -14513,7 +16224,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14543,6 +16256,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 21700000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 23357279339.76437, "status": "constructed", @@ -14552,6 +16266,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0763723198048096, "delta": 1657279339.76437 }, @@ -14564,7 +16280,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 21705827538.472416, @@ -14574,7 +16292,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 24108540588.138664, @@ -14584,7 +16304,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 24220828502.939632, @@ -14594,7 +16316,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 23357279339.76437, @@ -14604,7 +16328,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14634,6 +16360,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 127100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 126586082373.94873, "status": "constructed", @@ -14643,6 +16370,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9959565883080151, "delta": -513917626.05126953 }, @@ -14655,7 +16384,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 118580391775.48145, @@ -14665,7 +16396,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126697822415.02344, @@ -14675,7 +16408,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 125704652454.07812, @@ -14685,7 +16420,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126586082373.94873, @@ -14695,7 +16432,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14725,6 +16464,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 66900000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 66758348543.59277, "status": "constructed", @@ -14734,6 +16474,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9978826389176797, "delta": -141651456.40722656 }, @@ -14746,7 +16488,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 59187536691.41016, @@ -14756,7 +16500,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 66847007945.88672, @@ -14766,7 +16512,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 66924004363.58008, @@ -14776,7 +16524,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 66758348543.59277, @@ -14786,7 +16536,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14816,6 +16568,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 76378592.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 80994273.61573279, "status": "constructed", @@ -14825,6 +16578,8 @@ "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.06043161434205, "delta": 4615681.615732789 }, @@ -14837,7 +16592,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 81119425.1472412, @@ -14847,7 +16604,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 80863118.38066879, @@ -14857,7 +16616,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 80994273.61573279, @@ -14867,7 +16628,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14897,6 +16660,7 @@ "reform_key": "e9a6faf1f58f3875", "external_value": -10400000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -12470408.444123268, "status": "comparable", @@ -14906,6 +16670,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.1990777350118527, "delta": -2070408.4441232681 }, @@ -14918,7 +16684,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14947,6 +16715,7 @@ "reform_key": "72b79662aa8a200e", "external_value": -5000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -4761348.070029259, "status": "constructed", @@ -14956,6 +16725,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9522696140058517, "delta": 238651.92997074127 }, @@ -14968,7 +16739,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14998,6 +16771,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 78713535.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 77926044.65524192, "status": "constructed", @@ -15007,6 +16781,8 @@ "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9899954900417307, "delta": -787490.3447580785 }, @@ -15019,7 +16795,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 78039143.12666167, @@ -15029,7 +16807,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 78164617.24042185, @@ -15039,7 +16819,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 77926044.65524192, @@ -15049,7 +16831,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15079,6 +16863,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 300000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 320558845.4939117, "status": "constructed", @@ -15088,6 +16873,8 @@ "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0685294849797056, "delta": 20558845.493911684 }, @@ -15100,7 +16887,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 320259318.7856904, @@ -15110,7 +16899,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 321316343.0270122, @@ -15120,7 +16911,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 320558845.4939117, @@ -15130,7 +16923,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15160,6 +16955,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 460000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 525295584.114061, "status": "constructed", @@ -15169,6 +16965,8 @@ "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.141946921987089, "delta": 65295584.114061 }, @@ -15181,7 +16979,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 407797341.70085907, @@ -15191,7 +16991,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 499547131.719532, @@ -15201,7 +17003,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 525295584.114061, @@ -15211,7 +17015,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15241,6 +17047,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 13800000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 18213241.61463231, "status": "constructed", @@ -15250,6 +17057,8 @@ "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3198001170023412, "delta": 4413241.6146323085 }, @@ -15262,7 +17071,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22168696.51222229, @@ -15272,7 +17083,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 24550843.092918396, @@ -15282,7 +17095,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 18213241.61463231, @@ -15292,7 +17107,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15322,6 +17139,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 550881492.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 499887914.6775911, "status": "comparable", @@ -15331,6 +17149,8 @@ "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9074327635563242, "delta": -50993577.322408915 }, @@ -15343,7 +17163,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 497482979.49269986, @@ -15353,7 +17175,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502420870.9982235, @@ -15363,7 +17187,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 499887914.6775911, @@ -15373,7 +17199,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15402,6 +17230,7 @@ "reform_key": "3589648b0fb7d981", "external_value": -115200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -98551825.31502724, "status": "constructed", @@ -15411,6 +17240,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8554845947485004, "delta": 16648174.684972763 }, @@ -15423,7 +17254,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -92166616.22840309, @@ -15433,7 +17266,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -95508981.50632286, @@ -15443,7 +17278,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -98551825.31502724, @@ -15453,7 +17290,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15483,6 +17322,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 38150000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 48993985.839305624, "status": "constructed", @@ -15492,6 +17332,8 @@ "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2842460246213794, "delta": 10843985.839305624 }, @@ -15504,7 +17346,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 49026674.904804185, @@ -15514,7 +17358,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 48925076.05617188, @@ -15524,7 +17370,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 48993985.839305624, @@ -15534,7 +17382,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15564,6 +17414,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 591900000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 592747131.5417893, "status": "constructed", @@ -15573,6 +17424,8 @@ "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0014312072001847, "delta": 847131.5417892933 }, @@ -15585,7 +17438,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 593768186.8238549, @@ -15595,7 +17450,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 592448699.9006641, @@ -15605,7 +17462,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 592747131.5417893, @@ -15615,7 +17474,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15644,6 +17505,7 @@ "reform_key": "a211fd44d2c5331d", "external_value": -700000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -733681924.0541687, "status": "constructed", @@ -15653,6 +17515,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.048117034363098, "delta": -33681924.0541687 }, @@ -15665,7 +17529,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -724546867.228117, @@ -15675,7 +17541,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -724397170.8177109, @@ -15685,7 +17553,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -733681924.0541687, @@ -15695,7 +17565,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15725,6 +17597,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 755500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 831585233.4332116, "status": "comparable", @@ -15734,6 +17607,8 @@ "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.1007084492828743, "delta": 76085233.43321157 }, @@ -15746,7 +17621,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 857023713.1635034, @@ -15756,7 +17633,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 876316831.2885281, @@ -15766,7 +17645,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 831585233.4332116, @@ -15776,7 +17657,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15806,6 +17689,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 191500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 230098295.7988193, "status": "constructed", @@ -15815,6 +17699,8 @@ "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.201557680411589, "delta": 38598295.7988193 }, @@ -15827,7 +17713,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 261412987.9588238, @@ -15837,7 +17725,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 268874227.18823946, @@ -15847,7 +17737,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 230098295.7988193, @@ -15857,7 +17749,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15887,6 +17781,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 46062034.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 31011426.08601901, "status": "comparable", @@ -15896,6 +17791,8 @@ "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.673253510385994, "delta": -15050607.91398099 }, @@ -15908,7 +17805,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 37109040.38760682, @@ -15918,7 +17817,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 36409292.13484065, @@ -15928,7 +17829,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 31011426.08601901, @@ -15938,7 +17841,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15968,6 +17873,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 15610000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 15994460.611815184, "status": "constructed", @@ -15977,6 +17883,8 @@ "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0246291231143616, "delta": 384460.61181518435 }, @@ -15989,7 +17897,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 16122718.270847155, @@ -15999,7 +17909,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 16105078.464381712, @@ -16009,7 +17921,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 15994460.611815184, @@ -16019,7 +17933,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16049,6 +17965,7 @@ "reform_key": "7e74d380698f6a21", "external_value": -20278500.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -26404902.50053966, "status": "constructed", @@ -16058,6 +17975,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3021131987346037, "delta": -6126402.50053966 }, @@ -16070,7 +17989,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -25756456.633530736, @@ -16080,7 +18001,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -26252461.245339155, @@ -16090,7 +18013,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -26404902.50053966, @@ -16100,7 +18025,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16130,6 +18057,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 30250000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 30044320.24648146, "status": "comparable", @@ -16139,6 +18067,8 @@ "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9932006693051723, "delta": -205679.7535185404 }, @@ -16151,7 +18081,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 30047324.05787287, @@ -16161,7 +18093,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 29911276.043092243, @@ -16171,7 +18105,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 30044320.24648146, @@ -16181,7 +18117,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16211,6 +18149,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 220600000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 278776847.9352504, "status": "constructed", @@ -16220,6 +18159,8 @@ "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.263720978854263, "delta": 58176847.9352504 }, @@ -16232,7 +18173,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 223812323.23684692, @@ -16242,7 +18185,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 248784352.32639313, @@ -16252,7 +18197,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 278776847.9352504, @@ -16262,7 +18209,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16292,6 +18241,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 603600000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 636243725.4279296, "status": "constructed", @@ -16301,6 +18251,8 @@ "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0540817187341445, "delta": 32643725.42792964 }, @@ -16313,7 +18265,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 619923187.5466, @@ -16323,7 +18277,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 631350348.7503012, @@ -16333,7 +18289,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 636243725.4279296, @@ -16343,7 +18301,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16373,6 +18333,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 133590000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 166527305.66908738, "status": "comparable", @@ -16382,6 +18343,8 @@ "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.2465551738085738, "delta": 32937305.66908738 }, @@ -16394,7 +18357,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 147986732.7699175, @@ -16404,7 +18369,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 159101128.99178576, @@ -16414,7 +18381,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 166527305.66908738, @@ -16424,7 +18393,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16454,6 +18425,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 130807000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 138969098.6371684, "status": "comparable", @@ -16463,6 +18435,8 @@ "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0623980263836676, "delta": 8162098.637168407 }, @@ -16475,7 +18449,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 138035540.06666782, @@ -16485,7 +18461,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 138854763.09541237, @@ -16495,7 +18473,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 138969098.6371684, @@ -16505,7 +18485,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16535,6 +18517,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 693091767.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 716477970.6125236, "status": "constructed", @@ -16544,6 +18527,8 @@ "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.033741857465353, "delta": 23386203.612523556 }, @@ -16556,7 +18541,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 773178111.5205334, @@ -16566,7 +18553,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 773257570.1274319, @@ -16576,7 +18565,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 716477970.6125236, @@ -16586,7 +18577,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16616,6 +18609,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1116252683.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1131717111.0611105, "status": "comparable", @@ -16625,6 +18619,8 @@ "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0138538776180577, "delta": 15464428.061110497 }, @@ -16637,7 +18633,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1131433042.1047502, @@ -16647,7 +18645,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1132343230.7320895, @@ -16657,7 +18657,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1131717111.0611105, @@ -16667,7 +18669,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16697,6 +18701,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 59300000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 107919013.33805472, "status": "constructed", @@ -16706,6 +18711,8 @@ "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.8198821810801806, "delta": 48619013.33805472 }, @@ -16718,7 +18725,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 100990353.00137575, @@ -16728,7 +18737,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 111428322.98510331, @@ -16738,7 +18749,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 107919013.33805472, @@ -16748,7 +18761,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16778,6 +18793,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 40249000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 33782958.721632674, "status": "constructed", @@ -16787,6 +18803,8 @@ "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.839349020388896, "delta": -6466041.278367326 }, @@ -16799,7 +18817,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 35042947.9372672, @@ -16809,7 +18829,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 34848419.38212298, @@ -16819,7 +18841,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33782958.721632674, @@ -16829,7 +18853,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16858,6 +18884,7 @@ "reform_key": "a26258b298a499fc", "external_value": -4947128000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -5295098039.810847, "status": "comparable", @@ -16867,6 +18894,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0703377878661815, "delta": -347970039.8108473 }, @@ -16879,7 +18908,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -5199760980.950191, @@ -16889,7 +18920,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -5194613721.844052, @@ -16899,7 +18932,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -5295098039.810847, @@ -16909,7 +18944,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16939,6 +18976,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 47200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 56383108.83072405, "status": "constructed", @@ -16948,6 +18986,8 @@ "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1945573904814417, "delta": 9183108.830724053 }, @@ -16960,7 +19000,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 53654188.08539658, @@ -16970,7 +19012,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 52767067.112756595, @@ -16980,7 +19024,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 56383108.83072405, @@ -16990,7 +19036,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17020,6 +19068,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 34200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 53149235.273332626, "status": "constructed", @@ -17029,6 +19078,8 @@ "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5540712068225915, "delta": 18949235.273332626 }, @@ -17041,7 +19092,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60314259.1662032, @@ -17051,7 +19104,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 39481057.98625037, @@ -17061,7 +19116,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 53149235.273332626, @@ -17071,7 +19128,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17102,6 +19161,7 @@ "reform_key": "44526157240aef77", "external_value": -60000000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -102121875631.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17115,6 +19175,8 @@ "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7020312605166668, "delta": -42121875631.0 }, @@ -17131,7 +19193,9 @@ "PE CY liability vs PWBM FY cash (FY2025 is partial-first-year)", "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17162,6 +19226,7 @@ "reform_key": "44526157240aef77", "external_value": -116000000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -114046325481.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17175,6 +19240,8 @@ "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9831579782844827, "delta": 1953674519.0 }, @@ -17191,7 +19258,9 @@ "PE CY liability vs PWBM FY cash (FY2025 is partial-first-year)", "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17221,6 +19290,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 26193666.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 28710411.680781163, "status": "constructed", @@ -17230,6 +19300,8 @@ "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0960822238773742, "delta": 2516745.6807811633 }, @@ -17242,7 +19314,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28693100.04318575, @@ -17252,7 +19326,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28651720.445930503, @@ -17262,7 +19338,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28710411.680781163, @@ -17272,7 +19350,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17302,6 +19382,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 23220000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 10779837.699741729, "status": "constructed", @@ -17311,6 +19392,8 @@ "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.4642479629518402, "delta": -12440162.300258271 }, @@ -17323,7 +19406,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 20575522.00841711, @@ -17333,7 +19418,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22519759.068929043, @@ -17343,7 +19430,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 10779837.699741729, @@ -17353,7 +19442,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17385,6 +19476,7 @@ "reform_key": "d8ed9c7cd94f3219", "external_value": 12200000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": 3560167298.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17398,6 +19490,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.29181699163934427, "delta": -8639832702.0 }, @@ -17414,7 +19508,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17446,6 +19542,7 @@ "reform_key": "4e3544154f521079", "external_value": -18500000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -12413332840.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17459,6 +19556,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -12.3B" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6709909643243244, "delta": 6086667160.0 }, @@ -17475,7 +19574,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -12.3B" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17507,6 +19608,7 @@ "reform_key": "d8ed9c7cd94f3219", "external_value": -10600000000.000002, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -11841396313.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17520,6 +19622,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1171128597169808, "delta": -1241396312.999998 }, @@ -17536,7 +19640,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17568,6 +19674,7 @@ "reform_key": "d8ed9c7cd94f3219", "external_value": -22800000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -15401563611.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17581,6 +19688,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -15.1B" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6755071759210526, "delta": 7398436389.0 }, @@ -17597,7 +19706,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -15.1B" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17629,6 +19740,7 @@ "reform_key": "4e3544154f521079", "external_value": -8100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -10520644600.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17642,6 +19754,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.298845012345679, "delta": -2420644600.0 }, @@ -17658,7 +19772,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17688,6 +19804,7 @@ "reform_key": "7cdae2d7e661cd09", "external_value": -133908999999.99998, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -132466602193.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17702,6 +19819,8 @@ "newborn $2,400 payment omitted (named delta)", "PE CY2026 vs TPC FY2026" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9892285223024593, "delta": 1442397806.9999847 }, @@ -17719,7 +19838,9 @@ "floor-construction bound: bill-text $2,000 floor gives -130.7B (width 1.8B)", "newborn $2,400 payment omitted (named delta)", "PE CY2026 vs TPC FY2026" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17751,6 +19872,7 @@ "reform_key": "53fd3b7c7c065a56", "external_value": -25200000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -17771840580.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17764,6 +19886,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -17.6B" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7052317690476191, "delta": 7428159420.0 }, @@ -17780,7 +19904,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -17.6B" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17812,6 +19938,7 @@ "reform_key": "53fd3b7c7c065a56", "external_value": -12100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -13358690967.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17825,6 +19952,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1040240468595042, "delta": -1258690967.0 }, @@ -17841,7 +19970,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17873,6 +20004,7 @@ "reform_key": "4e3544154f521079", "external_value": 10400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": 1892688240.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17886,6 +20018,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.18198925384615386, "delta": -8507311760.0 }, @@ -17902,7 +20036,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17934,6 +20070,7 @@ "reform_key": "53fd3b7c7c065a56", "external_value": 13100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": 4413149613.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17947,6 +20084,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.33688164984732827, "delta": -8686850387.0 }, @@ -17963,7 +20102,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17993,6 +20134,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 3690000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3176933837.6674805, "status": "constructed", @@ -18002,6 +20144,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.860957679584683, "delta": -513066162.33251953 }, @@ -18014,7 +20158,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -18024,7 +20170,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3538315799.251953, @@ -18034,7 +20182,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3315794560.0722656, @@ -18044,7 +20194,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3176933837.6674805, @@ -18054,7 +20206,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18085,6 +20239,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 40022410.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 2784215.124216859, "status": "concept_mismatch", @@ -18094,6 +20249,8 @@ "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch", "ratio": 0.069566403527845, "delta": -37238194.87578314 }, @@ -18106,7 +20263,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" }, { "value": 1324082.6429755944, @@ -18116,7 +20275,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" }, { "value": 1567337.1896916714, @@ -18126,7 +20287,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" }, { "value": 2784215.124216859, @@ -18136,7 +20299,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18166,6 +20331,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 224156631.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 245263505.6106354, "status": "constructed", @@ -18175,6 +20341,8 @@ "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0941612769449385, "delta": 21106874.6106354 }, @@ -18187,7 +20355,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 238559408.52860293, @@ -18197,7 +20367,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 240958255.9479866, @@ -18207,7 +20379,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 245263505.6106354, @@ -18217,7 +20391,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18247,6 +20423,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 25423933.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 22804686.534421444, "status": "constructed", @@ -18256,6 +20433,8 @@ "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8969771330982285, "delta": -2619246.465578556 }, @@ -18268,7 +20447,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22507651.564064026, @@ -18278,7 +20459,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 23616016.474285126, @@ -18288,7 +20471,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22804686.534421444, @@ -18298,7 +20483,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18328,6 +20515,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 24524566.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 28935140.388213746, "status": "constructed", @@ -18337,6 +20525,8 @@ "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1798431168247276, "delta": 4410574.388213746 }, @@ -18349,7 +20539,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28973351.91808102, @@ -18359,7 +20551,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28895700.99882271, @@ -18369,7 +20563,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28935140.388213746, @@ -18379,7 +20575,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18409,6 +20607,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 205589501.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 192030677.04028344, "status": "comparable", @@ -18418,6 +20617,8 @@ "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9340490448502204, "delta": -13558823.959716558 }, @@ -18430,7 +20631,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 210716912.23386228, @@ -18440,7 +20643,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 233934496.5649276, @@ -18450,7 +20655,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 192030677.04028344, @@ -18460,7 +20667,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18490,6 +20699,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 87723239.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 116426219.03550029, "status": "constructed", @@ -18499,6 +20709,8 @@ "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3271992731082387, "delta": 28702980.035500288 }, @@ -18511,7 +20723,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116547447.67152292, @@ -18521,7 +20735,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116277422.5830329, @@ -18531,7 +20747,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116426219.03550029, @@ -18541,7 +20759,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null diff --git a/app/src/components/ReformValidationView.tsx b/app/src/components/ReformValidationView.tsx index 534feb9..fcfebcd 100644 --- a/app/src/components/ReformValidationView.tsx +++ b/app/src/components/ReformValidationView.tsx @@ -23,7 +23,8 @@ export function ReformValidationView({ feed }: { feed: PopulationsFeed }) { () => feed.rows.filter((r) => { if (source !== "all" && r.source !== source) return false; - if (status !== "all" && r.latest.status !== status) return false; + if (status !== "all" && r.latest.status_effective !== status) + return false; if (releasesOnly && r.results.length < 2) return false; return true; }), @@ -155,7 +156,7 @@ export function ReformValidationView({ feed }: { feed: PopulationsFeed }) { {fmtDiv(r)} - + ( {res.release} - {res.engine_version} + + {res.engine_version} + {res.status_effective !== res.status && ( + + {STATUS_LABELS[res.status_effective]} + + )} + {fmtV(res.value, row.value_kind)} diff --git a/app/src/types.ts b/app/src/types.ts index 1b70997..1c27bcf 100644 --- a/app/src/types.ts +++ b/app/src/types.ts @@ -1,6 +1,7 @@ export type Status = | "comparable" | "constructed" + | "baseline_unvalidated" | "concept_mismatch" | "pe_gap" | "not_computed" @@ -115,6 +116,7 @@ export const METRIC_LABELS: Record = { export const STATUS_LABELS: Record = { comparable: "Comparable", constructed: "Constructed", + baseline_unvalidated: "Baseline unvalidated", concept_mismatch: "Concept mismatch", pe_gap: "Model gap", not_computed: "Not yet computed", @@ -131,6 +133,8 @@ export interface ReleaseResult { construction: string; computed_at: string; annotations: string[]; + baseline: string | null; + status_effective: Status; } /** A non-Urban claim from scorecard.db with its per-release history. */ @@ -156,6 +160,7 @@ export interface PopulationRow { reform_key: string; external_value: number | null; calibration_relationship: CalibrationRelationship; + claim_baseline: string | null; latest: ReleaseResult & { ratio: number | null; delta: number | null }; results: ReleaseResult[]; diagnosis: { diff --git a/data/lanes.json b/data/lanes.json index 2ce9913..2f90fb8 100644 --- a/data/lanes.json +++ b/data/lanes.json @@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ "stage": "registered | cataloged | ingested | computed | diagnosing | published | regressed", "note": "Repo-committed status feed (issue #7); graduate to Supabase when lane count makes commits noisy. Every lane writes its transition here." }, - "updated": "2026-08-14", + "updated": "2026-08-19", "lanes": [ { "id": "urban-sotsn", diff --git a/data/populations.json b/data/populations.json index af84503..931698b 100644 --- a/data/populations.json +++ b/data/populations.json @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ { - "built": "2026-08-06", + "built": "2026-08-19", "note": "Non-Urban populations exported from scorecard.db: the populace reform-validation registry (issue #20) plus the compute campaign's attached comparisons (TPC/CPSP/PWBM/CBO/JCT). Statuses and calibration relationships are verbatim; nothing here is a pass/fail grade.", "summary": { "claims": 270, @@ -93,6 +93,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 151000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 126809715.4126315, "status": "constructed", @@ -102,6 +103,8 @@ "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8397994398187516, "delta": -24190284.587368503 }, @@ -114,7 +117,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130210997.22330628, @@ -124,7 +129,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130885577.01468982, @@ -134,7 +141,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126809715.4126315, @@ -144,7 +153,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:az_dependent_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -174,6 +185,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 941000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1176093695.552145, "status": "constructed", @@ -183,6 +195,8 @@ "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2498338953795378, "delta": 235093695.552145 }, @@ -195,7 +209,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1164308735.9892344, @@ -205,7 +221,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1225375778.6142159, @@ -215,7 +233,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1176093695.552145, @@ -225,7 +245,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ca_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -255,6 +277,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 413000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 579675158.4393413, "status": "constructed", @@ -264,6 +287,8 @@ "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4035718122017948, "delta": 166675158.4393413 }, @@ -276,7 +301,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 641544372.2220612, @@ -286,7 +313,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 596007571.7019713, @@ -296,7 +325,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 579675158.4393413, @@ -306,7 +337,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ca_yctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -335,6 +368,7 @@ "reform_key": "a8f8aa819449e6cf", "external_value": -7000000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -6408273121.757233, "status": "constructed", @@ -344,6 +378,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9154675888224618, "delta": 591726878.2427673 }, @@ -356,7 +392,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -6461187332.940857, @@ -366,7 +404,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -6387695352.5572815, @@ -376,7 +416,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -6408273121.757233, @@ -386,7 +428,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ca_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -417,6 +461,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 751.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 789.3138964940113, "status": "constructed", @@ -426,6 +471,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 ssi dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0510171724287767, "delta": 38.31389649401126 }, @@ -438,7 +485,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 ssi dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -469,6 +518,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 186.6, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 129.7045752084306, "status": "constructed", @@ -478,6 +528,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 snap dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.695094186540357, "delta": -56.89542479156938 }, @@ -490,7 +542,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 snap dollars / year-grid part_pop / 12 (per annual-ever person-month) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta); denominator concept differs -> ratio inherits caseload delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -523,6 +577,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 104514000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 109071629469.4516, "status": "constructed", @@ -532,6 +587,8 @@ "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0436078369352584, "delta": 4557629469.451599 }, @@ -544,7 +601,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -577,6 +636,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 104514000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 109071629469.4516, "status": "constructed", @@ -586,6 +646,8 @@ "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0436078369352584, "delta": 4557629469.451599 }, @@ -598,7 +660,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "eitc+refundable_ctc CY2026 (composite; CBO line includes 'other credits' \u2014 scope note) | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO composite line broader than EITC+ACTC (named scope delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -630,6 +694,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 98415000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 90927596849.523, "status": "constructed", @@ -639,6 +704,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 aggregate snap total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is BUDGET AUTHORITY (FY); PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named concept + timing deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9239201021137327, "delta": -7487403150.477005 }, @@ -651,7 +718,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 aggregate snap total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is BUDGET AUTHORITY (FY); PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named concept + timing deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -683,6 +752,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 16968000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 4936866453.148398, "status": "concept_mismatch", @@ -692,6 +762,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 aggregate tanf total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Estimated Outlays), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas); CBO TANF outlays = full block grant (incl. non-cash state uses); PE models cash assistance only (~quarter of block-grant spending) \u2014 named scope delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch", "ratio": 0.29095158257593107, "delta": -12031133546.8516 }, @@ -704,7 +776,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 aggregate tanf total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Estimated Outlays), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas); CBO TANF outlays = full block grant (incl. non-cash state uses); PE models cash assistance only (~quarter of block-grant spending) \u2014 named scope delta", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -735,6 +809,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 66500000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 57857268951.65666, "status": "constructed", @@ -744,6 +819,8 @@ "construction": "pass2 aggregate ssi total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Total Outlays, Adjusted for Date of Payment Shiftb), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8700341195737844, "delta": -8642731048.343338 }, @@ -756,7 +833,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "pass2 aggregate ssi total_usd CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); CBO row is outlays (Total Outlays, Adjusted for Date of Payment Shiftb), cash FY; PE totals are accrual entitlement dollars (named deltas)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -786,6 +865,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 7275000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 6108392.492163988, "status": "constructed", @@ -795,6 +875,8 @@ "construction": "year-grid ssi part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8396415796788986, "delta": -1166607.5078360122 }, @@ -807,7 +889,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "year-grid ssi part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -837,6 +921,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 39300000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 58419679.68580754, "status": "constructed", @@ -846,6 +931,8 @@ "construction": "year-grid snap part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4865058444225838, "delta": 19119679.68580754 }, @@ -858,7 +945,9 @@ "release": "buildp", "construction": "year-grid snap part_pop US CY2026 | CBO federal fiscal year vs PE calendar year (named delta); PE annual-ever persons in units with benefit>0 vs CBO avg-monthly participation (named delta)", "computed_at": "2026-08-07T02:24:55.382758+00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -888,6 +977,7 @@ "reform_key": "098098619723de7a", "external_value": 106300000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "pre_obbba_current_law", "latest": { "value": 113870114490.94482, "status": "constructed", @@ -897,6 +987,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.071214623621306, "delta": 7570114490.944824 }, @@ -909,7 +1001,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -940,6 +1034,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.106, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10329803285169523, "status": "constructed", @@ -949,6 +1044,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9745097438839172, "delta": -0.002701967148304771 }, @@ -961,7 +1058,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -992,6 +1091,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.146, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1505569333413196, "status": "constructed", @@ -1001,6 +1101,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0312118722008192, "delta": 0.004556933341319597 }, @@ -1013,7 +1115,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1044,6 +1148,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.146, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11503155907237178, "status": "constructed", @@ -1053,6 +1158,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.787887390906656, "delta": -0.03096844092762821 }, @@ -1065,7 +1172,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1096,6 +1205,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.147, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1921782872434054, "status": "constructed", @@ -1105,6 +1215,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.307335287370105, "delta": 0.04517828724340542 }, @@ -1117,7 +1229,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1148,6 +1262,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.182, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2159505536043489, "status": "constructed", @@ -1157,6 +1272,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1865415033205984, "delta": 0.0339505536043489 }, @@ -1169,7 +1286,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1200,6 +1319,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.077, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13855390686776925, "status": "constructed", @@ -1209,6 +1329,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7994013878931072, "delta": 0.06155390686776925 }, @@ -1221,7 +1343,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1252,6 +1376,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.109, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17263896958254063, "status": "constructed", @@ -1261,6 +1386,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5838437576379873, "delta": 0.06363896958254063 }, @@ -1273,7 +1400,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1304,6 +1433,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.187, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14467308939448856, "status": "constructed", @@ -1313,6 +1443,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7736528844625057, "delta": -0.04232691060551144 }, @@ -1325,7 +1457,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1356,6 +1490,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.22695217212887303, "status": "constructed", @@ -1365,6 +1500,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.2034191468822626, "delta": 0.12395217212887304 }, @@ -1377,7 +1514,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1408,6 +1547,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.176, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.310077108061372, "status": "constructed", @@ -1417,6 +1557,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7618017503487047, "delta": 0.13407710806137202 }, @@ -1429,7 +1571,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1460,6 +1604,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.137, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.15099892503706577, "status": "constructed", @@ -1469,6 +1614,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1021819345771224, "delta": 0.013998925037065763 }, @@ -1481,7 +1628,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1512,6 +1661,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.122, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10759347113653098, "status": "constructed", @@ -1521,6 +1671,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8819136978404178, "delta": -0.01440652886346902 }, @@ -1533,7 +1685,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1564,6 +1718,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.07, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12356060759864736, "status": "constructed", @@ -1573,6 +1728,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7651515371235336, "delta": 0.05356060759864735 }, @@ -1585,7 +1742,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1616,6 +1775,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.058, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.04319380943090882, "status": "constructed", @@ -1625,6 +1785,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7447208522570486, "delta": -0.01480619056909118 }, @@ -1637,7 +1799,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1668,6 +1832,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.109, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.22407192001757978, "status": "constructed", @@ -1677,6 +1842,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.055705688234677, "delta": 0.11507192001757978 }, @@ -1689,7 +1856,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1720,6 +1889,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.091, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1401888779452793, "status": "constructed", @@ -1729,6 +1899,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5405371202777944, "delta": 0.04918887794527929 }, @@ -1741,7 +1913,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1772,6 +1946,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.097, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11049707808530514, "status": "constructed", @@ -1781,6 +1956,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.139145134900053, "delta": 0.013497078085305134 }, @@ -1793,7 +1970,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1824,6 +2003,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.158, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16650483237144315, "status": "constructed", @@ -1833,6 +2013,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0538280529838173, "delta": 0.008504832371443144 }, @@ -1845,7 +2027,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1876,6 +2060,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.189, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14878938671226047, "status": "constructed", @@ -1885,6 +2070,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7872454323400024, "delta": -0.04021061328773953 }, @@ -1897,7 +2084,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1928,6 +2117,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.116, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.15018924622184068, "status": "constructed", @@ -1937,6 +2127,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2947348812227644, "delta": 0.03418924622184068 }, @@ -1949,7 +2141,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -1980,6 +2174,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.124, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2138827361406449, "status": "constructed", @@ -1989,6 +2184,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7248607753277816, "delta": 0.0898827361406449 }, @@ -2001,7 +2198,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2032,6 +2231,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.05, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09936430562401276, "status": "constructed", @@ -2041,6 +2241,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.987286112480255, "delta": 0.049364305624012755 }, @@ -2053,7 +2255,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2084,6 +2288,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1134851140594787, "status": "constructed", @@ -2093,6 +2298,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.101797223878434, "delta": 0.010485114059478703 }, @@ -2105,7 +2312,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2136,6 +2345,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.063, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.07686412373532482, "status": "constructed", @@ -2145,6 +2355,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.220065456116267, "delta": 0.013864123735324821 }, @@ -2157,7 +2369,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2188,6 +2402,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.108, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17194807589432126, "status": "constructed", @@ -2197,6 +2412,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.592111813836308, "delta": 0.06394807589432126 }, @@ -2209,7 +2426,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2240,6 +2459,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.171, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12754007054566846, "status": "constructed", @@ -2249,6 +2469,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.745848365764143, "delta": -0.04345992945433155 }, @@ -2261,7 +2483,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2292,6 +2516,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.081, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10992399534280023, "status": "constructed", @@ -2301,6 +2526,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3570863622567928, "delta": 0.028923995342800227 }, @@ -2313,7 +2540,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2344,6 +2573,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.152, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14332420570803683, "status": "constructed", @@ -2353,6 +2583,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9429224059739265, "delta": -0.008675794291963163 }, @@ -2365,7 +2597,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2396,6 +2630,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.092, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.07863050110524529, "status": "constructed", @@ -2405,6 +2640,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8546793598396227, "delta": -0.013369498894754708 }, @@ -2417,7 +2654,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2448,6 +2687,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.064, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0905297831973547, "status": "constructed", @@ -2457,6 +2697,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4145278624586672, "delta": 0.026529783197354703 }, @@ -2469,7 +2711,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2500,6 +2744,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.07, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09182132684377468, "status": "constructed", @@ -2509,6 +2754,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3117332406253526, "delta": 0.021821326843774677 }, @@ -2521,7 +2768,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2552,6 +2801,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.141, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1667374861478505, "status": "constructed", @@ -2561,6 +2811,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.182535362750713, "delta": 0.025737486147850513 }, @@ -2573,7 +2825,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2604,6 +2858,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11106588908140123, "status": "constructed", @@ -2613,6 +2868,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.078309602732051, "delta": 0.00806588908140124 }, @@ -2625,7 +2882,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2656,6 +2915,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.15, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17630447354072667, "status": "constructed", @@ -2665,6 +2925,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.175363156938178, "delta": 0.02630447354072668 }, @@ -2677,7 +2939,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2708,6 +2972,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.155, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2244729385528201, "status": "constructed", @@ -2717,6 +2982,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4482125067923879, "delta": 0.06947293855282011 }, @@ -2729,7 +2996,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2760,6 +3029,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.1, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09512644926695311, "status": "constructed", @@ -2769,6 +3039,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9512644926695311, "delta": -0.004873550733046891 }, @@ -2781,7 +3053,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2812,6 +3086,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.112, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16030445522608297, "status": "constructed", @@ -2821,6 +3096,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4312897788043122, "delta": 0.04830445522608297 }, @@ -2833,7 +3110,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2864,6 +3143,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.11, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.145986362805576, "status": "constructed", @@ -2873,6 +3153,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3271487527779637, "delta": 0.035986362805576 }, @@ -2885,7 +3167,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2916,6 +3200,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.11, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11846176220706672, "status": "constructed", @@ -2925,6 +3210,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0769251109733338, "delta": 0.008461762207066723 }, @@ -2937,7 +3224,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -2968,6 +3257,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.081, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0965160396310427, "status": "constructed", @@ -2977,6 +3267,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1915560448276876, "delta": 0.0155160396310427 }, @@ -2989,7 +3281,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3020,6 +3314,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.128, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12793444859883502, "status": "constructed", @@ -3029,6 +3324,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9994878796783986, "delta": -6.555140116498714e-05 }, @@ -3041,7 +3338,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3072,6 +3371,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.074, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1489361182482862, "status": "constructed", @@ -3081,6 +3381,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.0126502465984624, "delta": 0.07493611824828621 }, @@ -3093,7 +3395,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3124,6 +3428,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.082, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1914803710178463, "status": "constructed", @@ -3133,6 +3438,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.3351264758273937, "delta": 0.10948037101784629 }, @@ -3145,7 +3452,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3176,6 +3485,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.158, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17787968123647388, "status": "constructed", @@ -3185,6 +3495,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.125820767319455, "delta": 0.01987968123647388 }, @@ -3197,7 +3509,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3227,6 +3541,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.134, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1721300089308572, "status": "comparable", @@ -3236,6 +3551,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.284552305454158, "delta": 0.03813000893085719 }, @@ -3248,7 +3565,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3279,6 +3598,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.059, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.147121617175416, "status": "constructed", @@ -3288,6 +3608,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.4935867317867118, "delta": 0.088121617175416 }, @@ -3300,7 +3622,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3331,6 +3655,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.111, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.20106968715278814, "status": "constructed", @@ -3340,6 +3665,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.8114386229980912, "delta": 0.09006968715278814 }, @@ -3352,7 +3679,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3383,6 +3712,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.08, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1970955552654315, "status": "constructed", @@ -3392,6 +3722,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.4636944408178936, "delta": 0.11709555526543149 }, @@ -3404,7 +3736,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3435,6 +3769,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.096, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13620803393537964, "status": "constructed", @@ -3444,6 +3779,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4188336868268712, "delta": 0.04020803393537964 }, @@ -3456,7 +3793,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3487,6 +3826,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.065, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11459686342541692, "status": "constructed", @@ -3496,6 +3836,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7630286680833371, "delta": 0.049596863425416915 }, @@ -3508,7 +3850,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3539,6 +3883,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.11, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1650380028753829, "status": "constructed", @@ -3548,6 +3893,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.500345480685299, "delta": 0.055038002875382894 }, @@ -3560,7 +3907,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3591,6 +3940,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.064, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.053805953351169424, "status": "constructed", @@ -3600,6 +3950,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8407180211120222, "delta": -0.010194046648830578 }, @@ -3612,7 +3964,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3642,6 +3996,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.104, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0823918573274956, "status": "constructed", @@ -3651,6 +4006,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7922293973797654, "delta": -0.021608142672504396 }, @@ -3663,7 +4020,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3693,6 +4052,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.135, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1562689494957049, "status": "constructed", @@ -3702,6 +4062,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1575477740422586, "delta": 0.021268949495704903 }, @@ -3714,7 +4076,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3744,6 +4108,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.136, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09604142003099919, "status": "constructed", @@ -3753,6 +4118,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.706186911992641, "delta": -0.03995857996900082 }, @@ -3765,7 +4132,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3795,6 +4164,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.129, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13893523352842632, "status": "constructed", @@ -3804,6 +4174,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0770173141738475, "delta": 0.009935233528426318 }, @@ -3816,7 +4188,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3846,6 +4220,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.177, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.18943613023450145, "status": "constructed", @@ -3855,6 +4230,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0702606227937936, "delta": 0.012436130234501463 }, @@ -3867,7 +4244,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3897,6 +4276,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.103, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09561262934066102, "status": "constructed", @@ -3906,6 +4286,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9282779547636992, "delta": -0.0073873706593389765 }, @@ -3918,7 +4300,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3948,6 +4332,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.099, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13782242530526317, "status": "constructed", @@ -3957,6 +4342,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3921457101541734, "delta": 0.03882242530526317 }, @@ -3969,7 +4356,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -3999,6 +4388,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.153, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1309506366660333, "status": "constructed", @@ -4008,6 +4398,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8558865141570804, "delta": -0.022049363333966704 }, @@ -4020,7 +4412,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4050,6 +4444,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.093, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1538858096004495, "status": "constructed", @@ -4059,6 +4454,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.6546861247360163, "delta": 0.06088580960044951 }, @@ -4071,7 +4468,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4101,6 +4500,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.16, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1774548672364514, "status": "constructed", @@ -4110,6 +4510,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1090929202278212, "delta": 0.0174548672364514 }, @@ -4122,7 +4524,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4152,6 +4556,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.135, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13963149480286996, "status": "constructed", @@ -4161,6 +4566,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0343073689101479, "delta": 0.004631494802869951 }, @@ -4173,7 +4580,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4203,6 +4612,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.108, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.113087027347068, "status": "constructed", @@ -4212,6 +4622,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0471021050654445, "delta": 0.005087027347068007 }, @@ -4224,7 +4636,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4254,6 +4668,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.077, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.08709445083318687, "status": "constructed", @@ -4263,6 +4678,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.131096764067362, "delta": 0.010094450833186872 }, @@ -4275,7 +4692,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4305,6 +4724,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.084, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.05779478684831971, "status": "constructed", @@ -4314,6 +4734,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6880331767657107, "delta": -0.0262052131516803 }, @@ -4326,7 +4748,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4356,6 +4780,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.111, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14616480259783873, "status": "constructed", @@ -4365,6 +4790,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3168000234039525, "delta": 0.03516480259783873 }, @@ -4377,7 +4804,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4407,6 +4836,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.093, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12466528560881461, "status": "constructed", @@ -4416,6 +4846,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3404869420302647, "delta": 0.03166528560881461 }, @@ -4428,7 +4860,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4458,6 +4892,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.091, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.12229388506033745, "status": "constructed", @@ -4467,6 +4902,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.343888846816895, "delta": 0.03129388506033745 }, @@ -4479,7 +4916,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4509,6 +4948,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.143, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13756585366158877, "status": "constructed", @@ -4518,6 +4958,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.961998976654467, "delta": -0.0054341463384112165 }, @@ -4530,7 +4972,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4560,6 +5004,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.177, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16335271957443767, "status": "constructed", @@ -4569,6 +5014,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9228967207595349, "delta": -0.01364728042556232 }, @@ -4581,7 +5028,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4611,6 +5060,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.117, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1771097334992783, "status": "constructed", @@ -4620,6 +5070,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5137584059767375, "delta": 0.0601097334992783 }, @@ -4632,7 +5084,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4662,6 +5116,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.112, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.15459341451928926, "status": "constructed", @@ -4671,6 +5126,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3802983439222256, "delta": 0.04259341451928926 }, @@ -4683,7 +5140,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4713,6 +5172,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.067, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.098578801887256, "status": "constructed", @@ -4722,6 +5182,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4713254013023283, "delta": 0.031578801887255994 }, @@ -4734,7 +5196,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4764,6 +5228,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.105, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.08160677232362885, "status": "constructed", @@ -4773,6 +5238,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.777207355463132, "delta": -0.023393227676371142 }, @@ -4785,7 +5252,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4815,6 +5284,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.075, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.06557923538426394, "status": "constructed", @@ -4824,6 +5294,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8743898051235193, "delta": -0.009420764615736058 }, @@ -4836,7 +5308,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4866,6 +5340,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.1, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.129895368151217, "status": "constructed", @@ -4875,6 +5350,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2989536815121698, "delta": 0.02989536815121699 }, @@ -4887,7 +5364,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4917,6 +5396,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.164, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11002544521520172, "status": "constructed", @@ -4926,6 +5406,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6708868610683031, "delta": -0.05397455478479829 }, @@ -4938,7 +5420,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -4968,6 +5452,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.094, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11110720473304003, "status": "constructed", @@ -4977,6 +5462,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.181991539713192, "delta": 0.017107204733040032 }, @@ -4989,7 +5476,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5019,6 +5508,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.14, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10043255572034507, "status": "constructed", @@ -5028,6 +5518,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7173753980024647, "delta": -0.039567444279654945 }, @@ -5040,7 +5532,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5070,6 +5564,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.082, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0749131472362356, "status": "constructed", @@ -5079,6 +5574,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.913574966295556, "delta": -0.0070868527637644035 }, @@ -5091,7 +5588,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5121,6 +5620,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.082, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0719651806573559, "status": "constructed", @@ -5130,6 +5630,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8776241543579987, "delta": -0.010034819342644108 }, @@ -5142,7 +5644,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5172,6 +5676,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.086, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.06366941779475188, "status": "constructed", @@ -5181,6 +5686,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7403420673808359, "delta": -0.022330582205248112 }, @@ -5193,7 +5700,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5223,6 +5732,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.124, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11146468083311312, "status": "constructed", @@ -5232,6 +5742,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8989087163960735, "delta": -0.012535319166886882 }, @@ -5244,7 +5756,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5274,6 +5788,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.124, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14673047336840364, "status": "constructed", @@ -5283,6 +5798,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1833102691000295, "delta": 0.022730473368403642 }, @@ -5295,7 +5812,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5325,6 +5844,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.147, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17376658579659643, "status": "constructed", @@ -5334,6 +5854,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1820856176639214, "delta": 0.026766585796596437 }, @@ -5346,7 +5868,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5376,6 +5900,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.144, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1981954755448971, "status": "constructed", @@ -5385,6 +5910,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3763574690617857, "delta": 0.05419547554489712 }, @@ -5397,7 +5924,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5427,6 +5956,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.093, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.07412244718629316, "status": "constructed", @@ -5436,6 +5966,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7970155611429371, "delta": -0.018877552813706844 }, @@ -5448,7 +5980,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5478,6 +6012,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.116, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11616680269261215, "status": "constructed", @@ -5487,6 +6022,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0014379542466565, "delta": 0.00016680269261214187 }, @@ -5499,7 +6036,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5529,6 +6068,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.111, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1833160121976655, "status": "constructed", @@ -5538,6 +6078,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.651495605384374, "delta": 0.0723160121976655 }, @@ -5550,7 +6092,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5580,6 +6124,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.106, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11567101402347092, "status": "constructed", @@ -5589,6 +6134,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0912359813534993, "delta": 0.009671014023470925 }, @@ -5601,7 +6148,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5631,6 +6180,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.091, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.09751264219386363, "status": "constructed", @@ -5640,6 +6190,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0715674966358641, "delta": 0.0065126421938636325 }, @@ -5652,7 +6204,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5682,6 +6236,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.117, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10111475234510116, "status": "constructed", @@ -5691,6 +6246,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.864228652522232, "delta": -0.01588524765489885 }, @@ -5703,7 +6260,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5733,6 +6292,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.079, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11227816321995195, "status": "constructed", @@ -5742,6 +6302,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.421242572404455, "delta": 0.033278163219951945 }, @@ -5754,7 +6316,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5784,6 +6348,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.101, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13963384587324096, "status": "constructed", @@ -5793,6 +6358,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3825133254776332, "delta": 0.03863384587324095 }, @@ -5805,7 +6372,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5835,6 +6404,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.143, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14698917939988793, "status": "constructed", @@ -5844,6 +6414,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0278963594397759, "delta": 0.003989179399887938 }, @@ -5856,7 +6428,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5885,6 +6459,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.129, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1389642332405406, "status": "comparable", @@ -5894,6 +6469,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0772421181437255, "delta": 0.009964233240540604 }, @@ -5906,7 +6483,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5936,6 +6515,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.084, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11892643276403998, "status": "constructed", @@ -5945,6 +6525,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4157908662385712, "delta": 0.03492643276403998 }, @@ -5957,7 +6539,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -5987,6 +6571,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.105, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11440374411905024, "status": "constructed", @@ -5996,6 +6581,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0895594678004785, "delta": 0.009403744119050247 }, @@ -6008,7 +6595,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6038,6 +6627,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.095, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.14867288881663104, "status": "constructed", @@ -6047,6 +6637,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.564977777017169, "delta": 0.05367288881663104 }, @@ -6059,7 +6651,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6089,6 +6683,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.108, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10977333645706265, "status": "constructed", @@ -6098,6 +6693,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0164197820098393, "delta": 0.001773336457062652 }, @@ -6110,7 +6707,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6140,6 +6739,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.077, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11340589602569066, "status": "constructed", @@ -6149,6 +6749,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.472803844489489, "delta": 0.036405896025690665 }, @@ -6161,7 +6763,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6191,6 +6795,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.125, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.13704122259072649, "status": "constructed", @@ -6200,6 +6805,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0963297807258119, "delta": 0.012041222590726486 }, @@ -6212,7 +6819,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6242,6 +6851,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 0.083, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.08282431488411907, "status": "constructed", @@ -6251,6 +6861,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9978833118568562, "delta": -0.0001756851158809386 }, @@ -6263,7 +6875,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_poverty", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6292,6 +6906,7 @@ "reform_key": "2e78b81ad29dc6a7", "external_value": 408133185600.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 408096006624.46716, "status": "comparable", @@ -6301,6 +6916,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:basic_income", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9999089047966581, "delta": -37178975.532836914 }, @@ -6313,7 +6930,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:basic_income", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6343,6 +6962,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 89158930.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 203544483.0897361, "status": "constructed", @@ -6352,6 +6972,8 @@ "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.282939948805309, "delta": 114385553.0897361 }, @@ -6364,7 +6986,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 183512364.94522095, @@ -6374,7 +6998,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 185489451.30691528, @@ -6384,7 +7010,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 203544483.0897361, @@ -6394,7 +7022,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:co_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6424,6 +7054,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 356491619.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 434439721.61735135, "status": "constructed", @@ -6433,6 +7064,8 @@ "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2186533945342242, "delta": 77948102.61735135 }, @@ -6445,7 +7078,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 437994296.02912116, @@ -6455,7 +7090,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 436998769.0652859, @@ -6465,7 +7102,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 434439721.61735135, @@ -6475,7 +7114,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:co_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6505,6 +7146,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 654000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1358950472.751648, "status": "constructed", @@ -6514,6 +7156,8 @@ "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.0779059216386053, "delta": 704950472.751648 }, @@ -6526,7 +7170,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1246189401.8076134, @@ -6536,7 +7182,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1396222814.793682, @@ -6546,7 +7194,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1358950472.751648, @@ -6556,7 +7206,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:co_family_affordability_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6585,6 +7237,7 @@ "reform_key": "ef8f6776398b314e", "external_value": -530000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -658987035.4667206, "status": "comparable", @@ -6594,6 +7247,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.2433717650315483, "delta": -128987035.46672058 }, @@ -6606,7 +7261,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -741915107.2719803, @@ -6616,7 +7273,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -782610459.964325, @@ -6626,7 +7285,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -658987035.4667206, @@ -6636,7 +7297,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:co_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6666,6 +7329,7 @@ "reform_key": "357724d62cdc0a3c", "external_value": 0.09300000000000001, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.11520327849739191, "status": "constructed", @@ -6681,6 +7345,8 @@ "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2387449300794828, "delta": 0.0222032784973919 }, @@ -6699,7 +7365,9 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6729,6 +7397,7 @@ "reform_key": "357724d62cdc0a3c", "external_value": 0.08800000000000001, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.10654836093217117, "status": "constructed", @@ -6744,6 +7413,8 @@ "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2107768287746723, "delta": 0.01854836093217116 }, @@ -6762,7 +7433,9 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)", "named deltas: newborn payment omitted; birth-month proration; refundable-ODC kept non-refundable" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6792,6 +7465,7 @@ "reform_key": "34d094c41b87ef80", "external_value": 0.166, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.2115468145577173, "status": "constructed", @@ -6805,6 +7479,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.274378400950104, "delta": 0.04554681455771728 }, @@ -6821,7 +7497,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6851,6 +7529,7 @@ "reform_key": "34d094c41b87ef80", "external_value": 0.17800000000000002, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.22737614889930013, "status": "constructed", @@ -6864,6 +7543,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2773940949398883, "delta": 0.049376148899300115 }, @@ -6880,7 +7561,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6910,6 +7593,7 @@ "reform_key": "2dce2cb2ab296dee", "external_value": 0.133, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.16740114539030831, "status": "constructed", @@ -6924,6 +7608,8 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2586552284985586, "delta": 0.03440114539030831 }, @@ -6941,7 +7627,9 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -6971,6 +7659,7 @@ "reform_key": "2dce2cb2ab296dee", "external_value": 0.14400000000000002, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1780928937346883, "status": "constructed", @@ -6985,6 +7674,8 @@ "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.236756206490891, "delta": 0.034092893734688295 }, @@ -7002,7 +7693,9 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)", "2025-statute parameters deflated to 2024 dollars per CPSP (CPI ratio 0.97154; 2025-CPI-vintage assumption)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7032,6 +7725,7 @@ "reform_key": "973b97c95c2fccf9", "external_value": 0.145, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.17791888414943094, "status": "comparable", @@ -7045,6 +7739,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.2270267872374547, "delta": 0.03291888414943095 }, @@ -7061,7 +7757,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7091,6 +7789,7 @@ "reform_key": "973b97c95c2fccf9", "external_value": 0.133, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.1677105433364713, "status": "comparable", @@ -7104,6 +7803,8 @@ "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.260981528845649, "delta": 0.034710543336471306 }, @@ -7120,7 +7821,9 @@ "takeup: credit take-up/filing flags forced (CPSP ASEC basis); benefit take-up calibrated", "levels vs ASEC-anchored series = methodological_difference (SPM_NOTES.md)", "pe_gap component: populace#593 (EHS at 100% take-up inside household_net_income)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7150,6 +7853,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 195066537.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 203740197.24014908, "status": "comparable", @@ -7159,6 +7863,8 @@ "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0444651367351083, "delta": 8673660.24014908 }, @@ -7171,7 +7877,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 200809324.40090397, @@ -7181,7 +7889,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 201082136.2776323, @@ -7191,7 +7901,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 203740197.24014908, @@ -7201,7 +7913,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ct_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7230,6 +7944,7 @@ "reform_key": "db6ba92fad02d2fb", "external_value": -316000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -307815018.75308037, "status": "constructed", @@ -7239,6 +7954,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9740981606110138, "delta": 8184981.246919632 }, @@ -7251,7 +7968,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7280,6 +7999,7 @@ "reform_key": "687361cee9750917", "external_value": -500000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -521540525.05817986, "status": "constructed", @@ -7289,6 +8009,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0430810501163597, "delta": -21540525.058179855 }, @@ -7301,7 +8023,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7330,6 +8054,7 @@ "reform_key": "71f086403e5d6447", "external_value": 240500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 243125259.37642288, "status": "constructed", @@ -7339,6 +8064,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0109158394030058, "delta": 2625259.376422882 }, @@ -7351,7 +8078,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ct_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7381,6 +8110,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 98372000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 93290350.81449835, "status": "constructed", @@ -7390,6 +8120,8 @@ "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9483425244429141, "delta": -5081649.18550165 }, @@ -7402,7 +8134,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 100205441.34164156, @@ -7412,7 +8146,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116450558.92827833, @@ -7422,7 +8158,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 93290350.81449835, @@ -7432,7 +8170,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:dc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7462,6 +8202,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 17500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 20879470.899400182, "status": "constructed", @@ -7471,6 +8212,8 @@ "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1931126228228675, "delta": 3379470.899400182 }, @@ -7483,7 +8226,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 20169500.572317895, @@ -7493,7 +8238,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 21330683.1535218, @@ -7503,7 +8250,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 20879470.899400182, @@ -7513,7 +8262,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:de_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7542,6 +8293,7 @@ "reform_key": "9676be8f7a0f227e", "external_value": -680000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -715485200.1682205, "status": "constructed", @@ -7551,6 +8303,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.052184117894442, "delta": -35485200.16822052 }, @@ -7563,7 +8317,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -721340049.980545, @@ -7573,7 +8329,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -719546063.1353989, @@ -7583,7 +8341,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -715485200.1682205, @@ -7593,7 +8353,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ga_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7623,6 +8385,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 76981028.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 83307507.43940787, "status": "comparable", @@ -7632,6 +8395,8 @@ "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.082182319511346, "delta": 6326479.43940787 }, @@ -7644,7 +8409,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 83172437.08481948, @@ -7654,7 +8421,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 83291400.52075583, @@ -7664,7 +8433,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 83307507.43940787, @@ -7674,7 +8445,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:hi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7704,6 +8477,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 72117991.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 70098325.62814692, "status": "comparable", @@ -7713,6 +8487,8 @@ "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.971994985663798, "delta": -2019665.3718530834 }, @@ -7725,7 +8501,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 70373505.03897643, @@ -7735,7 +8513,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 70007804.25404917, @@ -7745,7 +8525,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 70098325.62814692, @@ -7755,7 +8537,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ia_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7784,6 +8568,7 @@ "reform_key": "55a86464715029aa", "external_value": -17700000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -27642712.714117527, "status": "constructed", @@ -7793,6 +8578,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.561735181588561, "delta": -9942712.714117527 }, @@ -7805,7 +8592,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -21706114.929267406, @@ -7815,7 +8604,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -22727867.349990368, @@ -7825,7 +8616,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -27642712.714117527, @@ -7835,7 +8628,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ia_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7865,6 +8660,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 63962000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 95511083.54578102, "status": "constructed", @@ -7874,6 +8670,8 @@ "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4932472959848193, "delta": 31549083.545781016 }, @@ -7886,7 +8684,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 96317994.08795238, @@ -7896,7 +8696,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 97163764.37036514, @@ -7906,7 +8708,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 95511083.54578102, @@ -7916,7 +8720,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:id_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -7946,6 +8752,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 240200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 229366811.88572112, "status": "constructed", @@ -7955,6 +8762,8 @@ "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9548993001070821, "delta": -10833188.114278883 }, @@ -7967,7 +8776,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 194796350.06062746, @@ -7977,7 +8788,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 215407359.39535618, @@ -7987,7 +8800,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 229366811.88572112, @@ -7997,7 +8812,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:id_grocery_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8026,6 +8843,7 @@ "reform_key": "1cd795ec23b2fbfc", "external_value": -66000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -76438059.16168451, "status": "constructed", @@ -8035,6 +8853,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:id_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1581524115406745, "delta": -10438059.161684513 }, @@ -8047,7 +8867,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:id_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8077,6 +8899,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 437387169.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 572858201.3228337, "status": "constructed", @@ -8086,6 +8909,8 @@ "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.309727952542736, "delta": 135471032.32283366 }, @@ -8098,7 +8923,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 512635752.15902704, @@ -8108,7 +8935,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 523804301.42308915, @@ -8118,7 +8947,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 572858201.3228337, @@ -8128,7 +8959,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:il_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8159,6 +8992,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 487387169.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 662857266.1802979, "status": "constructed", @@ -8168,6 +9002,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3600219873254353, "delta": 175470097.18029785 }, @@ -8180,7 +9016,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 587726515.354248, @@ -8190,7 +9028,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 596149352.3378296, @@ -8200,7 +9040,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 662857266.1802979, @@ -8210,7 +9052,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:state_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8240,6 +9084,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 50000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 89999062.22707981, "status": "constructed", @@ -8249,6 +9094,8 @@ "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7999812445415961, "delta": 39999062.22707981 }, @@ -8261,7 +9108,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 75090763.78001626, @@ -8271,7 +9120,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 72345051.5915725, @@ -8281,7 +9132,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 89999062.22707981, @@ -8291,7 +9144,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:il_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8321,6 +9176,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 112500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 130917739.84269874, "status": "constructed", @@ -8330,6 +9186,8 @@ "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.163713243046211, "delta": 18417739.842698738 }, @@ -8342,7 +9200,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130547533.55783431, @@ -8352,7 +9212,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130599365.77541971, @@ -8362,7 +9224,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 130917739.84269874, @@ -8372,7 +9236,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:in_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8402,6 +9268,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 786400000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 737806939.685766, "status": "comparable", @@ -8411,6 +9278,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9382082142494481, "delta": -48593060.31423402 }, @@ -8423,7 +9292,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[CO]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 734351917.045822, @@ -8433,7 +9304,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 736569358.1381238, @@ -8443,7 +9316,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 737806939.685766, @@ -8453,7 +9328,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8483,6 +9360,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 531800000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 509350485.7100389, "status": "comparable", @@ -8492,6 +9370,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9577857948665643, "delta": -22449514.2899611 }, @@ -8504,7 +9384,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[CT]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502023305.50489616, @@ -8514,7 +9396,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502705333.10385823, @@ -8524,7 +9408,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 509350485.7100389, @@ -8534,7 +9420,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8564,6 +9452,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 206200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 208268766.4595505, "status": "comparable", @@ -8573,6 +9462,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0100328150317677, "delta": 2068766.4595505 }, @@ -8585,7 +9476,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[HI]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 207931089.94580033, @@ -8595,7 +9488,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 208228498.58193934, @@ -8605,7 +9500,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 208268766.4595505, @@ -8615,7 +9512,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8645,6 +9544,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 494100000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 467322157.49523026, "status": "comparable", @@ -8654,6 +9554,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9458048117693387, "delta": -26777842.504769742 }, @@ -8666,7 +9568,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[IA]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 469156686.9536316, @@ -8676,7 +9580,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 466718683.7258634, @@ -8686,7 +9592,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 467322157.49523026, @@ -8696,7 +9604,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8726,6 +9636,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 2316835548.672622, "status": "comparable", @@ -8735,6 +9646,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9653481452802593, "delta": -83164451.3273778 }, @@ -8747,7 +9660,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[IL]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 2334241027.3836603, @@ -8757,7 +9672,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 2335383248.1496525, @@ -8767,7 +9684,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 2316835548.672622, @@ -8777,7 +9696,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8807,6 +9728,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1309891593.2259028, "status": "comparable", @@ -8816,6 +9738,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9356368523042163, "delta": -90108406.7740972 }, @@ -8828,7 +9752,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[IN]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1306485525.6051621, @@ -8838,7 +9764,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1306784703.3132677, @@ -8848,7 +9776,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1309891593.2259028, @@ -8858,7 +9788,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8888,6 +9820,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 493400000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 476436893.467401, "status": "comparable", @@ -8897,6 +9830,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9656199705460093, "delta": -16963106.532598972 }, @@ -8909,7 +9844,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[KS]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 477173083.1699825, @@ -8919,7 +9856,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 475665397.8285278, @@ -8929,7 +9868,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 476436893.467401, @@ -8939,7 +9880,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -8969,6 +9912,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1600000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1558520873.1768305, "status": "comparable", @@ -8978,6 +9922,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9740755457355191, "delta": -41479126.82316947 }, @@ -8990,7 +9936,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[LA]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1560782838.4138646, @@ -9000,7 +9948,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1563292320.2431893, @@ -9010,7 +9960,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1558520873.1768305, @@ -9020,7 +9972,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9050,6 +10004,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 186600000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 185159472.53384912, "status": "comparable", @@ -9059,6 +10014,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9922801314782911, "delta": -1440527.4661508799 }, @@ -9071,7 +10028,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[ME]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 185189130.73820785, @@ -9081,7 +10040,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 184823016.11921644, @@ -9091,7 +10052,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 185159472.53384912, @@ -9101,7 +10064,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9131,6 +10096,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1975823710.804318, "status": "comparable", @@ -9140,6 +10106,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9408684337163419, "delta": -124176289.19568205 }, @@ -9152,7 +10120,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[MI]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1979227226.8415062, @@ -9162,7 +10132,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1974828936.3012247, @@ -9172,7 +10144,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1975823710.804318, @@ -9182,7 +10156,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9212,6 +10188,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 156100000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 159944601.86446443, "status": "comparable", @@ -9221,6 +10198,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0246290958646025, "delta": 3844601.864464432 }, @@ -9233,7 +10212,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[MT]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 161227178.86490825, @@ -9243,7 +10224,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 161050781.0491881, @@ -9253,7 +10236,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 159944601.86446443, @@ -9263,7 +10248,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9293,6 +10280,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 321700000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 300443198.02925634, "status": "comparable", @@ -9302,6 +10290,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9339235251142566, "delta": -21256801.970743656 }, @@ -9314,7 +10304,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NE]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 300473235.6454798, @@ -9324,7 +10316,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 299112755.7480669, @@ -9334,7 +10328,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 300443198.02925634, @@ -9344,7 +10340,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9374,6 +10372,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1600000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1458595354.9927683, "status": "comparable", @@ -9383,6 +10382,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9116220968704801, "delta": -141404645.0072317 }, @@ -9395,7 +10396,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NJ]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1458630148.2100565, @@ -9405,7 +10408,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1459860923.9603386, @@ -9415,7 +10420,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1458595354.9927683, @@ -9425,7 +10432,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9455,6 +10464,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 501000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 502469239.867192, "status": "comparable", @@ -9464,6 +10474,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0029326145053732, "delta": 1469239.8671919703 }, @@ -9476,7 +10488,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NM]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 504351319.5199417, @@ -9486,7 +10500,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 503991273.7958663, @@ -9496,7 +10512,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502469239.867192, @@ -9506,7 +10524,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9536,6 +10556,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 4200000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3877595292.3326464, "status": "comparable", @@ -9545,6 +10566,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9232369743649158, "delta": -322404707.66735363 }, @@ -9557,7 +10580,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[NY]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 3878092258.6387653, @@ -9567,7 +10592,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 3882564590.9927726, @@ -9577,7 +10604,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 3877595292.3326464, @@ -9587,7 +10616,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9617,6 +10648,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 963300000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 941098302.9307402, "status": "comparable", @@ -9626,6 +10658,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9769524581446488, "delta": -22201697.069259763 }, @@ -9638,7 +10672,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[OK]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 938176635.1397619, @@ -9648,7 +10684,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 941231151.3051902, @@ -9658,7 +10696,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 941098302.9307402, @@ -9668,7 +10708,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9698,6 +10740,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 181900000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 179440077.39849716, "status": "comparable", @@ -9707,6 +10750,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9864765112616667, "delta": -2459922.6015028358 }, @@ -9719,7 +10764,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[RI]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 179331880.3546933, @@ -9729,7 +10776,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 179073257.9883545, @@ -9739,7 +10788,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 179440077.39849716, @@ -9749,7 +10800,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9779,6 +10832,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 72800000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 76145106.80550243, "status": "comparable", @@ -9788,6 +10842,8 @@ "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0459492693063521, "delta": 3345106.8055024296 }, @@ -9800,7 +10856,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:eitc[VT]", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 76245663.03201494, @@ -9810,7 +10868,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 76041318.49849424, @@ -9820,7 +10880,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 76145106.80550243, @@ -9830,7 +10892,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9860,6 +10924,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 3468910000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3492387180.646675, "status": "constructed", @@ -9869,6 +10934,8 @@ "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0067678840461918, "delta": 23477180.64667511 }, @@ -9881,7 +10948,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -9891,7 +10960,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3857571645.56569, @@ -9901,7 +10972,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3639892021.9255095, @@ -9911,7 +10984,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3492387180.646675, @@ -9921,7 +10996,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:cdcc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -9951,6 +11028,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 84418366000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 89779575355.80087, "status": "constructed", @@ -9960,6 +11038,8 @@ "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0635076181858445, "delta": 5361209355.800873 }, @@ -9972,7 +11052,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 85191024535.62398, @@ -9982,7 +11064,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 90038087661.92526, @@ -9992,7 +11076,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 88685931601.42561, @@ -10002,7 +11088,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 89779575355.80087, @@ -10012,7 +11100,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:non_refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10042,6 +11132,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 34533251000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 37378151768.102356, "status": "constructed", @@ -10051,6 +11142,8 @@ "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0823814927850945, "delta": 2844900768.102356 }, @@ -10063,7 +11156,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33389367272.539368, @@ -10073,7 +11168,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 37009279542.219696, @@ -10083,7 +11180,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 37374345720.68549, @@ -10093,7 +11192,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 37378151768.102356, @@ -10103,7 +11204,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:refundable_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10133,6 +11236,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 7554668000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 798222661.2419376, "status": "constructed", @@ -10142,6 +11246,8 @@ "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.10565952881608268, "delta": -6756445338.758062 }, @@ -10154,7 +11260,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10164,7 +11272,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10174,7 +11284,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10184,7 +11296,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 798222661.2419376, @@ -10194,7 +11308,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:education_tax_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10224,6 +11340,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2037572000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1791244361.8643622, "status": "constructed", @@ -10233,6 +11350,8 @@ "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.879107271725545, "delta": -246327638.13563776 }, @@ -10245,7 +11364,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10255,7 +11376,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 246835924.1360891, @@ -10265,7 +11388,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 210690959.72337496, @@ -10275,7 +11400,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1791244361.8643622, @@ -10285,7 +11412,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:savers_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10315,6 +11444,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2752164000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 4247438844.245804, "status": "constructed", @@ -10324,6 +11454,8 @@ "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5433087723863126, "delta": 1495274844.2458038 }, @@ -10336,7 +11468,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 1698972367.1629837, @@ -10346,7 +11480,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2769570356.01968, @@ -10356,7 +11492,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2560642174.556426, @@ -10366,7 +11504,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 4247438844.245804, @@ -10376,7 +11516,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:alternative_minimum_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10406,6 +11548,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 2042047899000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 2266147215659.016, "status": "constructed", @@ -10415,6 +11558,8 @@ "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.109742438837384, "delta": 224099316659.0161 }, @@ -10427,7 +11572,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2013482523462.149, @@ -10437,7 +11584,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2260591082469.246, @@ -10447,7 +11596,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2268814503421.6855, @@ -10457,7 +11608,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 2266147215659.016, @@ -10467,7 +11620,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10497,6 +11652,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 39330017000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 49844241319.681816, "status": "constructed", @@ -10506,6 +11662,8 @@ "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2673333276128973, "delta": 10514224319.681816 }, @@ -10518,7 +11676,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 41642927071.519646, @@ -10528,7 +11688,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 52049554942.70083, @@ -10538,7 +11700,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 51644712672.526855, @@ -10548,7 +11712,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 49844241319.681816, @@ -10558,7 +11724,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:net_investment_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10588,6 +11756,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 81087060000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 126394862824.41135, "status": "constructed", @@ -10597,6 +11766,8 @@ "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5587550322383295, "delta": 45307802824.41135 }, @@ -10609,7 +11780,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 69547029583.4678, @@ -10619,7 +11792,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 75423075746.92467, @@ -10629,7 +11804,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 74472201731.77736, @@ -10639,7 +11816,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126394862824.41135, @@ -10649,7 +11828,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:self_employment_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10678,6 +11859,7 @@ "reform_key": "8975e0ef19be3ee4", "external_value": -11882000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -7123621842.23584, "status": "constructed", @@ -10687,6 +11869,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.5995305371348123, "delta": 4758378157.76416 }, @@ -10699,7 +11883,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10728,6 +11914,7 @@ "reform_key": "a8b5d475eb438674", "external_value": -105075000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -86548399913.59424, "status": "constructed", @@ -10737,6 +11924,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8236821309882868, "delta": 18526600086.40576 }, @@ -10749,7 +11938,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10782,15 +11973,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -147679000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -205264659779.85547, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.389938039801566, "delta": -57585659779.85547 }, @@ -10801,9 +11995,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -190571706172.3506, @@ -10813,7 +12009,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -219237808210.38477, @@ -10821,9 +12019,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -217988675767.25195, @@ -10831,9 +12031,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -205264659779.85547, @@ -10841,9 +12043,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos01:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10876,15 +12080,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -10121000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1764716950.9355469, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.1743619159110312, "delta": 8356283049.064453 }, @@ -10895,9 +12102,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10907,7 +12116,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10915,9 +12126,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -10925,9 +12138,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1764716950.9355469, @@ -10935,9 +12150,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -10970,15 +12187,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 13419000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 15174625541.742188, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1308313243715766, "delta": 1755625541.7421875 }, @@ -10989,9 +12209,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11001,7 +12223,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11009,9 +12233,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11019,9 +12245,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 15174625541.742188, @@ -11029,9 +12257,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11064,15 +12294,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -16040000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -19565645365.34619, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2198033270165956, "delta": -3525645365.3461914 }, @@ -11083,9 +12316,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -19245750592.199707, @@ -11095,7 +12330,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -20350960759.769043, @@ -11103,9 +12340,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -20271905932.697266, @@ -11113,9 +12352,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -19565645365.34619, @@ -11123,9 +12364,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos11:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_itemized_tax_benefit_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11158,15 +12401,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -92124000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -135318586143.90137, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.4688744099681013, "delta": -43194586143.90137 }, @@ -11177,9 +12423,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -173598259258.1997, @@ -11189,7 +12437,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -144517784392.23145, @@ -11197,9 +12447,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -143032923110.28125, @@ -11207,9 +12459,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -135318586143.90137, @@ -11217,9 +12471,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos02:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_standard_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11252,15 +12508,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -32806000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -17036349857.110352, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.5193059152932498, "delta": 15769650142.889648 }, @@ -11271,9 +12530,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11283,7 +12544,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11291,9 +12554,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11301,9 +12566,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -17036349857.110352, @@ -11311,9 +12578,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos14:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_overtime", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11346,15 +12615,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 31617000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 59065191899.20947, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.8681466267896851, "delta": 27448191899.209473 }, @@ -11365,9 +12637,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 48335471275.9624, @@ -11377,7 +12651,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 58997768365.30371, @@ -11385,9 +12661,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 57405938715.87793, @@ -11395,9 +12673,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 59065191899.20947, @@ -11405,9 +12685,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos12:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_salt_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11440,15 +12722,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -5400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1099249276.4453125, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.20356468082320603, "delta": 4300750723.5546875 }, @@ -11459,9 +12744,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11471,7 +12758,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11479,9 +12768,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11489,9 +12780,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1099249276.4453125, @@ -11499,9 +12792,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11534,15 +12829,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 110625000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 137828497908.52393, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2459073257267699, "delta": 27203497908.523926 }, @@ -11553,9 +12851,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 214380228203.10742, @@ -11565,7 +12865,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 143107871121.56006, @@ -11573,9 +12875,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 140638766188.2578, @@ -11583,9 +12887,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 137828497908.52393, @@ -11593,9 +12899,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11628,6 +12936,7 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -48769000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -91169531318.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -11640,6 +12949,8 @@ "LAST-IN-STACK baseline (vs full current law); JCT scores at stack position 4 (expiry + provisions 1-3) \u2014 baseline_k ReformRef build registered", "PE CY2026 vs JCT FY2026" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.869415639402079, "delta": -42400531318.0 }, @@ -11650,9 +12961,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -85857310019.36963, @@ -11662,7 +12975,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -90628266316.41602, @@ -11670,9 +12985,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -88750704657.55127, @@ -11680,9 +12997,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -89064547927.9414, @@ -11690,9 +13009,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -91169531318.0, @@ -11705,7 +13026,9 @@ "annotations": [ "LAST-IN-STACK baseline (vs full current law); JCT scores at stack position 4 (expiry + provisions 1-3) \u2014 baseline_k ReformRef build registered", "PE CY2026 vs JCT FY2026" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11738,15 +13061,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -1543000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -3484539280.26709, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.258288580860071, "delta": -1941539280.2670898 }, @@ -11757,9 +13083,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -875131720.0639648, @@ -11769,7 +13097,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -3336161996.835449, @@ -11777,9 +13107,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -3364235878.944336, @@ -11787,9 +13119,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -3484539280.26709, @@ -11797,9 +13131,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11832,15 +13168,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 1346000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 7188068518.41748, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 5.340318364351768, "delta": 5842068518.41748 }, @@ -11851,9 +13190,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos19:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 9426686209.288086, @@ -11863,7 +13204,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7358650871.935059, @@ -11871,9 +13214,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7379699120.913574, @@ -11881,9 +13226,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7188068518.41748, @@ -11891,9 +13238,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -11926,15 +13275,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -409000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1101576259.472168, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 2.693340487707012, "delta": -692576259.472168 }, @@ -11945,9 +13297,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -11957,7 +13311,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1278566201.8041992, @@ -11965,9 +13321,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1150076776.0532227, @@ -11975,9 +13333,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1101576259.472168, @@ -11985,9 +13345,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12020,15 +13382,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -44331000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -58686170864.458496, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3238178896135548, "delta": -14355170864.458496 }, @@ -12039,9 +13404,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -59498745641.17236, @@ -12051,7 +13418,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -40950689192.69287, @@ -12059,9 +13428,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -41065161630.41113, @@ -12069,9 +13440,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -58686170864.458496, @@ -12079,9 +13452,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12114,15 +13489,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -3672000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": -0.0, "delta": 3672000000.0 }, @@ -12133,9 +13511,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12145,7 +13525,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12153,9 +13535,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12163,9 +13547,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12173,9 +13559,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12208,15 +13596,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -76835000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -147669921815.1162, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.9219095700542228, "delta": -70834921815.11621 }, @@ -12227,9 +13618,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -37879993092.05762, @@ -12239,7 +13632,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -136022121556.41162, @@ -12247,9 +13642,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -139259932897.04346, @@ -12257,9 +13654,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -147669921815.1162, @@ -12267,9 +13666,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2026", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2026", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_reduced_rates", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12584,15 +14024,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -7664000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1764716950.9355469, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.23026056249159013, "delta": 5899283049.064453 }, @@ -12603,9 +14046,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12633,9 +14082,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1764716950.9355469, @@ -12643,9 +14094,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos13:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_no_tax_on_tips", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -12678,15 +14131,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 23707000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 15174625541.742188, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6400905024567507, "delta": -8532374458.2578125 }, @@ -12697,9 +14153,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -12727,9 +14189,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_misc_itemized_deductions", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 15174625541.742188, @@ -12737,9 +14201,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos10:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13197,9 +14724,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1099249276.4453125, @@ -13207,9 +14736,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos15:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_auto_loan_interest", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13242,15 +14773,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 173453000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 137828497908.52393, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos03:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7946158204731191, "delta": -35624502091.476074 }, @@ -13261,9 +14795,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_personal_exemption_termination", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13336,15 +14880,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -87599000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -89064547927.9414, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos04:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0167301901613193, "delta": -1465547927.9414062 }, @@ -13355,9 +14902,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_child_tax_credit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13430,15 +14987,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -7791000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -3484539280.26709, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos17:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.4472518650066859, "delta": 4306460719.73291 }, @@ -13449,9 +15009,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_nonitemizer_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13524,15 +15094,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 7083000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 7188068518.41748, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos18:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0148339006660285, "delta": 105068518.41748047 }, @@ -13543,9 +15116,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_charitable_floor", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13618,15 +15201,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -1197000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -1101576259.472168, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9202809185231144, "delta": 95423740.52783203 }, @@ -13637,9 +15223,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - 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"annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1150076776.0532227, @@ -13667,9 +15259,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -1101576259.472168, @@ -13677,9 +15271,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos16:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_cdcc", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13712,15 +15308,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -74617000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -58686170864.458496, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7864986647072182, "delta": 15930829135.541504 }, @@ -13731,9 +15330,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -59498745641.17236, @@ -13743,7 +15344,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -40950689192.69287, @@ -13751,9 +15354,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -41065161630.41113, @@ -13761,9 +15366,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -58686170864.458496, @@ -13771,9 +15378,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos05:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_qbi_deduction", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13806,15 +15415,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -20276000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 0.0, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": -0.0, "delta": 20276000000.0 }, @@ -13825,9 +15437,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13837,7 +15451,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13845,9 +15461,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13855,9 +15473,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -13865,9 +15485,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:estate_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos06:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_estate_gift_exemption", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13900,15 +15522,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": -137508000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -147669921815.1162, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0739005862576447, "delta": -10161921815.11621 }, @@ -13919,9 +15544,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -37879993092.05762, @@ -13931,7 +15558,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -136022121556.41162, @@ -13939,9 +15568,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -139259932897.04346, @@ -13949,9 +15580,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -147669921815.1162, @@ -13959,9 +15592,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos07:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_amt", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -13994,15 +15629,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 3110000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3241442519.493164, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0422644757212747, "delta": 131442519.49316406 }, @@ -14013,9 +15651,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3315852895.907715, @@ -14025,7 +15665,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 4390148036.187988, @@ -14033,9 +15675,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 4460545552.770508, @@ -14043,9 +15687,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3241442519.493164, @@ -14053,9 +15699,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos08:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_mortgage_interest_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14088,15 +15736,18 @@ "reform_key": "12ace32f57dd8364", "external_value": 128000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 427209320.93066406, "status": "constructed", "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 3.3375728197708128, "delta": 299209320.93066406 }, @@ -14107,9 +15758,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.729.0", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-f0af251-703bd81a565c-20260620T201958Z", "release": "f0af251", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:stacked_chained:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__f0af251__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -14119,7 +15772,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:isolated:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -14127,9 +15782,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildi-sparse-rmloss100-6e8e929-20260709T034135Z", "release": "buildi", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -14137,9 +15794,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildj-sparse-rmloss100-75d5add-20260710T094201Z", "release": "buildj", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 427209320.93066406, @@ -14147,9 +15806,11 @@ "engine_version": "1.764.6", "data_bundle": "populace-us-2024-buildo-sparse-rmloss100-22bd902-20260722T232627Z", "release": "buildo", - "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:cy2026_for_fy2027", + "construction": "reform_delta:income_tax:jcx_stacked:chain_pos09:cy2026_for_fy2027", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "obbba_stack_below__jcx_producer__obbba_casualty_loss_limit", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14179,6 +15840,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 60400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 60143428830.98715, "status": "constructed", @@ -14188,6 +15850,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9957521329633634, "delta": -256571169.0128479 }, @@ -14200,7 +15864,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 42955154284.60103, @@ -14210,7 +15876,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60408797706.45658, @@ -14220,7 +15888,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60374025321.40803, @@ -14230,7 +15900,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60143428830.98715, @@ -14240,7 +15912,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14270,6 +15944,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 24800000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 30579510129.811073, "status": "constructed", @@ -14279,6 +15954,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2330447632988335, "delta": 5779510129.811073 }, @@ -14291,7 +15968,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 26056580034.082413, @@ -14301,7 +15980,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33908627415.308014, @@ -14311,7 +15992,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 34371539835.70409, @@ -14321,7 +16004,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 30579510129.811073, @@ -14331,7 +16016,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14361,6 +16048,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 11400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 8987180721.862799, "status": "constructed", @@ -14370,6 +16058,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7883491861283157, "delta": -2412819278.1372013 }, @@ -14382,7 +16072,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 5259462239.4256, @@ -14392,7 +16084,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7473730228.65058, @@ -14402,7 +16096,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 7781104845.127576, @@ -14412,7 +16108,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 8987180721.862799, @@ -14422,7 +16120,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14452,6 +16152,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 63100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 50562389099.71365, "status": "constructed", @@ -14461,6 +16162,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8013056909621815, "delta": -12537610900.286346 }, @@ -14473,7 +16176,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 45124110367.856346, @@ -14483,7 +16188,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33121957747.716286, @@ -14493,7 +16200,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33113181816.208977, @@ -14503,7 +16212,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 50562389099.71365, @@ -14513,7 +16224,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14543,6 +16256,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 21700000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "consumed_as_target", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 23357279339.76437, "status": "constructed", @@ -14552,6 +16266,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0763723198048096, "delta": 1657279339.76437 }, @@ -14564,7 +16280,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 21705827538.472416, @@ -14574,7 +16292,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 24108540588.138664, @@ -14584,7 +16304,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 24220828502.939632, @@ -14594,7 +16316,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 23357279339.76437, @@ -14604,7 +16328,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14634,6 +16360,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 127100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 126586082373.94873, "status": "constructed", @@ -14643,6 +16370,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9959565883080151, "delta": -513917626.05126953 }, @@ -14655,7 +16384,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 118580391775.48145, @@ -14665,7 +16396,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126697822415.02344, @@ -14675,7 +16408,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 125704652454.07812, @@ -14685,7 +16420,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 126586082373.94873, @@ -14695,7 +16432,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14725,6 +16464,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 66900000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 66758348543.59277, "status": "constructed", @@ -14734,6 +16474,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9978826389176797, "delta": -141651456.40722656 }, @@ -14746,7 +16488,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 59187536691.41016, @@ -14756,7 +16500,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 66847007945.88672, @@ -14766,7 +16512,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 66924004363.58008, @@ -14776,7 +16524,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 66758348543.59277, @@ -14786,7 +16536,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14816,6 +16568,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 76378592.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 80994273.61573279, "status": "constructed", @@ -14825,6 +16578,8 @@ "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.06043161434205, "delta": 4615681.615732789 }, @@ -14837,7 +16592,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 81119425.1472412, @@ -14847,7 +16604,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 80863118.38066879, @@ -14857,7 +16616,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 80994273.61573279, @@ -14867,7 +16628,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ks_total_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14897,6 +16660,7 @@ "reform_key": "e9a6faf1f58f3875", "external_value": -10400000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -12470408.444123268, "status": "comparable", @@ -14906,6 +16670,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.1990777350118527, "delta": -2070408.4441232681 }, @@ -14918,7 +16684,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14947,6 +16715,7 @@ "reform_key": "72b79662aa8a200e", "external_value": -5000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -4761348.070029259, "status": "constructed", @@ -14956,6 +16725,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9522696140058517, "delta": 238651.92997074127 }, @@ -14968,7 +16739,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ks_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -14998,6 +16771,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 78713535.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 77926044.65524192, "status": "constructed", @@ -15007,6 +16781,8 @@ "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9899954900417307, "delta": -787490.3447580785 }, @@ -15019,7 +16795,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 78039143.12666167, @@ -15029,7 +16807,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 78164617.24042185, @@ -15039,7 +16819,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 77926044.65524192, @@ -15049,7 +16831,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:la_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15079,6 +16863,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 300000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 320558845.4939117, "status": "constructed", @@ -15088,6 +16873,8 @@ "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0685294849797056, "delta": 20558845.493911684 }, @@ -15100,7 +16887,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 320259318.7856904, @@ -15110,7 +16899,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 321316343.0270122, @@ -15120,7 +16911,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 320558845.4939117, @@ -15130,7 +16923,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ma_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15160,6 +16955,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 460000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 525295584.114061, "status": "constructed", @@ -15169,6 +16965,8 @@ "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.141946921987089, "delta": 65295584.114061 }, @@ -15181,7 +16979,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 407797341.70085907, @@ -15191,7 +16991,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 499547131.719532, @@ -15201,7 +17003,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 525295584.114061, @@ -15211,7 +17015,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ma_child_and_family_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15241,6 +17047,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 13800000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 18213241.61463231, "status": "constructed", @@ -15250,6 +17057,8 @@ "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3198001170023412, "delta": 4413241.6146323085 }, @@ -15262,7 +17071,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22168696.51222229, @@ -15272,7 +17083,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 24550843.092918396, @@ -15282,7 +17095,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 18213241.61463231, @@ -15292,7 +17107,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:md_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15322,6 +17139,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 550881492.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 499887914.6775911, "status": "comparable", @@ -15331,6 +17149,8 @@ "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9074327635563242, "delta": -50993577.322408915 }, @@ -15343,7 +17163,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 497482979.49269986, @@ -15353,7 +17175,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 502420870.9982235, @@ -15363,7 +17187,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 499887914.6775911, @@ -15373,7 +17199,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:md_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15402,6 +17230,7 @@ "reform_key": "3589648b0fb7d981", "external_value": -115200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -98551825.31502724, "status": "constructed", @@ -15411,6 +17240,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8554845947485004, "delta": 16648174.684972763 }, @@ -15423,7 +17254,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -92166616.22840309, @@ -15433,7 +17266,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -95508981.50632286, @@ -15443,7 +17278,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -98551825.31502724, @@ -15453,7 +17290,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:md_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15483,6 +17322,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 38150000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 48993985.839305624, "status": "constructed", @@ -15492,6 +17332,8 @@ "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.2842460246213794, "delta": 10843985.839305624 }, @@ -15504,7 +17346,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 49026674.904804185, @@ -15514,7 +17358,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 48925076.05617188, @@ -15524,7 +17370,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 48993985.839305624, @@ -15534,7 +17382,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:me_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15564,6 +17414,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 591900000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 592747131.5417893, "status": "constructed", @@ -15573,6 +17424,8 @@ "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0014312072001847, "delta": 847131.5417892933 }, @@ -15585,7 +17438,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 593768186.8238549, @@ -15595,7 +17450,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 592448699.9006641, @@ -15605,7 +17462,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 592747131.5417893, @@ -15615,7 +17474,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mi_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15644,6 +17505,7 @@ "reform_key": "a211fd44d2c5331d", "external_value": -700000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -733681924.0541687, "status": "constructed", @@ -15653,6 +17515,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.048117034363098, "delta": -33681924.0541687 }, @@ -15665,7 +17529,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -724546867.228117, @@ -15675,7 +17541,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -724397170.8177109, @@ -15685,7 +17553,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -733681924.0541687, @@ -15695,7 +17565,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:mi_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15725,6 +17597,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 755500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 831585233.4332116, "status": "comparable", @@ -15734,6 +17607,8 @@ "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.1007084492828743, "delta": 76085233.43321157 }, @@ -15746,7 +17621,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 857023713.1635034, @@ -15756,7 +17633,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 876316831.2885281, @@ -15766,7 +17645,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 831585233.4332116, @@ -15776,7 +17657,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mn_child_and_working_families_credits", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15806,6 +17689,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 191500000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 230098295.7988193, "status": "constructed", @@ -15815,6 +17699,8 @@ "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.201557680411589, "delta": 38598295.7988193 }, @@ -15827,7 +17713,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 261412987.9588238, @@ -15837,7 +17725,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 268874227.18823946, @@ -15847,7 +17737,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 230098295.7988193, @@ -15857,7 +17749,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mn_wfc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15887,6 +17781,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 46062034.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 31011426.08601901, "status": "comparable", @@ -15896,6 +17791,8 @@ "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.673253510385994, "delta": -15050607.91398099 }, @@ -15908,7 +17805,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 37109040.38760682, @@ -15918,7 +17817,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 36409292.13484065, @@ -15928,7 +17829,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 31011426.08601901, @@ -15938,7 +17841,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mo_wftc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -15968,6 +17873,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 15610000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 15994460.611815184, "status": "constructed", @@ -15977,6 +17883,8 @@ "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0246291231143616, "delta": 384460.61181518435 }, @@ -15989,7 +17897,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 16122718.270847155, @@ -15999,7 +17909,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 16105078.464381712, @@ -16009,7 +17921,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 15994460.611815184, @@ -16019,7 +17933,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:mt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16049,6 +17965,7 @@ "reform_key": "7e74d380698f6a21", "external_value": -20278500.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -26404902.50053966, "status": "constructed", @@ -16058,6 +17975,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3021131987346037, "delta": -6126402.50053966 }, @@ -16070,7 +17989,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -25756456.633530736, @@ -16080,7 +18001,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -26252461.245339155, @@ -16090,7 +18013,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": -26404902.50053966, @@ -16100,7 +18025,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:nd_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16130,6 +18057,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 30250000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 30044320.24648146, "status": "comparable", @@ -16139,6 +18067,8 @@ "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9932006693051723, "delta": -205679.7535185404 }, @@ -16151,7 +18081,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 30047324.05787287, @@ -16161,7 +18093,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 29911276.043092243, @@ -16171,7 +18105,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 30044320.24648146, @@ -16181,7 +18117,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ne_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16211,6 +18149,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 220600000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 278776847.9352504, "status": "constructed", @@ -16220,6 +18159,8 @@ "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.263720978854263, "delta": 58176847.9352504 }, @@ -16232,7 +18173,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 223812323.23684692, @@ -16242,7 +18185,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 248784352.32639313, @@ -16252,7 +18197,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 278776847.9352504, @@ -16262,7 +18209,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nj_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16292,6 +18241,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 603600000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 636243725.4279296, "status": "constructed", @@ -16301,6 +18251,8 @@ "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0540817187341445, "delta": 32643725.42792964 }, @@ -16313,7 +18265,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 619923187.5466, @@ -16323,7 +18277,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 631350348.7503012, @@ -16333,7 +18289,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 636243725.4279296, @@ -16343,7 +18301,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nj_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16373,6 +18333,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 133590000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 166527305.66908738, "status": "comparable", @@ -16382,6 +18343,8 @@ "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.2465551738085738, "delta": 32937305.66908738 }, @@ -16394,7 +18357,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 147986732.7699175, @@ -16404,7 +18369,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 159101128.99178576, @@ -16414,7 +18381,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 166527305.66908738, @@ -16424,7 +18393,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nm_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16454,6 +18425,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 130807000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 138969098.6371684, "status": "comparable", @@ -16463,6 +18435,8 @@ "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0623980263836676, "delta": 8162098.637168407 }, @@ -16475,7 +18449,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 138035540.06666782, @@ -16485,7 +18461,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 138854763.09541237, @@ -16495,7 +18473,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 138969098.6371684, @@ -16505,7 +18485,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:nm_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16535,6 +18517,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 693091767.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 716477970.6125236, "status": "constructed", @@ -16544,6 +18527,8 @@ "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.033741857465353, "delta": 23386203.612523556 }, @@ -16556,7 +18541,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 773178111.5205334, @@ -16566,7 +18553,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 773257570.1274319, @@ -16576,7 +18565,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 716477970.6125236, @@ -16586,7 +18577,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ny_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16616,6 +18609,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 1116252683.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 1131717111.0611105, "status": "comparable", @@ -16625,6 +18619,8 @@ "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0138538776180577, "delta": 15464428.061110497 }, @@ -16637,7 +18633,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1131433042.1047502, @@ -16647,7 +18645,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1132343230.7320895, @@ -16657,7 +18657,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 1131717111.0611105, @@ -16667,7 +18669,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ny_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16697,6 +18701,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 59300000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 107919013.33805472, "status": "constructed", @@ -16706,6 +18711,8 @@ "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.8198821810801806, "delta": 48619013.33805472 }, @@ -16718,7 +18725,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 100990353.00137575, @@ -16728,7 +18737,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 111428322.98510331, @@ -16738,7 +18749,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 107919013.33805472, @@ -16748,7 +18761,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:oh_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16778,6 +18793,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 40249000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 33782958.721632674, "status": "constructed", @@ -16787,6 +18803,8 @@ "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.839349020388896, "delta": -6466041.278367326 }, @@ -16799,7 +18817,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 35042947.9372672, @@ -16809,7 +18829,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 34848419.38212298, @@ -16819,7 +18841,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 33782958.721632674, @@ -16829,7 +18853,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ok_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16858,6 +18884,7 @@ "reform_key": "a26258b298a499fc", "external_value": -4947128000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -5295098039.810847, "status": "comparable", @@ -16867,6 +18894,8 @@ "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 1.0703377878661815, "delta": -347970039.8108473 }, @@ -16879,7 +18908,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -5199760980.950191, @@ -16889,7 +18920,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -5194613721.844052, @@ -16899,7 +18932,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": -5295098039.810847, @@ -16909,7 +18944,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "reform_delta:ok_income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -16939,6 +18976,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 47200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 56383108.83072405, "status": "constructed", @@ -16948,6 +18986,8 @@ "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1945573904814417, "delta": 9183108.830724053 }, @@ -16960,7 +19000,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 53654188.08539658, @@ -16970,7 +19012,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 52767067.112756595, @@ -16980,7 +19024,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 56383108.83072405, @@ -16990,7 +19036,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:or_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17020,6 +19068,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 34200000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 53149235.273332626, "status": "constructed", @@ -17029,6 +19078,8 @@ "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.5540712068225915, "delta": 18949235.273332626 }, @@ -17041,7 +19092,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 60314259.1662032, @@ -17051,7 +19104,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 39481057.98625037, @@ -17061,7 +19116,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 53149235.273332626, @@ -17071,7 +19128,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:or_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17102,6 +19161,7 @@ "reform_key": "44526157240aef77", "external_value": -60000000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -102121875631.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17115,6 +19175,8 @@ "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.7020312605166668, "delta": -42121875631.0 }, @@ -17131,7 +19193,9 @@ "PE CY liability vs PWBM FY cash (FY2025 is partial-first-year)", "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17162,6 +19226,7 @@ "reform_key": "44526157240aef77", "external_value": -116000000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -114046325481.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17175,6 +19240,8 @@ "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9831579782844827, "delta": 1953674519.0 }, @@ -17191,7 +19258,9 @@ "PE CY liability vs PWBM FY cash (FY2025 is partial-first-year)", "construction verified: taxable_social_security = 0.0 exactly", "PE 2025 baseline includes OBBBA senior deduction; PWBM publication vintage may predate (named axis)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17221,6 +19290,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 26193666.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 28710411.680781163, "status": "constructed", @@ -17230,6 +19300,8 @@ "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0960822238773742, "delta": 2516745.6807811633 }, @@ -17242,7 +19314,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28693100.04318575, @@ -17252,7 +19326,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28651720.445930503, @@ -17262,7 +19338,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28710411.680781163, @@ -17272,7 +19350,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ri_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17302,6 +19382,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 23220000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 10779837.699741729, "status": "constructed", @@ -17311,6 +19392,8 @@ "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.4642479629518402, "delta": -12440162.300258271 }, @@ -17323,7 +19406,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 20575522.00841711, @@ -17333,7 +19418,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22519759.068929043, @@ -17343,7 +19430,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 10779837.699741729, @@ -17353,7 +19442,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:sc_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17385,6 +19476,7 @@ "reform_key": "d8ed9c7cd94f3219", "external_value": 12200000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": 3560167298.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17398,6 +19490,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.29181699163934427, "delta": -8639832702.0 }, @@ -17414,7 +19508,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17446,6 +19542,7 @@ "reform_key": "4e3544154f521079", "external_value": -18500000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -12413332840.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17459,6 +19556,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -12.3B" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6709909643243244, "delta": 6086667160.0 }, @@ -17475,7 +19574,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -12.3B" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17507,6 +19608,7 @@ "reform_key": "d8ed9c7cd94f3219", "external_value": -10600000000.000002, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -11841396313.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17520,6 +19622,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1171128597169808, "delta": -1241396312.999998 }, @@ -17536,7 +19640,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17568,6 +19674,7 @@ "reform_key": "d8ed9c7cd94f3219", "external_value": -22800000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -15401563611.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17581,6 +19688,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -15.1B" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.6755071759210526, "delta": 7398436389.0 }, @@ -17597,7 +19706,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -15.1B" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17629,6 +19740,7 @@ "reform_key": "4e3544154f521079", "external_value": -8100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -10520644600.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17642,6 +19754,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.298845012345679, "delta": -2420644600.0 }, @@ -17658,7 +19772,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17688,6 +19804,7 @@ "reform_key": "7cdae2d7e661cd09", "external_value": -133908999999.99998, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": -132466602193.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17702,6 +19819,8 @@ "newborn $2,400 payment omitted (named delta)", "PE CY2026 vs TPC FY2026" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.9892285223024593, "delta": 1442397806.9999847 }, @@ -17719,7 +19838,9 @@ "floor-construction bound: bill-text $2,000 floor gives -130.7B (width 1.8B)", "newborn $2,400 payment omitted (named delta)", "PE CY2026 vs TPC FY2026" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17751,6 +19872,7 @@ "reform_key": "53fd3b7c7c065a56", "external_value": -25200000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -17771840580.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17764,6 +19886,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -17.6B" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.7052317690476191, "delta": 7428159420.0 }, @@ -17780,7 +19904,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "CY2025 variant: -17.6B" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17812,6 +19938,7 @@ "reform_key": "53fd3b7c7c065a56", "external_value": -12100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": -13358690967.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17825,6 +19952,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1040240468595042, "delta": -1258690967.0 }, @@ -17841,7 +19970,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17873,6 +20004,7 @@ "reform_key": "4e3544154f521079", "external_value": 10400000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": 1892688240.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17886,6 +20018,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.18198925384615386, "delta": -8507311760.0 }, @@ -17902,7 +20036,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17934,6 +20070,7 @@ "reform_key": "53fd3b7c7c065a56", "external_value": 13100000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", "latest": { "value": 4413149613.0, "status": "constructed", @@ -17947,6 +20084,8 @@ "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.33688164984732827, "delta": -8686850387.0 }, @@ -17963,7 +20102,9 @@ "PE calendar-year 2026 liability vs TPC FY2026 cash", "baseline: PE enacted-OBBBA current law vs TPC Senate-draft Title VII (draft~enacted for these provisions)", "toprate via gov.contrib.additional_tax_bracket structural reform; SEPARATE=joint/2 and SURVIVING=joint assumed (table states 3 statuses)" - ] + ], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -17993,6 +20134,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 3690000000.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 3176933837.6674805, "status": "constructed", @@ -18002,6 +20144,8 @@ "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.860957679584683, "delta": -513066162.33251953 }, @@ -18014,7 +20158,9 @@ "release": "f0af251", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-06-20T20:19:58", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 0.0, @@ -18024,7 +20170,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3538315799.251953, @@ -18034,7 +20182,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3315794560.0722656, @@ -18044,7 +20194,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 3176933837.6674805, @@ -18054,7 +20206,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "repeal_delta:income_tax", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18085,6 +20239,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 40022410.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 2784215.124216859, "status": "concept_mismatch", @@ -18094,6 +20249,8 @@ "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch", "ratio": 0.069566403527845, "delta": -37238194.87578314 }, @@ -18106,7 +20263,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" }, { "value": 1324082.6429755944, @@ -18116,7 +20275,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" }, { "value": 1567337.1896916714, @@ -18126,7 +20287,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" }, { "value": 2784215.124216859, @@ -18136,7 +20299,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:ut_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "concept_mismatch" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18166,6 +20331,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 224156631.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 245263505.6106354, "status": "constructed", @@ -18175,6 +20341,8 @@ "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.0941612769449385, "delta": 21106874.6106354 }, @@ -18187,7 +20355,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 238559408.52860293, @@ -18197,7 +20367,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 240958255.9479866, @@ -18207,7 +20379,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 245263505.6106354, @@ -18217,7 +20391,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:va_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18247,6 +20423,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 25423933.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 22804686.534421444, "status": "constructed", @@ -18256,6 +20433,8 @@ "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 0.8969771330982285, "delta": -2619246.465578556 }, @@ -18268,7 +20447,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22507651.564064026, @@ -18278,7 +20459,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 23616016.474285126, @@ -18288,7 +20471,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 22804686.534421444, @@ -18298,7 +20483,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:vt_ctc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18328,6 +20515,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 24524566.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 28935140.388213746, "status": "constructed", @@ -18337,6 +20525,8 @@ "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.1798431168247276, "delta": 4410574.388213746 }, @@ -18349,7 +20539,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28973351.91808102, @@ -18359,7 +20551,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28895700.99882271, @@ -18369,7 +20563,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 28935140.388213746, @@ -18379,7 +20575,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:vt_eitc", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18409,6 +20607,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 205589501.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 192030677.04028344, "status": "comparable", @@ -18418,6 +20617,8 @@ "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable", "ratio": 0.9340490448502204, "delta": -13558823.959716558 }, @@ -18430,7 +20631,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 210716912.23386228, @@ -18440,7 +20643,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 233934496.5649276, @@ -18450,7 +20655,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" }, { "value": 192030677.04028344, @@ -18460,7 +20667,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:wa_working_families_tax_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "comparable" } ], "diagnosis": null @@ -18490,6 +20699,7 @@ "reform_key": "03395a10966bb849", "external_value": 87723239.0, "calibration_relationship": "held_out", + "claim_baseline": "current_law", "latest": { "value": 116426219.03550029, "status": "constructed", @@ -18499,6 +20709,8 @@ "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed", "ratio": 1.3271992731082387, "delta": 28702980.035500288 }, @@ -18511,7 +20723,9 @@ "release": "l0-refit", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-01T00:00:00", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116547447.67152292, @@ -18521,7 +20735,9 @@ "release": "buildi", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-09T03:41:35", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116277422.5830329, @@ -18531,7 +20747,9 @@ "release": "buildj", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-10T09:42:01", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" }, { "value": 116426219.03550029, @@ -18541,7 +20759,9 @@ "release": "buildo", "construction": "level:wi_earned_income_credit", "computed_at": "2026-07-22T23:26:27", - "annotations": [] + "annotations": [], + "baseline": "current_law", + "status_effective": "constructed" } ], "diagnosis": null diff --git a/data/scorecard.db b/data/scorecard.db index b0395e2..154b971 100644 Binary files a/data/scorecard.db and b/data/scorecard.db differ diff --git a/scorecard_db/__init__.py b/scorecard_db/__init__.py index ab2a47f..11d9483 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/__init__.py +++ b/scorecard_db/__init__.py @@ -1,6 +1,7 @@ from .db import ScorecardDB from .models import ( BASELINE, + CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR, STANDARD_CONDITIONS, CalibrationRelationship, ComparisonStatus, @@ -11,10 +12,12 @@ ReformRef, TimeBasis, UnitConcept, + baseline_key, ) __all__ = [ "BASELINE", + "CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR", "STANDARD_CONDITIONS", "CalibrationRelationship", "ComparisonStatus", @@ -26,4 +29,5 @@ "ScorecardDB", "TimeBasis", "UnitConcept", + "baseline_key", ] diff --git a/scorecard_db/baselines.py b/scorecard_db/baselines.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..abaaa52 --- /dev/null +++ b/scorecard_db/baselines.py @@ -0,0 +1,274 @@ +"""Baseline registry (issue #13): every baseline world, deliberately named. + +A score's meaning is its (reform, baseline) pair. ReformRef keeps carrying +the baseline descriptor for claim-id hashing (unchanged); this module is +the queryable projection — one registry row per distinct descriptor, with +the source's own words defining the world. `register_baselines` seeds the +table and fails loudly if any baseline_key referenced by the data is not +described here: extending the registry is a deliberate act. + +Convention (mirrors JCT/HMT practice): a costing scored against the law in +force at its own publication is the null baseline `current_law` — the +announcement vintage is a condition (fiscal_event, data_vintage), not a +distinct baseline world. Only genuinely non-current-law worlds (TCJA +extension, JCT current policy, TPC current-law + Senate Title VII, CPSP +counterfactual CTC regimes, PE's pre-AB2025 reinstated two-child limit) +get their own entries. +""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +from .db import ScorecardDB +from .models import CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR, baseline_key + +# descriptor, label, description, framework, provenance +BASELINES: list[tuple[dict, str, str, str, str]] = [ + ( + CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR, + "current_law", + "Law in force at the source's scoring date (the null baseline; " + "announcement vintage rides in conditions, not here).", + "baseline", + "Default for every claim without an explicit baseline descriptor.", + ), + ( + {"policy": "current_policy"}, + "current_policy", + "JCT current-policy baseline: expiring provisions assumed " + "continued rather than sunsetting under present law.", + "policy_ref", + "JCX-29-25 (SFC substitute scored vs current policy) and JCX-30-25 " + "(manager's amendment vs current policy; JCX-31-25 is its " + "present-law twin) — sources/harvest-2026-08-02/jct/NOTES.md.", + ), + ( + {"policy": "tcja_extension"}, + "tcja_extension", + "TCJA individual provisions extended past their scheduled 2025 sunset.", + "policy_ref", + "PWBM tables scored against a TCJA-extension baseline " + "(sources/harvest-2026-08-02/pwbm NOTES: conditions." + "baseline_policy=tcja_extension rows).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "current_law_pre_2025_tariffs"}, + "current_law_pre_2025_tariffs", + "Current law excluding the 2025 tariff actions.", + "policy_ref", + "TPC tariff tables, 161 claims: the baseline is explicit in " + "sources/harvest-2026-08-02/tpc/manifest.jsonl for T25-0366's 11 " + "claims (baseline_line) and assigned from the workbook " + "verification documented in scorecard_db/ingest_tpc.py for " + "T26-0010/0112/0113 (manifest baseline_line null). Plus PWBM " + "tariff rows (22 claims). Tax Foundation tracker rows score " + "current law and do not key this world " + "(scorecard_db/ingest_tax_foundation.py).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii"}, + "current_law_plus_senate_obbba_title_vii", + "Current law plus the Senate OBBBA Title VII draft — the baseline " + "under TPC's CTC options set.", + "policy_ref", + "TPC T25-0209/T25-0215 baseline_hint (sources/harvest-2026-08-02/" + "tpc); draft≈enacted for these provisions per the campaign " + "conventions note.", + ), + ( + {"policy": "no_ctc"}, + "no_ctc", + "Counterfactual world with the Child Tax Credit removed (CPSP " + "poverty counterfactual tables, 100% take-up, no behavior).", + "policy_ref", + "CPSP CTC counterfactual tables 2023/2024 (sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "tcja_ctc"}, + "tcja_ctc", + "TCJA-parameter CTC world (CPSP counterfactual scenario).", + "policy_ref", + "CPSP CTC counterfactual tables (sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "tcja_ctc", "take_up": "full"}, + "tcja_ctc_full_takeup", + "TCJA-parameter CTC world at explicit 100% take-up.", + "policy_ref", + "CPSP CTC counterfactual tables (sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "bl_ctc_option", "option": "1. TCJA CTC"}, + "bl_ctc_option_1_tcja_ctc", + "Budget Lab CTC options workbook baseline: option 1 (TCJA CTC) " + "under the current-law sunset path.", + "policy_ref", + "Budget Lab 16-scenario CTC options workbook " + "(sources/harvest-2026-08-02/budget_lab).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "bl_ctc_option_permanent", "option": "1. TCJA Extension"}, + "bl_ctc_option_permanent_1_tcja_extension", + "Budget Lab CTC options workbook baseline: option 1 under the " + "TCJA-permanence path.", + "policy_ref", + "Budget Lab 16-scenario CTC options workbook " + "(sources/harvest-2026-08-02/budget_lab).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "pre_obbba_current_law"}, + "pre_obbba_current_law", + "US current law before OBBBA's enactment — the baseline of CBO's " + "December-2024 revenue-option scores.", + "policy_ref", + "populace reform-validation registry: federal.cbo_rates_plus_1pt " + "is scored against pre-OBBBA current law " + "(scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py; CBO Options for " + "Reducing the Deficit, Dec 2024).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026"}, + "pre_obbba_expiry_2026", + "Pre-OBBBA expiry law as executed by the reform-validation " + "registry's ISOLATED OBBBA scoring (l0-refit and its note's " + "shared 2,735.78B income-tax baseline): TCJA-era parameters at " + "their scheduled-expiry values, per provision, one at a time.", + "policy_ref", + "l0-refit backfill note (sources/populace-reform-validation/raw/" + "populace-us-2024-sparse-l0-refit-…json _backfill_note): 'scored " + "in isolation against pre-OBBBA law'; keys stamped by " + "scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py.", + ), + ( + {"policy": "pre_obbba_law"}, + "pre_obbba_law", + "TPC T26-0009's stated counterfactual: 'Law Prior to the 2025 " + "Budget Reconciliation Act' — a post-enactment scoring of enacted " + "Title VII against the law it replaced. Distinct from " + "pre_obbba_current_law (a pre-enactment forward score's baseline) " + "by source assertion; registry equivalence is a deliberate future " + "act, never assumed.", + "policy_ref", + "TPC T26-0009 by-race tables (published March 2026), re-parsed at " + "sources/harvest-2026-08-02/tpc/reparse_t26_0009.py; descriptor " + "set in scorecard_db/ingest_tpc.py (PRE_OBBBA).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "ifs_2cl_fp_removal_rolled_out"}, + "ifs_2cl_fp_removal_rolled_out", + "IFS Green-Budget-2025 options baseline: the current UK " + "tax-benefit system with the two-child limit and family-premium " + "removal fully rolled out (steady state).", + "policy_ref", + "IFS staged conditions verbatim: 'current tax-benefit system " + "with two-child limit and family premium removal fully rolled " + "out' (sources/harvest-uk-2026-08-02/uk_ifs).", + ), + ( + {"policy": "pre_ab2025"}, + "pre_ab2025", + "UK current law with the Autumn Budget 2025 two-child-limit " + "abolition reversed (limit reinstated at 2 children; born-pre-2017 " + "exemptions active) — the reinstated counterfactual PE executes as " + "baseline so 'removal' is measured explicitly, not implied by " + "sign.", + "policyengine_uk", + "Campaign run results/uk/two_child_reinstate_2026.json " + "(gov.dwp.universal_credit.elements.child.limit.child_count: " + "inf -> 2); issue #13 grounding artifact.", + ), +] + + +def register_baselines(db: ScorecardDB) -> int: + """Seed the registry, then fail loudly on any baseline_key the data + references that is not curated above.""" + for descriptor, label, description, framework, provenance in BASELINES: + db.register_baseline( + baseline_key(descriptor), + label, + description=description, + framework=framework, + spec_json=None, + provenance=provenance, + ) + # Convergence: a row this module no longer defines is pruned — but + # never while data still references it (that would silently orphan + # provenance; the disavowal must first re-key the data). + defined = {baseline_key(d) for d, *_ in BASELINES} + for row in db.conn.execute("SELECT baseline_key, label FROM baselines").fetchall(): + if row["baseline_key"] in defined: + continue + referenced = db.conn.execute( + "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM (" + " SELECT baseline_key FROM external_scores" + " UNION ALL SELECT baseline_key FROM pe_results" + " UNION ALL SELECT baseline_key FROM pe_exhibits)" + " WHERE baseline_key = ?", + (row["baseline_key"],), + ).fetchone()[0] + if referenced: + raise ValueError( + f"registry row {row['label']!r} is no longer defined but " + f"{referenced} data rows still reference it — re-key the " + "data before disavowing the world" + ) + with db.conn: + db.conn.execute( + "DELETE FROM baselines WHERE baseline_key = ?", + (row["baseline_key"],), + ) + missing = db.unregistered_baselines() + if missing: + described = [] + for key in missing: + sample = db.conn.execute( + "SELECT reform_json FROM external_scores" + " WHERE baseline_key = ? LIMIT 1", + (key,), + ).fetchone() + described.append(f"{key} (e.g. {sample['reform_json']})" if sample else key) + raise ValueError( + "baseline_keys in data but not in the registry (add them to " + f"scorecard_db/baselines.py deliberately): {described}" + ) + return len(BASELINES) + + +# The stacked OBBBA runs execute one distinct world per (chain, +# provision): current law plus the provisions above that one in that +# chain. Enumerated deliberately from the canonical provision map — 18 +# provisions x 2 chains — rather than laundered into a single family key +# (the earlier jcx_stack_position entry is disavowed and removed). +from .ingest_reform_validation import ( # noqa: E402 + OBBBA_PROVISIONS, + stack_baseline_descriptor, +) + +_CHAIN_DESCRIPTIONS = { + "f0af251": ( + "f0af251's own chained scoring — through the pre-scope-fix " + "exemption row and a separate senior-deduction link" + ), + "jcx_producer": "the buildi+ stacked producer, JCX order", +} +for _chain, _chain_desc in _CHAIN_DESCRIPTIONS.items(): + for _pid in OBBBA_PROVISIONS: + BASELINES.append( + ( + stack_baseline_descriptor( + {"f0af251": "stacked_chained", "jcx_producer": "jcx_stacked"}[ + _chain + ], + _pid, + ), + f"obbba_stack_below__{_chain}__{_pid}", + f"Current law plus the OBBBA provisions above {_pid} in " + f"{_chain_desc}; the run's construction string carries the " + "chain position.", + "policy_ref", + "Producer stack notes and verified chaining " + "(sources/populace-reform-validation/raw artifacts; the #24 " + "review record); stamped by " + "scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py.", + ) + ) diff --git a/scorecard_db/db.py b/scorecard_db/db.py index 3de8826..5fc937a 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/db.py +++ b/scorecard_db/db.py @@ -1,10 +1,16 @@ """SQLite storage for the Scorecard database. -One file (`scorecard.db`), four tables: +One file (`scorecard.db`), five tables: - external_scores — the claims (populace-targets shape; see models.py) - pe_results — PolicyEngine computations, full history per claim -- diagnoses — adjudications of material divergences +- baselines — registry of baseline worlds (issue #13): every claim and + every PE run carries a baseline_key FK; the comparisons + view exposes both sides and refuses to render plain + agreement across different baselines +- diagnoses — adjudications of material divergences (descriptive + register, issue #9: pe_gap / external_issue require a + citable known issue in action_link) - lanes — live mission-control status per (source × area) lane `comparisons` is a VIEW joining each claim to its latest PE result. Common @@ -19,7 +25,18 @@ from pathlib import Path from typing import Iterable, Optional -from .models import ExternalScore, PEResult +from .models import ( + CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR, + GATED_DIAGNOSIS_CLASSES, + DiagnosisClass, + ExternalScore, + PEResult, + baseline_key as _baseline_key, +) + +# The null world's key, injected into the view SQL so the guard works on +# fresh files before the registry is seeded. +CURRENT_LAW_KEY = _baseline_key(CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR) DDL = """ CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS external_scores ( @@ -46,7 +63,8 @@ ('consumed_as_target','seed_source','held_out') ), period_start INTEGER, - period_end INTEGER + period_end INTEGER, + baseline_key TEXT ); CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_scores_source ON external_scores(source); CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_scores_geo ON external_scores(geography); @@ -65,14 +83,25 @@ pe_construction TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', run_id TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', computed_at TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', - annotations TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '[]' + annotations TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '[]', + baseline_key TEXT ); CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_results_claim ON pe_results(claim_id); +CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS baselines ( + baseline_key TEXT PRIMARY KEY, + label TEXT NOT NULL UNIQUE, + description TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', + framework TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', + spec_json TEXT, + provenance TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '' +); + CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS diagnoses ( claim_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY REFERENCES external_scores(claim_id), diagnosis_class TEXT NOT NULL CHECK (diagnosis_class IN ( - 'pe_gap','external_issue','concept_mismatch','vintage','undiagnosed' + 'pe_gap','external_issue','concept_mismatch', + 'methodological_difference','vintage','undiagnosed' )), rationale TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', action_link TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '' @@ -97,7 +126,8 @@ data_bundle TEXT NOT NULL, run_id TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', computed_at TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', - note TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '' + note TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', + baseline_key TEXT ); CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_exhibits_kind ON pe_exhibits(exhibit); @@ -111,7 +141,16 @@ updated_at TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '' ); -CREATE VIEW IF NOT EXISTS comparisons AS +""" + +# Everything below is (re)created after _migrate so it may reference +# columns added by migration (baseline_key on pre-#13 files); DROP+CREATE +# keeps the view definition current on old files. +VIEW_DDL = """ +CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_scores_baseline + ON external_scores(baseline_key); +DROP VIEW IF EXISTS comparisons; +CREATE VIEW comparisons AS SELECT s.*, r.computed_value AS pe_value, @@ -120,6 +159,29 @@ r.data_bundle, r.pe_construction, r.computed_at, + r.baseline_key AS pe_baseline_key, + bc.label AS claim_baseline_label, + bp.label AS pe_baseline_label, + -- Issue #13 guard: a result computed against a different baseline + -- world than the claim's can never render as plain agreement — it is + -- at best a documented construction. (A registry-equivalence table + -- can relax specific pairs later; none exist yet.) + CASE + WHEN r.status = 'comparable' + AND r.baseline_key IS NOT NULL + AND s.baseline_key IS NOT NULL + AND r.baseline_key != s.baseline_key + THEN 'constructed' + -- Legacy result with no recorded executed baseline meeting a + -- claim scored against a non-current-law world: agreement is + -- unverifiable, never plain. + WHEN r.status = 'comparable' + AND r.baseline_key IS NULL + AND s.baseline_key IS NOT NULL + AND s.baseline_key != '__CURRENT_LAW_KEY__' + THEN 'baseline_unvalidated' + ELSE r.status + END AS pe_status_effective, r.computed_value - s.value AS delta, CASE WHEN s.value != 0 THEN r.computed_value / s.value END AS ratio, d.diagnosis_class, @@ -131,7 +193,9 @@ WHERE claim_id = s.claim_id ORDER BY computed_at DESC, id DESC LIMIT 1 ) -LEFT JOIN diagnoses d ON d.claim_id = s.claim_id; +LEFT JOIN diagnoses d ON d.claim_id = s.claim_id +LEFT JOIN baselines bc ON bc.baseline_key = s.baseline_key +LEFT JOIN baselines bp ON bp.baseline_key = r.baseline_key; """ @@ -141,20 +205,22 @@ " source_column, publication, reform_key, reform_json," " metric, unit_concept, period, time_basis, conditions," " geography, program, value, value_kind, status," - " calibration_relationship, period_start, period_end)" - " VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)" + " calibration_relationship, period_start, period_end, baseline_key)" + " VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)" ) RESULTS_SQL = ( "INSERT INTO pe_results (claim_id, computed_value, status," " engine_version, data_bundle, pe_construction, run_id," - " computed_at, annotations) VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)" + " computed_at, annotations, baseline_key)" + " VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)" ) EXHIBITS_SQL = ( "INSERT INTO pe_exhibits (exhibit, reform_key, reform_json," " metric, unit_concept, period, time_basis, conditions," " geography, program, value, baseline_value, delta," - " engine_version, data_bundle, run_id, computed_at, note)" - " VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)" + " engine_version, data_bundle, run_id, computed_at, note," + " baseline_key)" + " VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)" ) LANE_SQL = ( "INSERT INTO lanes (lane, stage, detail, updated_at)" @@ -164,6 +230,24 @@ ) +def _legacy_claim_baseline_key(row) -> str: + """Exact projection of a legacy claim's baseline world from its own + reform_json. Absent baseline (missing key or JSON null) IS the null + current_law world by the registry convention; any other shape — + non-dict reform_json, falsy-but-present baseline ({} / [] / false), + non-string policy — fails loudly rather than silently keying current + law.""" + parsed = json.loads(row["reform_json"]) + if not isinstance(parsed, dict): + raise ValueError( + f"{row['claim_id']}: reform_json is not an object: {row['reform_json']!r}" + ) + descriptor = parsed.get("baseline", None) + if descriptor is None: + return CURRENT_LAW_KEY + return _baseline_key(descriptor) + + class ScorecardDB: def __init__(self, path: str | Path): self.path = Path(path) @@ -171,24 +255,81 @@ def __init__(self, path: str | Path): self.conn.row_factory = sqlite3.Row self.conn.executescript(DDL) self._migrate() + self.conn.executescript( + VIEW_DDL.replace("__CURRENT_LAW_KEY__", CURRENT_LAW_KEY) + ) def _migrate(self): """Bring a pre-existing file up to the current schema. CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS leaves old files untouched, so columns - added later (period_start/period_end, 2026-08-02) are ALTERed in. - The comparisons view stores its SELECT as text and expands s.* at - query time, so it needs no rebuild. + added later (period_start/period_end 2026-08-02, baseline_key + 2026-08-02 #13) are ALTERed in, and the diagnoses CHECK is + rebuilt when it predates methodological_difference (issue #9). + The comparisons view is dropped and recreated after migration so + its definition always matches the code. """ - cols = { - r["name"] for r in self.conn.execute("PRAGMA table_info(external_scores)") - } + + def cols(table): + return {r["name"] for r in self.conn.execute(f"PRAGMA table_info({table})")} + with self.conn: - for col in ("period_start", "period_end"): - if col not in cols: + score_cols = cols("external_scores") + for col, typ in ( + ("period_start", "INTEGER"), + ("period_end", "INTEGER"), + ("baseline_key", "TEXT"), + ): + if col not in score_cols: self.conn.execute( - f"ALTER TABLE external_scores ADD COLUMN {col} INTEGER" + f"ALTER TABLE external_scores ADD COLUMN {col} {typ}" ) + for table in ("pe_results", "pe_exhibits"): + if "baseline_key" not in cols(table): + self.conn.execute( + f"ALTER TABLE {table} ADD COLUMN baseline_key TEXT" + ) + diag_sql = self.conn.execute( + "SELECT sql FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table' AND name='diagnoses'" + ).fetchone() + if diag_sql and "methodological_difference" not in diag_sql["sql"]: + self.conn.executescript( + """ + ALTER TABLE diagnoses RENAME TO diagnoses_old; + CREATE TABLE diagnoses ( + claim_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY + REFERENCES external_scores(claim_id), + diagnosis_class TEXT NOT NULL CHECK ( + diagnosis_class IN ( + 'pe_gap','external_issue','concept_mismatch', + 'methodological_difference','vintage', + 'undiagnosed' + ) + ), + rationale TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', + action_link TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '' + ); + INSERT INTO diagnoses SELECT * FROM diagnoses_old; + DROP TABLE diagnoses_old; + """ + ) + # Backfill legacy claims' baseline_key by exact projection + # from the descriptor each row already carries in reform_json + # — never an inference (a claim without a baseline descriptor + # IS the null current_law world by the registry convention). + # Legacy pe_results stay NULL: the baseline a run actually + # executed is provenance we don't have; the comparisons view + # downgrades those to 'baseline_unvalidated' wherever the + # claim's world is not current law. + legacy = self.conn.execute( + "SELECT claim_id, reform_json FROM external_scores" + " WHERE baseline_key IS NULL" + ).fetchall() + if legacy: + self.conn.executemany( + "UPDATE external_scores SET baseline_key = ? WHERE claim_id = ?", + [(_legacy_claim_baseline_key(r), r["claim_id"]) for r in legacy], + ) def close(self): self.conn.close() @@ -222,6 +363,7 @@ def score_row(s: ExternalScore) -> tuple: s.calibration_relationship.value, s.period_start, s.period_end, + s.reform.baseline_key(), ) @staticmethod @@ -236,6 +378,7 @@ def result_row(r: PEResult) -> tuple: r.run_id, r.computed_at, json.dumps(r.annotations), + r.baseline_key, ) def upsert_scores(self, scores: Iterable[ExternalScore]) -> int: @@ -271,6 +414,7 @@ def exhibit_row(r: dict) -> tuple: r.get("run_id", ""), r.get("computed_at", ""), r.get("note", ""), + r.get("baseline_key"), ) def add_exhibits(self, rows: Iterable[dict]) -> int: @@ -290,6 +434,41 @@ def set_lane(self, lane: str, stage: str, detail: str = "", at: str = ""): with self.conn: self.conn.execute(LANE_SQL, (lane, stage, detail, at)) + def register_baseline( + self, + baseline_key: str, + label: str, + description: str = "", + framework: str = "", + spec_json: Optional[str] = None, + provenance: str = "", + ): + with self.conn: + self.conn.execute( + "INSERT INTO baselines VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?)" + " ON CONFLICT(baseline_key) DO UPDATE SET" + " label=excluded.label, description=excluded.description," + " framework=excluded.framework, spec_json=excluded.spec_json," + " provenance=excluded.provenance", + (baseline_key, label, description, framework, spec_json, provenance), + ) + + def unregistered_baselines(self) -> list[str]: + """baseline_keys referenced by claims or results but missing from + the registry — runners fail loudly on these so every baseline + world is deliberately described (issue #13).""" + return [ + r["baseline_key"] + for r in self.conn.execute( + "SELECT DISTINCT baseline_key FROM (" + " SELECT baseline_key FROM external_scores" + " UNION SELECT baseline_key FROM pe_results" + " UNION SELECT baseline_key FROM pe_exhibits)" + " WHERE baseline_key IS NOT NULL AND baseline_key NOT IN" + " (SELECT baseline_key FROM baselines)" + ) + ] + def diagnose( self, claim_id: str, @@ -297,6 +476,15 @@ def diagnose( rationale: str = "", action_link: str = "", ): + # Descriptive register (issue #9): normative classes are gated on + # a citable known issue; divergence alone never qualifies. + if DiagnosisClass(diagnosis_class) in GATED_DIAGNOSIS_CLASSES and ( + not action_link + ): + raise ValueError( + f"{diagnosis_class} requires a citable known issue in " + "action_link (descriptive register, issue #9)" + ) with self.conn: self.conn.execute( "INSERT INTO diagnoses VALUES (?,?,?,?) ON CONFLICT(claim_id)" diff --git a/scorecard_db/export_populations.py b/scorecard_db/export_populations.py index 8fff01e..3f9a3ca 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/export_populations.py +++ b/scorecard_db/export_populations.py @@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ from datetime import date from pathlib import Path -from .db import ScorecardDB +from .db import CURRENT_LAW_KEY, ScorecardDB from .ingest_harvest import sync_lane_feed REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent @@ -52,6 +52,19 @@ def release_label(bundle: str) -> str: return bundle.rsplit("-", 1)[0][-12:] +def _effective_status(status: str, result_bk: str | None, claim_bk: str | None) -> str: + """Mirror of the comparisons-view #13 guard, applied per result so + the exported feed can never publish plain agreement across baseline + worlds (or over unverifiable legacy provenance).""" + if status != "comparable" or claim_bk is None: + return status + if result_bk is not None and result_bk != claim_bk: + return "constructed" + if result_bk is None and claim_bk != CURRENT_LAW_KEY: + return "baseline_unvalidated" + return status + + def _ratio(pe: float | None, external: float | None) -> float | None: if pe is None or external is None or external == 0: return None @@ -78,6 +91,10 @@ def export( (URBAN_SOURCE,), ).fetchall() + labels = { + r["baseline_key"]: r["label"] + for r in db.conn.execute("SELECT baseline_key, label FROM baselines") + } rows = [] by_source: dict[str, int] = {} by_status: dict[str, int] = {} @@ -93,11 +110,15 @@ def export( "construction": r["pe_construction"], "computed_at": r["computed_at"], "annotations": json.loads(r["annotations"]), + "baseline": labels.get(r["baseline_key"]), + "status_effective": _effective_status( + r["status"], r["baseline_key"], c["baseline_key"] + ), } for r in db.conn.execute( """SELECT computed_value, status, engine_version, data_bundle, pe_construction, computed_at, - annotations + annotations, baseline_key FROM pe_results WHERE claim_id = ? ORDER BY computed_at, id""", (c["claim_id"],), @@ -119,7 +140,8 @@ def export( if len({r["data_bundle"] for r in results}) > 1: multi_release += 1 by_source[c["source"]] = by_source.get(c["source"], 0) + 1 - by_status[latest["status"]] = by_status.get(latest["status"], 0) + 1 + eff = latest["status_effective"] + by_status[eff] = by_status.get(eff, 0) + 1 rows.append( { "claim_id": c["claim_id"], @@ -143,6 +165,7 @@ def export( "reform_key": c["reform_key"], "external_value": c["value"], "calibration_relationship": c["calibration_relationship"], + "claim_baseline": labels.get(c["baseline_key"]), "latest": { **latest, "ratio": _ratio(latest["value"], c["value"]), diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_campaign.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_campaign.py index 5552df3..efbbc24 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_campaign.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_campaign.py @@ -46,11 +46,13 @@ from pathlib import Path from .db import EXHIBITS_SQL, RESULTS_SQL, ScorecardDB -from .models import ComparisonStatus, PEResult +from .models import BASELINE, ComparisonStatus, PEResult REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent STAGED_US = REPO / "sources" / "campaign-20260802" / "us" +_CURRENT_LAW_KEY = BASELINE.baseline_key() + # CPSP's CTC-brief scenario worlds live on the claim's policy_ref reform # (ingest_cpsp), not in conditions — descriptor policy_scenario -> policy. _CPSP_WORLDS = { @@ -201,6 +203,7 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path, staged_dir: Path | None = None) -> dict: "run_id": row["run_id"], "computed_at": row["computed_at"], "note": note, + "baseline_key": _CURRENT_LAW_KEY, } ) continue @@ -221,6 +224,11 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path, staged_dir: Path | None = None) -> dict: run_id=row["run_id"], computed_at=row["computed_at"], annotations=row.get("annotations", []), + # every campaign run executed a current-law + # baseline (reform side carries the option; + # the jct expiry-reversal's negation is in + # its construction) + baseline_key=_CURRENT_LAW_KEY, ) ) diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_cpsp.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_cpsp.py index ccde378..296201e 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_cpsp.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_cpsp.py @@ -280,6 +280,9 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path) -> dict: erratum_claim(scores).claim_id(), "external_issue", ERRATUM_RATIONALE, + # Gated class (issue #9): the citable known issue is the source's + # own internal contradiction, documented in the vendored notes. + action_link="sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp/NOTES.md#erratum", ) db.set_lane( "cpsp-poverty", diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_harvest.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_harvest.py index 0328741..accd7b2 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_harvest.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_harvest.py @@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ ingest_tax_foundation, ingest_tpc, ) +from .baselines import register_baselines from .db import ScorecardDB from .harvest import REPO @@ -121,6 +122,7 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path) -> dict: for name, adapter in ADAPTERS.items(): stats[name] = adapter.ingest(db_path) db = ScorecardDB(db_path) + stats["baselines_registered"] = register_baselines(db) stats["lanes_synced"] = sync_lane_feed( db, REPO / "data" / "lanes.json", "2026-08-02" ) diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_platform.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_platform.py index 10b0228..ea8118b 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_platform.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_platform.py @@ -28,14 +28,20 @@ from .ingest_urban import FULLPART_REFORM, POP_UNIT, UNITS_UNIT from .models import ( BASELINE, + CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR, ComparisonStatus, ExternalScore, Metric, PEResult, TimeBasis, UnitConcept, + baseline_key, ) +# Platform-grid runs execute on the certified current-law world (fullpart +# rows force take-up flags on that same world) — record it per issue #13. +_CURRENT_LAW_KEY = baseline_key(CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR) + REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent # platform metric vocabulary -> (tidy program override, Metric) @@ -165,6 +171,7 @@ def ingest( run_id="platform-grid-2024", computed_at=f"{comp.get('built', '')}T12:00:00", annotations=row.get("annotations", []), + baseline_key=_CURRENT_LAW_KEY, ) ) if unmatched: diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py index bfae288..cd7216d 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_reform_validation.py @@ -92,6 +92,7 @@ ReformRef, TimeBasis, UnitConcept, + baseline_key, ) REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent @@ -99,6 +100,42 @@ RUN_PREFIX = "populace-rv-" REGISTRY_MARK = "populace_reform_validation" +# Executed-baseline provenance (issue #13). Level / reform_delta / +# repeal_delta rows run against current law. OBBBA rows differ by the +# release's scoring mode: isolated runs executed pre-OBBBA expiry law as +# their baseline (the l0 backfill note's shared 2,735.78B world); stacked +# runs (f0af251's own chain and the buildi+ JCX producer) executed the +# stack below each provision's position — one registered world per +# (chain, provision), with the raw chain ordinal in the construction +# string. +_CURRENT_LAW_KEY = BASELINE.baseline_key() +_ISOLATED_KEY = baseline_key({"policy": "pre_obbba_expiry_2026"}) + +# Stacked runs execute a DISTINCT world per (chain, provision): current +# law plus the provisions above this one in that chain. Two chains exist +# — f0af251's own (through the pre-scope-fix exemption row and a separate +# UNSCORED senior-deduction link, which still feeds later baselines) and +# the buildi+ JCX producer's. Each provision keys its own registered +# world; stacked constructions carry the RAW chain ordinal (chain_posNN +# counts unscored links too), and isolated runs carry no position — their +# baseline is the shared expiry world. +_STACK_CHAIN = {"stacked_chained": "f0af251", "jcx_stacked": "jcx_producer"} + + +def stack_baseline_descriptor(mode: str, provision_id: str) -> dict: + return { + "policy": "obbba_stack_below", + "chain": _STACK_CHAIN[mode], + "provision": provision_id, + } + + +def _obbba_baseline_key(mode: str, provision_id: str) -> str: + if mode == "isolated": + return _ISOLATED_KEY + return baseline_key(stack_baseline_descriptor(mode, provision_id)) + + # Exact engine pins per release (from each release_manifest.json on HF; # the artifact's PE values were computed at these versions). ENGINE_VERSIONS = { @@ -562,6 +599,7 @@ def _obbba_results( claims: dict[str, ExternalScore], tallies: dict, validate: bool, + position: int, ) -> list[PEResult]: """Attach the registry's OBBBA computation to the canonical harvest claims — the FY2026 provision claim, and the FY2027 one when the @@ -636,9 +674,14 @@ def _obbba_results( status=ComparisonStatus.CONSTRUCTED, engine_version=engine, data_bundle=release_id, - pe_construction=(f"reform_delta:{measure}:{mode}:cy2026_for_fy{fy}"), + pe_construction=( + f"reform_delta:{measure}:{mode}" + + (f":chain_pos{position:02d}" if mode != "isolated" else "") + + f":cy2026_for_fy{fy}" + ), run_id=f"{RUN_PREFIX}{release_id}", computed_at=computed_at, + baseline_key=_obbba_baseline_key(mode, row["id"]), ) ) return results @@ -674,7 +717,10 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path, raw_dir: Path | None = None) -> dict: for r in artifact["reforms"] if r["category"] == "State program actual" } + obbba_position = 0 # raw chain ordinal: counts unscored links too for row in artifact["reforms"]: + if row["category"] == "OBBBA": + obbba_position += 1 if row["jct"].get("score") is None: skipped.append(f"{release_id[:20]}…:{row['id']}") continue @@ -694,6 +740,7 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path, raw_dir: Path | None = None) -> dict: claims, tallies, validate=path == releases[-1], + position=obbba_position, ) ) continue @@ -729,6 +776,7 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path, raw_dir: Path | None = None) -> dict: pe_construction=construction, run_id=f"{RUN_PREFIX}{release_id}", computed_at=computed_at, + baseline_key=_CURRENT_LAW_KEY, ) ) diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_solo.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_solo.py index 1b8ac3c..dcd7b16 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_solo.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_solo.py @@ -24,6 +24,7 @@ from .db import ScorecardDB from .ingest_urban import solo_reform +from .models import BASELINE COMPARISON_DIR = Path.home() / "populace-sotsn-takeup" / "comparison" REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent @@ -109,6 +110,7 @@ def ingest(db_path: Path, comparison_dir: Path = COMPARISON_DIR) -> dict: "run_id": "solo-takeup-2024", "computed_at": "2026-08-01T20:20:00", "note": NOTE, + "baseline_key": BASELINE.baseline_key(), } ) if len(seen) != 52: diff --git a/scorecard_db/ingest_urban.py b/scorecard_db/ingest_urban.py index 73b1117..9f18da0 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/ingest_urban.py +++ b/scorecard_db/ingest_urban.py @@ -189,6 +189,7 @@ def pe_results_from_comparison( pe_construction=r.get("concept_note", ""), run_id=meta.get("run_id", ""), computed_at=meta.get("computed_at", ""), + baseline_key=BASELINE.baseline_key(), ) ) return results diff --git a/scorecard_db/models.py b/scorecard_db/models.py index 445276b..41f7a8a 100644 --- a/scorecard_db/models.py +++ b/scorecard_db/models.py @@ -112,6 +112,29 @@ class UnitConcept(str, Enum): # window_kind "total" | "annual_average" on period-range claims # month "YYYY-MM" for monthly series # data_vintage dataset base when it is not the obvious current one +# +# UK additions (2026-08-02 UK harvest; COLLATION UK worklist items 2-3): +# fy normalized fiscal-year label "2026-27" (Apr–Mar). The +# integer period is ALWAYS the FY start year (pe-uk-data +# convention) — adapters re-derive it from this label, so +# end-year staging conventions cannot leak in. +# basis source's own designation: "outturn" | "forecast" | +# "projected" | "provisional" | "unstated". Admin outturn +# rows never reach external_scores (ledger routing rule). +# income_concept UK distribution rows: "BHC" | "AHC" (load-bearing on +# every HBAI-family statistic), alongside the US values. +# equivalisation e.g. "modified_oecd" — load-bearing with income_concept. +# poverty_measure "relative" | "absolute" (+ poverty_line, e.g. +# "60pct_median"; poverty_line_anchor for absolute lines) +# fiscal_event "autumn_budget_2024" | "budget_2025" | … — the event a +# costing/measure belongs to +# measure verbatim measure title on scored fiscal-event lines +# (mirrors the policy_ref slug, which hashes this title) +# series UKMOD validation-block column: "ukmod" | +# "official_estimate" | "input_data" | "hbai" +# edition publication edition when two editions of the same +# statistic are staged (HBAI FYE2025 vs admin-linked) +# bound "lower" | "central" | "upper" on estimate ranges STANDARD_CONDITIONS = frozenset( { "geography", @@ -153,17 +176,52 @@ class ComparisonStatus(str, Enum): class DiagnosisClass(str, Enum): + """Adjudication classes under the descriptive register (issue #9, + Max 2026-08-02): the Scorecard is descriptive by default. PE_GAP and + EXTERNAL_ISSUE are normative and therefore GATED — they require a + citable known issue in action_link (a GitHub issue, published erratum, + internal contradiction, or tracked correction); divergence alone never + qualifies. METHODOLOGICAL_DIFFERENCE is strictly descriptive: the + models differ because of documented choices on both sides, stated, + sourced, and left there — no convergence or defended-departure + framing in either direction.""" + PE_GAP = "pe_gap" EXTERNAL_ISSUE = "external_issue" CONCEPT_MISMATCH = "concept_mismatch" + METHODOLOGICAL_DIFFERENCE = "methodological_difference" VINTAGE = "vintage" UNDIAGNOSED = "undiagnosed" +# Diagnosis classes that may only be assigned with a citable known issue. +GATED_DIAGNOSIS_CLASSES = frozenset( + {DiagnosisClass.PE_GAP, DiagnosisClass.EXTERNAL_ISSUE} +) + + def _canonical(obj: Any) -> str: return json.dumps(obj, sort_keys=True, separators=(",", ":")) +# The null baseline descriptor: current law at the source's scoring date. +CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR = {"policy": "current_law"} + + +def baseline_key(descriptor: dict) -> str: + """Stable key over a baseline descriptor dict (issue #13). The same + descriptor shape ReformRef.baseline carries; {"policy": "current_law"} + keys the null baseline.""" + if not isinstance(descriptor, dict): + raise ValueError(f"baseline descriptor must be a dict: {descriptor!r}") + policy = descriptor.get("policy") + if not (isinstance(policy, str) and policy.strip()): + raise ValueError( + f"baseline descriptor needs a nonempty string 'policy' slug: {descriptor!r}" + ) + return hashlib.sha256(_canonical(descriptor).encode()).hexdigest()[:16] + + @dataclass(frozen=True) class ReformRef: """The policy world a claim scores. @@ -240,6 +298,20 @@ def key(self) -> str: ).encode() ).hexdigest()[:16] + def baseline_descriptor(self) -> dict: + """The baseline world this reform is scored against, as a + descriptor dict. Absent baseline means current law — the JCT / + HMT-costing convention: scored against the law in force at + publication (the announcement vintage rides in conditions such as + fiscal_event / data_vintage, not in the baseline world).""" + return self.baseline if self.baseline is not None else CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR + + def baseline_key(self) -> str: + """First-class baseline identity (issue #13): a stable hash of the + baseline descriptor, FK into the baselines registry. Additive + projection only — claim_id/key() hashing is unchanged.""" + return baseline_key(self.baseline_descriptor()) + def to_json(self) -> str: return _canonical( { @@ -335,7 +407,14 @@ def claim_id(self) -> str: @dataclass class PEResult: - """PolicyEngine's computation for a claim (history preserved per run).""" + """PolicyEngine's computation for a claim (history preserved per run). + + baseline_key records the baseline world the run ACTUALLY executed + (issue #13 point 5) — e.g. the two-child-limit runs execute a + pre_ab2025 reinstated counterfactual as their baseline, not current + law. None on legacy rows only; new ingests must pass it, and the + comparisons view refuses to render plain agreement when it differs + from the claim's baseline.""" claim_id: str computed_value: Optional[float] @@ -346,6 +425,7 @@ class PEResult: run_id: str = "" computed_at: str = "" # ISO timestamp, caller-supplied annotations: list = field(default_factory=list) + baseline_key: Optional[str] = None # baseline actually executed def __post_init__(self): self.status = ComparisonStatus(self.status) diff --git a/sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp/NOTES.md b/sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp/NOTES.md index 98b82dd..f740e8f 100644 --- a/sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp/NOTES.md +++ b/sources/harvest-2026-08-02/cpsp/NOTES.md @@ -58,6 +58,9 @@ SNAP poverty effects, annual historical/anchored SPM rates. `us_38_states_without_refundable_state_ctc` — not PE-comparable without replicating the pool. ## Data quality flags + +### Erratum + - **Erratum in "2024 Poverty Rates in Historical Perspective"**: Key Findings bullet says anchored-2022 SPM was "16.6% in 2024", but the body (Fig. 3 discussion) says 11.4% and the quoted 59% decline from 27.9% implies ~11.4%. Staged 11.4% (flagged in source_column); diff --git a/tests/test_campaign_ingest.py b/tests/test_campaign_ingest.py index 6ceea9b..ba5b77c 100644 --- a/tests/test_campaign_ingest.py +++ b/tests/test_campaign_ingest.py @@ -431,3 +431,20 @@ def campaign_rows(): # The abort happens before the write transaction: any pre-existing # campaign rows (the committed DB carries them) survive untouched. assert campaign_rows() == before + + +def test_results_carry_executed_baseline(db_copy): + # A clean re-ingest must never write NULL executed-baseline + # provenance (issue #13; NULL is legacy-only). + ingest(db_copy) + conn = sqlite3.connect(db_copy) + nulls = conn.execute( + "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM pe_results WHERE run_id LIKE 'campaign-%'" + " AND baseline_key IS NULL" + ).fetchone()[0] + ex_nulls = conn.execute( + "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM pe_exhibits WHERE run_id LIKE 'campaign-%'" + " AND baseline_key IS NULL" + ).fetchone()[0] + conn.close() + assert nulls == 0 and ex_nulls == 0 diff --git a/tests/test_export_populations.py b/tests/test_export_populations.py index 64ba296..4e69961 100644 --- a/tests/test_export_populations.py +++ b/tests/test_export_populations.py @@ -8,8 +8,11 @@ from scorecard_db import ScorecardDB from scorecard_db.export_populations import REPO, export, release_label +from dataclasses import replace + from scorecard_db.models import ( BASELINE, + ReformRef, ComparisonStatus, ExternalScore, Metric, @@ -199,3 +202,66 @@ def test_integration_committed_db(tmp_path): in ("consumed_as_target", "seed_source", "held_out") for r in payload["rows"] ) + + +def test_export_carries_effective_status_downgrades(tmp_path): + # The #13 guard end-to-end: a comparable result against a claim in a + # different world exports status_effective='constructed'; a legacy + # NULL result against a non-current-law world exports + # 'baseline_unvalidated'. Raw status is preserved alongside. + from scorecard_db.models import baseline_key as bk + + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "s.db") + world_ref = ReformRef( + framework="policy_ref", + reform={"policy": "opt"}, + baseline={"policy": "tcja_extension"}, + ) + world = _claim("jct", "world_claim", 100.0) + world = ExternalScore( + source="jct", + metric=Metric.REVENUE_CHANGE, + unit_concept=UnitConcept.USD, + period=2026, + time_basis=TimeBasis.FISCAL_YEAR, + value=100.0, + conditions={"geography": "US"}, + reform=world_ref, + calibration_relationship="held_out", + source_column="world_claim", + publication={"name": "w", "window": "FY2026"}, + value_kind="usd", + ) + db.upsert_scores([world]) + cross = _result( + world.claim_id(), + 90.0, + "populace-us-2024-buildo-x", + "2026-07-22", + status=ComparisonStatus.COMPARABLE, + ) + cross = replace(cross, baseline_key=bk({"policy": "current_policy"})) + legacy = replace( + _result( + world.claim_id(), + 91.0, + "populace-us-2024-buildp-x", + "2026-07-28", + status=ComparisonStatus.COMPARABLE, + ), + ) + db.add_results([cross, legacy]) + db.close() + + out = tmp_path / "p.json" + export(tmp_path / "s.db", out_path=out, built="2026-08-19") + row = json.loads(out.read_text())["rows"][0] + statuses = { + r["data_bundle"]: (r["status"], r["status_effective"]) for r in row["results"] + } + assert statuses["populace-us-2024-buildo-x"] == ("comparable", "constructed") + assert statuses["populace-us-2024-buildp-x"] == ( + "comparable", + "baseline_unvalidated", + ) + assert row["latest"]["status_effective"] == "baseline_unvalidated" diff --git a/tests/test_reform_validation_ingest.py b/tests/test_reform_validation_ingest.py index 14d7921..9a5a888 100644 --- a/tests/test_reform_validation_ingest.py +++ b/tests/test_reform_validation_ingest.py @@ -472,3 +472,83 @@ def test_reingest_idempotent(summary_and_db): conn.close() assert n_results == first["results"] assert n_claims == first["claims_upserted"] + + +def test_results_carry_executed_baselines_per_mode(summary_and_db): + # Level/reform/repeal rows executed current law; isolated OBBBA + # rows the shared pre_obbba_expiry_2026 world; stacked OBBBA rows + # one registered world per (chain, provision). NULL provenance on + # a clean ingest is a defect. + _, path = summary_and_db + import sqlite3 + + from scorecard_db.ingest_reform_validation import ( + _CURRENT_LAW_KEY, + _ISOLATED_KEY, + OBBBA_PROVISIONS, + _obbba_baseline_key, + ) + + conn = sqlite3.connect(path) + assert ( + conn.execute( + "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM pe_results WHERE run_id LIKE ?" + " AND baseline_key IS NULL", + (f"{RUN_PREFIX}%",), + ).fetchone()[0] + == 0 + ) + by_key = dict( + conn.execute( + "SELECT baseline_key, COUNT(*) FROM pe_results" + " WHERE run_id LIKE ? GROUP BY 1", + (f"{RUN_PREFIX}%",), + ) + ) + conn.close() + assert by_key[_ISOLATED_KEY] == 36 + assert by_key[_CURRENT_LAW_KEY] == 675 - 180 + # Stacked runs: one distinct executed world per (chain, provision) — + # f0af251's chain carries 2 results per provision (both FYs), the + # buildi+ producer chain 6 (3 releases x 2 FYs). Never a collapsed + # family key. + f0_keys = { + _obbba_baseline_key("stacked_chained", pid): pid for pid in OBBBA_PROVISIONS + } + producer_keys = { + _obbba_baseline_key("jcx_stacked", pid): pid for pid in OBBBA_PROVISIONS + } + assert all(by_key[k] == 2 for k in f0_keys) + assert all(by_key[k] == 6 for k in producer_keys) + assert ( + 36 + + (675 - 180) + + sum(by_key[k] for k in f0_keys) + + sum(by_key[k] for k in producer_keys) + == 675 + ) + + +def test_chain_ordinals_are_raw_and_stacked_only(summary_and_db): + # f0af251's CDCC sits at RAW chain position 17 — after the unscored + # senior-deduction link that feeds its baseline — and isolated rows + # carry no position token (their world is the shared expiry + # baseline). + _, path = summary_and_db + import sqlite3 + + conn = sqlite3.connect(path) + cdcc = conn.execute( + """SELECT r.pe_construction FROM pe_results r + JOIN external_scores s USING (claim_id) + WHERE r.data_bundle LIKE '%f0af251%' + AND s.source_column = 'obbba_cdcc' + LIMIT 1""" + ).fetchone()[0] + assert ":chain_pos17:" in cdcc + stray = conn.execute( + "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM pe_results" + " WHERE pe_construction LIKE '%isolated%chain_pos%'" + ).fetchone()[0] + conn.close() + assert stray == 0 diff --git a/tests/test_scorecard_db.py b/tests/test_scorecard_db.py index 8f4c0b0..f5adef1 100644 --- a/tests/test_scorecard_db.py +++ b/tests/test_scorecard_db.py @@ -1,3 +1,4 @@ +from dataclasses import replace import pytest from scorecard_db import ( @@ -516,3 +517,335 @@ def test_admin_metrics_unaffected(self): assert not never_calibrate(Metric.PARTICIPATION_RATE) assert not never_calibrate(Metric.ELIGIBLE_COUNT) + + +class TestBaselineRegistry: + """Baseline as a first-class attribute of every score (issue #13).""" + + def test_null_baseline_keys_current_law(self): + from scorecard_db import CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR, baseline_key + + assert BASELINE.baseline_key() == baseline_key(CURRENT_LAW_DESCRIPTOR) + pe = ReformRef("policyengine_us", reform={"p": {"2025": 1}}) + assert pe.baseline_key() == BASELINE.baseline_key() + + def test_non_current_law_baseline_distinct(self): + r = ReformRef( + framework="policy_ref", + reform={"policy": "obbba"}, + baseline={"policy": "tcja_extension"}, + ) + assert r.baseline_key() != BASELINE.baseline_key() + + def test_descriptor_requires_policy_slug(self): + from scorecard_db import baseline_key + + with pytest.raises(ValueError): + baseline_key({"label": "nope"}) + + def test_claim_id_unchanged_by_baseline_key_projection(self): + # Additive projection only: the #13 columns must not move ids. + assert score().claim_id() == "157243b61838075381ed" + + def test_scores_carry_baseline_key(self, tmp_path): + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + db.upsert_scores([score()]) + row = db.conn.execute("SELECT baseline_key FROM external_scores").fetchone() + assert row["baseline_key"] == BASELINE.baseline_key() + db.close() + + def test_registry_seeding_and_unregistered_detection(self, tmp_path): + from scorecard_db.baselines import register_baselines + + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + db.upsert_scores([score()]) + register_baselines(db) + assert db.unregistered_baselines() == [] + row = db.comparisons()[0] + assert row["claim_baseline_label"] == "current_law" + + alien = score( + conditions={"geography": "US", "program": "wic"}, + reform=ReformRef( + framework="policy_ref", + reform={"policy": "x"}, + baseline={"policy": "never_registered_world"}, + ), + ) + db.upsert_scores([alien]) + with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="never_registered"): + register_baselines(db) + db.close() + + def test_view_guard_downgrades_cross_baseline_agreement(self, tmp_path): + """comparable vs a different executed baseline can never render as + plain agreement — pe_status_effective says constructed.""" + from scorecard_db import baseline_key + + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + s = score() + db.upsert_scores([s]) + db.add_results( + [ + PEResult( + claim_id=s.claim_id(), + computed_value=999.0, + status=ComparisonStatus.COMPARABLE, + engine_version="x", + data_bundle="y", + baseline_key=baseline_key({"policy": "pre_ab2025"}), + ) + ] + ) + row = db.comparisons()[0] + assert row["pe_status"] == "comparable" + assert row["pe_status_effective"] == "constructed" + db.close() + + def test_view_guard_passes_same_baseline(self, tmp_path): + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + s = score() + db.upsert_scores([s]) + db.add_results( + [ + PEResult( + claim_id=s.claim_id(), + computed_value=999.0, + status=ComparisonStatus.COMPARABLE, + engine_version="x", + data_bundle="y", + baseline_key=BASELINE.baseline_key(), + ) + ] + ) + row = db.comparisons()[0] + assert row["pe_status_effective"] == "comparable" + db.close() + + def test_legacy_results_pass_through_only_on_current_law(self, tmp_path): + # A legacy run (no recorded executed baseline) against a + # current-law claim keeps its status; against any non-current-law + # world its agreement is unverifiable — never plain. + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + s = score() + db.upsert_scores([s]) + legacy = PEResult( + claim_id=s.claim_id(), + computed_value=999.0, + status=ComparisonStatus.COMPARABLE, + engine_version="x", + data_bundle="y", + ) + db.add_results([legacy]) + assert db.comparisons()[0]["pe_status_effective"] == "comparable" + + world = score( + reform=ReformRef( + framework="policy_ref", + reform={"policy": "opt"}, + baseline={"policy": "tcja_extension"}, + ), + source_column="world_claim", + ) + db.upsert_scores([world]) + db.add_results([replace(legacy, claim_id=world.claim_id())]) + row = next(r for r in db.comparisons() if r["source_column"] == "world_claim") + assert row["pe_status_effective"] == "baseline_unvalidated" + db.close() + + +class TestDescriptiveRegister: + """Issue #9 latest ruling: normative classes gated on citable issues.""" + + def test_gated_classes_require_action_link(self, tmp_path): + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + s = score() + db.upsert_scores([s]) + for cls in ("pe_gap", "external_issue"): + with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="citable"): + db.diagnose(s.claim_id(), cls, "divergence looks big") + db.diagnose( + s.claim_id(), + "pe_gap", + "EHS at engine-default take-up", + action_link="https://github.com/PolicyEngine/populace/issues/593", + ) + db.close() + + def test_methodological_difference_is_descriptive(self, tmp_path): + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + s = score() + db.upsert_scores([s]) + db.diagnose( + s.claim_id(), + "methodological_difference", + "Populace calculates benefits and recalibrates where ASEC " + "carries reported attributes.", + ) + assert db.comparisons()[0]["diagnosis_class"] == "methodological_difference" + db.close() + + def test_old_diagnoses_table_migrates_to_new_check(self, tmp_path): + import sqlite3 as s3 + + path = tmp_path / "old.db" + conn = s3.connect(path) + conn.executescript( + """ + CREATE TABLE external_scores ( + claim_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY, source TEXT NOT NULL, + source_model TEXT, ledger_fact TEXT, source_column TEXT, + publication TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '{}', + reform_key TEXT NOT NULL, reform_json TEXT NOT NULL, + metric TEXT NOT NULL, unit_concept TEXT NOT NULL, + period INTEGER NOT NULL, time_basis TEXT NOT NULL, + conditions TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '{}', + geography TEXT, program TEXT, value REAL, + value_kind TEXT NOT NULL, status TEXT NOT NULL, + calibration_relationship TEXT NOT NULL + ); + CREATE TABLE diagnoses ( + claim_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY, + diagnosis_class TEXT NOT NULL CHECK (diagnosis_class IN ( + 'pe_gap','external_issue','concept_mismatch','vintage', + 'undiagnosed' + )), + rationale TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '', + action_link TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '' + ); + INSERT INTO diagnoses VALUES ('c1', 'vintage', 'r', ''); + """ + ) + conn.close() + db = ScorecardDB(path) + db.upsert_scores([score()]) + db.diagnose(score().claim_id(), "methodological_difference", "ok") + kept = db.conn.execute( + "SELECT diagnosis_class FROM diagnoses WHERE claim_id='c1'" + ).fetchone() + assert kept["diagnosis_class"] == "vintage" + db.close() + + +class TestBaselineMigrationHardening: + """The adjudication's null-hole conditions: faithful backfill, loud + failure on malformed descriptors, reopen idempotency.""" + + def _legacy_db(self, path): + import sqlite3 as s + + conn = s.connect(path) + conn.executescript( + """CREATE TABLE external_scores ( + claim_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY, source TEXT NOT NULL, + source_model TEXT, ledger_fact TEXT, source_column TEXT, + publication TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '{}', + reform_key TEXT NOT NULL, reform_json TEXT NOT NULL, + metric TEXT NOT NULL, unit_concept TEXT NOT NULL, + period INTEGER NOT NULL, time_basis TEXT NOT NULL, + conditions TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '{}', geography TEXT, + program TEXT, value REAL, value_kind TEXT NOT NULL, + status TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT 'ok', + calibration_relationship TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT 'held_out', + period_start INTEGER, period_end INTEGER);""" + ) + return conn + + def _row(self, conn, cid, reform_json): + conn.execute( + "INSERT INTO external_scores (claim_id, source, reform_key," + " reform_json, metric, unit_concept, period, time_basis," + " value, value_kind) VALUES (?, 'x', 'k', ?, 'eligible_count'," + " 'persons', 2024, 'annual', 1.0, 'count')", + (cid, reform_json), + ) + + def test_backfill_projects_exactly(self, tmp_path): + import json as j + + from scorecard_db.db import CURRENT_LAW_KEY + from scorecard_db.models import baseline_key + + p = tmp_path / "legacy.db" + conn = self._legacy_db(p) + self._row(conn, "a", j.dumps({"framework": "baseline"})) + self._row(conn, "b", j.dumps({"baseline": None, "reform": {"p": 1}})) + self._row( + conn, + "c", + j.dumps({"baseline": {"policy": "tcja_extension"}, "reform": {}}), + ) + conn.commit() + conn.close() + + db = ScorecardDB(p) + keys = dict( + db.conn.execute("SELECT claim_id, baseline_key FROM external_scores") + ) + assert keys["a"] == CURRENT_LAW_KEY + assert keys["b"] == CURRENT_LAW_KEY + assert keys["c"] == baseline_key({"policy": "tcja_extension"}) + db.close() + # reopen: idempotent, nothing re-derived differently + db = ScorecardDB(p) + assert ( + dict(db.conn.execute("SELECT claim_id, baseline_key FROM external_scores")) + == keys + ) + db.close() + + @pytest.mark.parametrize( + "bad", + [ + '{"baseline": {}}', + '{"baseline": []}', + '{"baseline": false}', + '{"baseline": {"policy": 1}}', + '{"baseline": {"policy": ""}}', + "[1, 2]", + ], + ) + def test_malformed_descriptor_fails_loudly(self, tmp_path, bad): + p = tmp_path / "legacy.db" + conn = self._legacy_db(p) + self._row(conn, "bad", bad) + conn.commit() + conn.close() + with pytest.raises(ValueError): + ScorecardDB(p) + + +class TestRegistryConvergence: + def test_disavowed_unreferenced_row_pruned(self, tmp_path): + from scorecard_db.baselines import register_baselines + from scorecard_db.models import baseline_key + + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + db.register_baseline( + baseline_key({"policy": "stale_world"}), + "stale_world", + description="no longer defined", + ) + register_baselines(db) + assert ( + db.conn.execute( + "SELECT COUNT(*) FROM baselines WHERE label='stale_world'" + ).fetchone()[0] + == 0 + ) + db.close() + + def test_disavowed_referenced_row_refuses(self, tmp_path): + from scorecard_db.baselines import register_baselines + from scorecard_db.models import baseline_key + + db = ScorecardDB(tmp_path / "t.db") + stale = baseline_key({"policy": "stale_world"}) + db.register_baseline(stale, "stale_world", description="x") + s = score() + db.upsert_scores([s]) + db.conn.execute("UPDATE external_scores SET baseline_key = ?", (stale,)) + db.conn.commit() + with pytest.raises(ValueError, match="re-key the data"): + register_baselines(db) + db.close()